moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:03 AM, CoastalWx said: I don’t think you want that with this guy. Expand I'll take my chances, it'll be wintery one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Most will need this to either graze southern Nantucket or definitely stay off shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:00 AM, tiger_deF said: Hey everyone, I'm a weather enthusiast and just joined this forum, This storm looks to be characterized more by high QPF amounts versus deep pressures and wind. Which areas do you think will receive the highest QPF entirely in the form of snow? Expand Somehow, it will be Powderfreak...he always finds a way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:00 AM, tiger_deF said: Hey everyone, I'm a weather enthusiast and just joined this forum, This storm looks to be characterized more by high QPF amounts versus deep pressures and wind. Which areas do you think will receive the highest QPF entirely in the form of snow? Expand And Hi Welcome aboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 NAM is a torch upstairs up to the NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:15 AM, Ginx snewx said: NAM is a torch upstairs up to the NH border. Expand I feel like there is going to be some bridge jumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:16 AM, #NoPoles said: I feel like there is going to be some bridge jumping Expand It's also the NAM at 84 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:16 AM, #NoPoles said: I feel like there is going to be some bridge jumping Expand Everyone better hope this isn’t flipping back the other way. I expected we would see things settle south for another couple of cycles before bouncing north. This could go to shit in a hurry if this is the beginning of a push back the other way this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 ICON still pounding the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:16 AM, #NoPoles said: I feel like there is going to be some bridge jumping Expand I think we will see by Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:16 AM, #NoPoles said: I feel like there is going to be some bridge jumping Expand only in the 850-700mb layer, the 925mb layer there is quite the cold air present only warm to the canal. A lot of freezing rain and sleet on the 00z NAM. I might get some substantial snows if the NAM extrapolated after 84 hours with the second frontal wave developing, I think the 12z UKMET model showed this with the 990mb east of CHH, I think this was the second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 ICON looks great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Looks a little amped from the 18Z, brings sleet in pretty fast after a pounding of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:00 AM, tiger_deF said: Hey everyone, I'm a weather enthusiast and just joined this forum, This storm looks to be characterized more by high QPF amounts versus deep pressures and wind. Which areas do you think will receive the highest QPF entirely in the form of snow? Expand Too early to nail down totals, but gun to head and based on what I’m reading at this early juncture - I’d guess that the jackpot would be the Catskills, Berks, Southern Greens and Whites (1 to 2 feet). Though the Catskills and Berks might mix with a bit of sleet. The mountains typically do much better than where the populous live. -Jason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:25 AM, Greg said: Looks a little amped from the 18Z brings sleet in pretty fast after a pounding. Expand We get a good amount of snow here before we change over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Chocolate Thunder or whatever it is called Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Need that PV lobe to keep this thing more flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:25 AM, Greg said: Looks a little amped from the 18Z, brings sleet in pretty fast after a pounding of snow. Expand pretty fast after a pounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 2:56 AM, dryslot said: I'll say one thing, The radar won't look like shit on this one. Expand It's the NAM so the usual 84hr caveats apply, but I think you can kinda see where the big mid-level lift moves through our area into NNE on the QPF maps. Maybe we make hay with higher ratios during that time and then we pile on 10:1 on the back 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:21 AM, ineedsnow said: ICON looks great! Expand 850 is over 0 to the NH border not so great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Neither one of those models are showing anything similar to what the Euro was doing FYI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:33 AM, dendrite said: It's the NAM so the usual 84hr caveats apply, but I think you can kinda see where the big mid-level lift moves through our area into NNE on the QPF maps. Maybe we make hay with higher ratios during that time and then we pile on 10:1 on the back 9. Expand 00z Nam had .8" qpf at hr 84, So its either 8" or 12.5" if we went 15:1 or some where in between Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Problem with the icon is it doesn't have any of those fancy color coding for a mixed ptypes; either rain or snow but that entire area of Southern New England is sleet and freezing rain absolutely roaring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:37 AM, Ginx snewx said: 850 is over 0 to the NH border not so great Expand Yup. I’d pump the brakes on big amounts south of the Ma NH border. This whole event screams ski area jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Anyway neither one of these models was phasing like the euro did it 0Z and 12 Z If the Euros gonna be right these solutions you're seeing tonight are going to be totally different ... so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:40 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yup. I’d pump the brakes on big amounts south of the Ma NH border. This whole event screams ski area jackpot. Expand But where is the frozen precip line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:40 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yup. I’d pump the brakes on big amounts south of the Ma NH border. This whole event screams ski area jackpot. Expand Right right ... until the Euro has another snow bomb run down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:41 AM, Typhoon Tip said: Anyway neither one of these models was phasing like the euro did it 0Z and 12 Z If the Euros gonna be right these solutions you're seeing tonight are going to be totally different ... so far Expand I hear what your saying Tip. I'm only looking for trends right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 3:37 AM, Ginx snewx said: 850 is over 0 to the NH border not so great Expand surface looks cold, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 GFS looks a bit more as amped at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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