Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Sleet line is creeping up to him too. He’ll appreciate this cold wedge though at MVL. If he sleets it will be brief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: If you had to forecast it.. how far north and west does 32 get? Montpelier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 “It’s dead, Jim.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The one thing I’m noticing is the lack of a cold push. The classic ones have the big cold push the day prior on strong NW winds and set the stage. We just have the cold oozing in despite HP to the north....there is no good push south. On top of that. This low is approaching at a high latitude. So the flow turns east quick and really ends the cold advection off the deck. What we do have is cold coming in from the NE in the interior. That may help them, but it’s curtains for many down here. Yes that angle of approach at a higher latitude has been showing ENE winds on east coast of mass. this looks like a disaster for ORH up toward ASH and west for ice potential in 9’th inning over to probably N Ct. QPF with amped track is 2.5 plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The one thing I’m noticing is the lack of a cold push. The classic ones have the big cold push the day prior on strong NW winds and set the stage. We just have the cold oozing in despite HP to the north....there is no good push south. On top of that. This low is approaching at a high latitude. So the flow turns east quick and really ends the cold advection off the deck. What we do have is cold coming in from the NE in the interior. That may help them, but it’s curtains for many down here. It’s a pretty strong low over the appalachians to begin with. Pretty strong southerly flow to begin with. I said it many days ago that I did. Not like the trajectory it was coming at us. Pretty high latitude for a southern stream system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: You know drill . Toss it NAM says trend is not your friend, get up at 3 am to look at your snow before it all washes away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: The one thing I’m noticing is the lack of a cold push. The classic ones have the big cold push the day prior on strong NW winds and set the stage. We just have the cold oozing in despite HP to the north....there is no good push south. On top of that. This low is approaching at a high latitude. So the flow turns east quick and really ends the cold advection off the deck. What we do have is cold coming in from the NE in the interior. That may help them, but it’s curtains for many down here. I noticed that here too, the current temperature here is 27.0/25. The atmosphere never got the low dews here. Even in the November storm we were in the low 20s when it started and it "felt" cold. It doesn't really feel cold out there right now...Guess there is next week and we can track wind chills on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The NAM is an absolute furnace here... snow will be a distant memory by the time folks wake up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: It’s a pretty strong low over the appalachians to begin with. Pretty strong southerly flow to begin with. I said it many days ago that I did. Not like the trajectory it was coming at us. Pretty high latitude for a southern stream system. Yep good call, still think NAM is overamped though. Doesn't make a difference for us. Harveys Thursday snow map was too early AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: If he sleets it will be brief. Probably...but the convection in the SE is still going strong. We may just keep ticking warmer right up until go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: At what point do you backtrack your thoughts of this not tracking over SE areas. Well it could def track over like PYM. But it's not going over, say, BOS I don't think. Def not anything west. I'll believe that when I actually see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 So....the GFS got a win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This reminds me of the powerful rain/windstorm last winter that was entirely rain for almost all of SE MA but interior NE and Maine got socked with feet of snow. It was a total bust for Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: NAM says trend is not your friend, get up at 3 am to look at your snow before it all washes away When It goes 100 miles SE at 18 and 00z.. we’ll know why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 A lot of rain for me and Kevin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 hope floats away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Yep good call, still think NAM is overamped though. Doesn't make a difference for us. Harveys Thursday snow map was too early AWT Probably right and as you said, there has been a steady but slow northward trend in warmth at all levels on this one for about 2 days now. Suck that they are sort of forced to throw out maps 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: When It goes 100 miles SE at 18 and 00z.. we’ll know why Enjoy the rain, it’s the only rain you’ve got. Another system turning to dog dung as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Man even the extended HRRR was one of the last colder models just jumped big at 12z and now mixes up into the SVT ski areas. The best banding may get north of me on some of these. One crazy storm to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: A lot of rain for me and Kevin? I will start the party early down here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 We definitely need a Patriots win tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3km NAM looks more reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This is one of the weirdest storms I've ever tracked. I've never seen models insist on plowing into an Arctic high like this. Ever. If someone can find me an analog, I'm all ears but I've searched. Nada. Ok expecting a huge bust on low level temps by the models. But I'm def gonna be wrong on the colder tick aloft I was expecting. But this Arctic "high" is more like a band of cold air than an actual high pressure center. There's almost no north-south orientation to it, so any southerly flow has tons of room to push north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I think at 1PM at the gtg when Euro comes out we'll know for sure what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: When It goes 100 miles SE at 18 and 00z.. we’ll know why Storm will be under way by 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Oh boy. Looks like a beauty...minus the beauty part. It will be nice not to have to move any snow around. MUST. MAKE. SURE. DRAINS. ARE CLEAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Geezuz on the 3k Nam ORH to HUNCHIE gets smoked with heavy snow to sleet then an epic ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 We need at Messenger bump SE or its lights out for some. CTRV CAD would likely save me from a torch but siggy ice may be slipping away. Well see what happens from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 3km NAM looks more reasonable. Still warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Man even the extended HRRR was one of the last colder models just jumped big at 12z and now mixes up into the SVT ski areas. The best banding may get north of me on some of these. One crazy storm to track. I'm selling all this warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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