stormtracker Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:15 AM, Ji said: We suck. Not one thing ever trends our way Expand I still say wait, but it's not encouraging that the GFS has fallen toward everything else now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:15 AM, Ji said: We suck. Not one thing ever trends our way Expand Except for getting an unexpected foot followed by an overperforming 1-2" in the last week... i agree. Oh, and a couple inches with caved roads in November. Almost forgot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:23 AM, Bob Chill said: Except for getting an unexpected foot followed by an overperforming 1-2" in the last week... i agree. Oh, and a couple inches with caved roads in November. Almost forgotThose were no doubt snow events. It's the 50 50 40 60 stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 3:44 AM, Buddy1987 said: Lmao Jeb! I think you belong in the North Pole or Antarctica. Either one would suit you well for how quickly a wet T-shirt could freeze to your skin. I do miss having the wicked cold as well, previously living in the northeast all my life until 2011. There really is nothing like going outside and having your damn nose hairs freeze. Just take in a big breath and it really is like something you’ve never experienced. Weird to say but it is super refreshing. Expand This. I grew up in upstate NY, between Albany and Saratoga. Because I had always had a scarf or something like it, my breath would freeze my eyelashes together, so periodically I would have to take a mitten off and melt the ice with my fingers. I do love a good, cold airmass. However, agree with PSU that it is kind of wasted without being accompanied by snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:21 AM, stormtracker said: I still say wait, but it's not encouraging that the GFS has fallen toward everything else now.Not sure why we have other models. Everything just trends towards the euro. Gfs just clouds the forecast and creates needless chaos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The Thursday deal misses but GFS snows on us Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:15 AM, Ji said: We suck. Not one thing ever trends our way Expand Did you forget last weekend? Or the snow on snow this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just watched DT's new This Week in Weather. Basically depressing, DT says no 50 50 and therefore all rain threats into Feb. Until there is better blocking no snow just rain. A few days ago he sounded excited , all he was highlighting was the cold. Then he states the PV comes in and the storms track to the far South. That's the recap. I don't agree, just reporting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:27 AM, nj2va said: Did you forget last weekend? Or the snow on snow this week? Our storm this weekend were multiple times modeled as 20 to 30 inch storms. Another example of a 50 50 storm that trended badly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:33 AM, Ji said: On 1/19/2019 at 4:27 AM, nj2va said: Did you forget last weekend? Or the snow on snow this week? Expand Our storm this weekend were multiple times modeled as 20 to 30 inch storms. Another example of a 50 50 storm that trended badly Expand And Randy thinks I am full of bad news all the time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:31 AM, frd said: Just watched DT's new This Week in Weather. Basically depressing, DT says no 50 50 and therefore all rain threats into Feb. Until there is better blocking no snow just rain. A few days ago he sounded excited , all he was highlighting was the cold. Then he states the PV comes in and the storms track to the far South. That's the recap. I don't agree, just reporting it. Expand Wow that is depressing...mercy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:35 AM, yoda said: And Randy thinks I am full of bad news all the time lolGiving bad news and complaining are 2 different things. If any model is bad news for us.. you will let us know lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The ggem actually trended east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:33 AM, Ji said: On 1/19/2019 at 4:27 AM, nj2va said: Did you forget last weekend? Or the snow on snow this week? Expand Our storm this weekend were multiple times modeled as 20 to 30 inch storms. Another example of a 50 50 storm that trended badly Expand Again...what about last weekend? Forgive me if I can't understand your complaint after you got close to a foot! And ya didn't honestly take those 20-30 inch fantasy runs seriously, did you? And the fact that this weekend didn't work out really shouldn't be a surprise...to me, it was pretty clear even 6-7 days ago that we would struggle to produce with that kind of track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Until a big low crashes into southern cal and makes its way east....with a high pressure locked in place...in se Canada....there is no reason to think were going to get that Nino monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:33 AM, Ji said: On 1/19/2019 at 4:27 AM, nj2va said: Did you forget last weekend? Or the snow on snow this week? Expand Our storm this weekend were multiple times modeled as 20 to 30 inch storms. Another example of a 50 50 storm that trended badly Expand We all kind feel like Ji. It actually is a much harder hobby when the pattern starts to get “better”. Big storms pop up in the medium to long range. But our climo is our climo. And we find different ways to fail. PSU always says even in a great pattern we still need a lot of luck. Hopefully it’s a week until we score again and not 2+ weeks or we will all be on tilt lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:31 AM, frd said: Just watched DT's new This Week in Weather. Basically depressing, DT says no 50 50 and therefore all rain threats into Feb. Until there is better blocking no snow just rain. A few days ago he sounded excited , all he was highlighting was the cold. Then he states the PV comes in and the storms track to the far South. That's the recap. I don't agree, just reporting it. Expand He is too beholden to his snowstorm checklist. Not every snow fits into his neat ideal scenario. Extreme blocking and the kind of cold we’re looking at changes the equation some. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 It's ok.. it will go back to storms and cold with the next run like it did at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Last weeks storm was not an enjoyable track. We all had settled on being happy with 1 -2 inches. Bob said his threshold was 1. We didn't even know we were getting 12 till 4 hours before the storm ended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:44 AM, psuhoffman said: He is too beholden to his snowstorm checklist. Not every snow fits into his neat ideal scenario. Extreme blocking and the kind of cold we’re looking at changes the equation some. We will see. Expand We can get snow without a 50/50 low. It's just going to be more of a 2013-2014 pattern than a 2010 pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:48 AM, Ji said: Last weeks storm was not an enjoyable track. We all had settled on being happy with 1 -2 inches. Bob said his threshold was 1. We didn't even know we were getting 12 till 4 hours before the storm ended. Expand Gfs just lost the -nao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:49 AM, Bob Chill said: Gfs just lost the -nao Expand Wow that's a shocker! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:50 AM, Waiting on snow said: Wow that's a shocker! Lol Expand Shhh... i'm trolling.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:49 AM, Bob Chill said: Gfs just lost the -nao Expand Two weeks until it returns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:49 AM, Bob Chill said: Gfs just lost the -nao Expand GFS has been all over the place in this pattern. It's no more believable than it was 6 hrs ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/19/2019 at 4:49 AM, Amped said: We can get snow without a 50/50 low. It's just going to be more of a 2013-2014 pattern than a 2010 pattern. Expand For a time. I’m not sure the war will be a long term problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Uh oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Rain all the way to Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The GFS is such a wonderful model! Vodka cold to flip flops in 6 hrs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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