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Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT


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1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I would love to see some more detailed maps when they come out from WM.com...

it's a shame that wxbell no longer is supporting the UKMET, i wonder why they dropped that model, probably financing i suspect.

Pretty limited on charts there too.

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3 minutes ago, Greg said:

I think you would be ok but based on climo the extreme outer Cape would get tinged only for a very breef time then all snow. 

It’s practically the same because the high would be moving east and ukmet is taking that low practically due east. Ok maybe a ping or two but it’s interesting right now for sure

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1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

It’s practically the same because the high would be moving east and ukmet is taking that low practically due east. Ok maybe a ping or two but it’s interesting right now for sure

Definately a colder solution seems to be in route.

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1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah but the Euro phased ... beginning that process at 96 hours

may be that none of these models have it right yet

The Euro did not phase in the main PV at all...it phased a lobe in later, which is why it croaked us.

The 18z GFS phased some of the main PV, which won't happen.

My blog was about this tonight.

The EURO is a good way to turn this into a HECS, but not ready to sign off on that yet...that perfect degree of lobe phasing and timing needs to hold for a couple days. Too early to go ballz deep.

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