TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:28 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: ...isn’t it the n most outlier Expand Dropped 10" at Jerry's House west of BOS last run too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:28 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: ...isn’t it the n most outlier Expand The Euro and it were both pretty darn far north and it tends to have a north/west bias beyond 30 hours most of the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Still not sure if pingers make it up to Albany. Mid level warmth advance is always a beeyotch. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:23 PM, sbos_wx said: Check out how cold it is at 850mb for you though. It literally hovers -1c to +1c from BOS to Newburyport. A small change could mean a big bust in that area. Or a bigger fart. Expand not sure about a bigger fart.. but yeah, I mean i barely get to 1c so it's possible if models trend cooler we do better.. but i believe my floor is 8-9" only can go higher and will be a nowcast thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:30 PM, Bostonseminole said: not sure about a bigger fart.. but yeah, I mean i barely get to 1c so it's possible if models trend cooler we do better.. but i believe my floor is 8-9" only can go higher and will be a nowcast thing Expand Yeah, that sounds right to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:29 PM, snowgeek said: Still not sure if pingers make it up to Albany. Mid level warmth advance is always a beeyotch. . Expand I don't buy it. I bet you stay 99% snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 That h85 of 1C-how thick? I mean if it’s a thin layer and high rates it can get washed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 WOW! Harvey is BULLISH! 12-18" for the Merrimack Valley, kissing 128. 6-12" for Boston metro and interior SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:35 PM, NorEastermass128 said: WOW! Harvey is BULLISH! 12-18" for the Merrimack Valley, kissing 128. 6-12" for Boston metro and interior SE MA. Expand Sounds reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 14-18’’ in my warning. I love the optimism but man 14’’ is a high floor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Tickle south on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Stuck watching Pete B. getting a tire fixed. He's calling just below that. 6-10 for metro Boston. 12+ is limited to north of 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Tough one for me. I live ON the MA/NH border just north of Haverhill. A bit close to the coast, not quite far enough north to be guaranteed fluffly snow, not far enough south to be fully expecting a mushy mix. One run I'm in the sweet spot for 12+ the next I'm choking thinking sub 6"..... My area typically does pretty well just north of 495... My brain is saying 7-8" regardless...anyone in my close vicinity with expectations.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:42 PM, LSC97wxnut said: Stuck watching Pete B. getting a tire fixed. He's calling just below that. 6-10 for metro Boston. 12+ is limited to north of 495. Expand Reasonable too IMO. For the AEMATT folks, I’d go 6-12 inside 495 and 10-16” outside 495 N of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Meh... his reasoning is likely related to model experience and similar to what Will's been mentioning regarding latent heat flux into the ridge causing faux NW positions at 30 hours lead... We may yet see the 20 or 30 mile SE correction down the stretch here - not a definite... but not impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:40 PM, DomNH said: 14-18’’ in my warning. I love the optimism but man 14’’ is a high floor. Expand Certainly one of more aggressive snow forecasts I've seen from NWS office anywhere I've lived in. They must be banking on high snow ratio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 For Jerry....to satisfy his RPM fetish now that we're getting inside 48h. Congrats on a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 gfs still blows chunks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:50 PM, Bostonseminole said: gfs still blows chunks Expand You think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 It’s going to blow chunks. Accept it and look for the improvements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:47 PM, ORH_wxman said: For Jerry....to satisfy his RPM fetish now that we're getting inside 48h. Congrats on a foot. Expand That's pretty much what I would draw up, right there. Similar enough to 3k NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom12309 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Eesh. In NYC until Monday all Sunday trains canceled already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 This is actually pretty nice. Snow-to-liquid forecast from GYX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:53 PM, CoastalWx said: It’s going to blow chunks. Accept it and look for the improvements. Expand Yeah...it got better...that's all you can ask for. It's going to be pure dogshit in the lower 2500 feet so people just need to understand that and ignore that aspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:47 PM, ORH_wxman said: For Jerry....to satisfy his RPM fetish now that we're getting inside 48h. Congrats on a foot. Expand After the GTG i am driving by to “treat “ his lawn #localminimum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:35 PM, weathafella said: That h85 of 1C-how thick? I mean if it’s a thin layer and high rates it can get washed out. Expand The problem is that its about 2°C warmer at h800. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 9:35 PM, NorEastermass128 said: WOW! Harvey is BULLISH! 12-18" for the Merrimack Valley, kissing 128. 6-12" for Boston metro and interior SE MA. Expand Ya...tickling 128....is that a trickle down or trickle up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Not looking good for 84 corridor through CCT. Need euro to tick colder in mid levels to cut down the zr. I would do some nasty things to get mostly sleet out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 10:00 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Not looking good for 84 corridor through CCT. Need euro to tick colder in mid levels to cut down the zr. I would do some nasty things to get mostly sleet out of this. Expand Dude ur icing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 maybe more.. On 1/18/2019 at 9:59 PM, 78Blizzard said: The problem is that its about 2°C warmer at h800. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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