CAPE Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Lol 3 posts inquiring about the NAO right after I posted a link to Isotherm's update on the NAO. Read it. Informative and sounds like good news. eta- 2 posts actually, and I am sure @frd has read it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorm5921 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 woo boy the 12z GEFS definitely do not instill confidence on the long term being favorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 5:39 PM, Snowstorm5921 said: woo boy the 12z GEFS definitely do not instill confidence on the long term being favorable. Expand -AO/NAO is bad mmmmkay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDXer75 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 5:39 PM, Snowstorm5921 said: woo boy the 12z GEFS definitely do not instill confidence on the long term being favorable. Expand My advice to you is go to the Poconos and do some skiing, that way you can see some snow. Your constant whining makes this thread unbearable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Interesting to see the mid week storm trend colder on the back side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 I’m really glad my mud froze up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 5:50 PM, Bob Chill said: -AO/NAO is bad mmmmkay Expand This freaked me out until I aw it was MSLP, and not H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 5:59 PM, cbmclean said: This freaked me out until I aw it was MSLP, and not H5. Expand It's also the last frame of a model in the long-range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 6:03 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: It's also the last frame of a model in the long-range. Expand Well, that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 5:59 PM, cbmclean said: This freaked me out until I aw it was MSLP, and not H5. Expand The numerical AO/NAO are based on surface pressure and not h5. Much of our future success hinges on the AO (most important) and NAO going negative. All ensembles are moving in that direction but it's still too far out in time to make any assumptions. The -PNA may cause some angst if it develops but it's much easier to transition to a good winter pattern when the AO and NAO are negative. I'm not making any calls on where I think things are going. High levels of volatility in both ops and ens right now. Best to focus on opportunities inside of 10 days and just let the chips fall beyond that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 6:03 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: It's also the last frame of a model in the long-range. Expand It's a 5 day mean which is always the best representation of what ensembles are leaning towards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 5:37 PM, C.A.P.E. said: Lol 3 posts inquiring about the NAO right after I posted a link to Isotherm's update on the NAO. Read it. Informative and sounds like good news. eta- 2 posts actually, and I am sure @frd has read it. Expand Thanks @C.A.P.E. I did read it, just answering that question from the previous poster. I enjoyed Isotherm's Update, he seems optimistic, maybe we get things to go in our favor shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 6:06 PM, Bob Chill said: The numerical AO/NAO are based on surface pressure and not h5. Much of our future success hinges on the AO (most important) and NAO going negative. All ensembles are moving in that direction but it's still too far out in time to make any assumptions. The -PNA may cause some angst if it develops but it's much easier to transition to a good winter pattern when the AO and NAO are negative. I'm not making any calls on where I think things are going. High levels of volatility in both ops and ens right now. Best to focus on opportunities inside of 10 days and just let the chips fall beyond that. Expand Almost need to cut the days in half (to 5) the way models have been handling things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 This is not banter. Chaos is increasing and I have a hunch it's due to the teleconnections trending towards neutral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 5:39 PM, Snowstorm5921 said: woo boy the 12z GEFS definitely do not instill confidence on the long term being favorable. Expand woo boy, you're a shit poster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 I'd love to see this develop in an El Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 6:24 PM, stormtracker said: woo boy, you're a shit poster. Expand you can just type shit it doesn't **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 There's a huge difference between the Euro and GFS 500mb charts at hr 192 - GFS has an LP in the GL, Euro has a much deeper system heading OTS off OBX. If means counted for anything we'd be in luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 This is the best I've seen all Winter.. with above average precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 GEFS didnt look bad at 360 FV3 looked like winter over vs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyamaha Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 7:43 PM, Ji said: GEFS didnt look bad at 360 FV3 looked like winter over vs And here comes the PAC puke. We are done for about 2 weeks then it "gets epic" week 3 and 4 of Feb into mid MarchSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 7:49 PM, luckyamaha said: And here comes the PAC puke. We are done for about 2 weeks then it "gets epic" week 3 and 4 of Feb into mid March Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Expand Not sure this won't just become an EPO ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 5:50 PM, Bob Chill said: -AO/NAO is bad mmmmkay Expand Everyone just needs to put him on ignore. I did but still see when others reply to him. We can even put a thread up and pin it warning any newcomers to put him on ignore. That or convince Randy to ban him even though he hadn’t done anything blatantly awful just been a constant non stop annoying a$$ hat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 EPS is delaying the -pna now. How shocked are we? I'm certainly not. Keeps the +PNA/-EPO intact into early Feb. More than an insignificant shift and colder in the east than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 7:56 PM, psuhoffman said: Everyone just needs to put him on ignore. I did but still see when others reply to him. We can even put a thread up and pin it warning any newcomers to put him on ignore. That or convince Randy to ban him even though he hadn’t done anything blatantly awful just been a constant non stop annoying a$$ hat. Expand He's doing it for the responses. So yeah, a thread suggesting newcomers to put him on ignore actually sounds like a great idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 7:56 PM, psuhoffman said: Everyone just needs to put him on ignore. I did but still see when others reply to him. We can even put a thread up and pin it warning any newcomers to put him on ignore. That or convince Randy to ban him even though he hadn’t done anything blatantly awful just been a constant non stop annoying a$$ hat. Expand I would love to put him on ignore. Sadly I cant see how to do it. Can some one please share how? edit: figured it out. clicked on his name and it was right there! Congrats for being the first on my ignore list! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Not a bad look right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 7:58 PM, Bob Chill said: EPS is delaying the -pna now. How shocked are we? I'm certainly not. Keeps the +PNA/-EPO intact into early Feb. More than an insignificant shift and colder in the east than 0z. Expand I haven't seen past D10, but this map I can get behind. Especially if that piece of the vortex in Canada gets stretched out more E-W afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 8:20 PM, PCT_ATC said: I would love to put him on ignore. Sadly I cant see how to do it. Can some one please share how? Expand Upper left of your amwx screen, click your user name. Should have a drop down list that include "ignored users". Click that. Start typing his handle until it comes up, then, click "ignore". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 8:22 PM, North Balti Zen said: Upper left of your amwx screen, click your user name. Should have a drop down list that include "ignored users". Click that. Start typing his handle until it comes up, then, click "ignore". Expand thanks! figured it out almost immediately after posting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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