Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:43 PM, dendrite said: I still think this ends up cooler at the sfc, but yeah, that’s why it’s useless obsessing over details at d8. Expand Yeah It’s staying below 32 almost down to w 2/3 of CT coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I believe we maybe at the bargaining stage .... anyway we’ll see it we late tickle se . 6z gfs didn’t seem to go nw w thermals stayed torchy thou Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just catching up. Man, I may be wrong about the sleet getting a good fight. But we'll see, still have a feeling we'll see a fight between 06z-12z from pike to ASH. Looks like some of the guidance is starting to get a better clue on the surface track though...06z GFS finally came southeast with sfc low...still way too warm at sfc though but we are not going to see a track into interior SNE like it was attempting earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah It’s staying below 32 almost down to w 2/3 of CT coast Expand I haven’t looked at enough to comment for down there, but if these midlevels had been like this all along (no gloom and doom from the late warm trends) we’d probably be saying to watch for the CAD to overperform and the low to hug the south coast and go over the canal or something. Maybe we can get a tick south at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This is why we don’t throw huge totals out as forecasts 3 days before game time...go conservative. That first BOX map was destined to go down in flames... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:52 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: This is why we don’t throw huge totals out as forecasts 3 days before game time...go conservative. That first BOX map was destined to go down in flames... Expand TWC still have 3ft for N MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:52 PM, dendrite said: I haven’t looked at enough to comment for down there, but if these midlevels had been like this all along (no gloom and doom from the late warm trends) we’d probably be saying to watch for the CAD to overperform and the low to hug the south coast and go over the canal or something. Maybe we can get a tick south at 12z. Expand I'm counting on Messenger shifts to maximize my snow. On 1/19/2019 at 12:52 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: This is why we don’t throw huge totals out as forecasts 3 days before game time...go conservative. That first BOX map was destined to go down in flames... Expand How about the TWC forecast? I hope Brian kept that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:53 PM, dendrite said: TWC still have 3ft for N MA? Expand Start high, you can always adjust higher. Are you fashioning tiny helmets for your flock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 11:13 AM, CoastalWx said: Man this storm and winter pretty much can eat it. I’m all set. Good luck to north country. Expand Yup... writing has been on the wall down here for a few runs. Bright side is, any snow at work should be minimal. Going in at 630am tomorrow, shouldn’t be a long day... probably will even before well before both games start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:52 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: This is why we don’t throw huge totals out as forecasts 3 days before game time...go conservative. That first BOX map was destined to go down in flames... Expand Ha. Then I see State College wasn't the only one going big on this one when perhaps they shouldn't have. Even as late as last night, they had the 8-12 inch gradient running through Harrisburg, PA to just north of Allentown, PA which many thought was considerably overdone. Turns out we might have been right as they have backed off considerably with this morning's new forecasts and updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Just catching up. Man, I may be wrong about the sleet getting a good fight. But we'll see, still have a feeling we'll see a fight between 06z-12z from pike to ASH. Looks like some of the guidance is starting to get a better clue on the surface track though...06z GFS finally came southeast with sfc low...still way too warm at sfc though but we are not going to see a track into interior SNE like it was attempting earlier. Expand What makes you change your mind? I am not home. What changed on modeling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Kev gets his ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:59 PM, sbos_wx said: What makes you change your mind? I am not home. What changed on modeling? Expand Mid levels eroding faster and further north....unanimously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Well that was fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 One of you Boston geeks should go meet Cantore at long wharf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Does 950 need to go above freezing for an ice storm? i see many spots up thru route 2 and to NH border w 850-925’s above zero for more than 3 hrs around the times of 12z to 15z Sunday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:48 PM, dendrite said: I’m jealous if you sneak in a dew of 50F. My driveway needs to melt asap. Expand Aint happening James congrats on the near 15 to 20 Awt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:05 PM, Ginx snewx said: One of you Boston geeks should go meet Cantore at long wharf Expand I will try Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 It seems like the ice threat could be nasty close to BOS. Interior SW burbs to RI and even Kevin could be in for quite the icing event. It may be narrow, but sort of near and south of the 925 WF on NAM and closer to other side of CF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: Aint happening James congrats on the near 15 to 20 Awt Expand Too many pingers and meh ratios for that. I think the jack has moved to PF and the moose at BML and Rangeley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 12:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah It’s staying below 32 almost down to w 2/3 of CT coast Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:07 PM, dendrite said: Too many pingers and meh ratios for that. I think the jack has moved to PF and the moose at BML and Rangeley. Expand Correction incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:07 PM, dendrite said: Too many pingers and meh ratios for that. I think the jack has moved to PF and the moose at BML and Rangeley. Expand Yes it’s wagons well north how bout that RGEM runs from yesterday that were tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:08 PM, Ginx snewx said: Expand Let’s see previous panel may need that handy emoji passed around 2-4 days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:06 PM, CoastalWx said: It seems like the ice threat could be nasty close to BOS. Interior SW burbs to RI and even Kevin could be in for quite the icing event. It may be narrow, but sort of near and south of the 925 WF on NAM and closer to other side of CF. Expand I think this is the one we’ve been waiting for in CT/ RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:09 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Let’s see previous panel may need that handy emoji passed around 2-4 days ago Expand Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 For a storm that has all sorts of cold up north it begins pretty mild around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:08 PM, Ginx snewx said: Expand Too warm. That will end up colder. Esp in interior CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:11 PM, Ginx snewx said: Why? Expand Because highs were between 12z and 18z for some Steve your photo showed warmest temps between 18z and 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 1:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I think this is the one we’ve been waiting for in CT/ RI Expand Can't see the 6z Euro being that wrong but I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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