USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Wrong storm James. Dial it back Sorry Bob, I was just making a point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 6 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Every single poster here would take that . There’s not one that wouldn’t Actually, that would be a letdown to me at this point. I'll be up north, so hoping it's all white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Nice 18z euro trend. Juiced up a bit. Prob low end advisory type amounts...really need to see one more frame for the totals but it's a pretty good through 90h which is where the run stops in off hour runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nice 18z euro trend. Juiced up a bit. Prob low end advisory type amounts...really need to see one more frame for the totals but it's a pretty good through 90h which is where the run stops in off hour runs. How does it look for the coastal plain of Cape Cod? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nice 18z euro trend. Juiced up a bit. Prob low end advisory type amounts...really need to see one more frame for the totals but it's a pretty good through 90h which is where the run stops in off hour runs. Does it snow most of Friday morning or is it kind of a midnight -7:00 am deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: How does it look for the coastal plain of Cape Cod? Rain. Maybe some brief snow to start. This one isn't yours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Does it snow most of Friday morning or is it kind of a midnight -7:00 am deal? Euro looks like it goes into Friday morning. 18z run stops at 12z Friday but it is snowing steadily at that point with an inch or two down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nice 18z euro trend. Juiced up a bit. Prob low end advisory type amounts...really need to see one more frame for the totals but it's a pretty good through 90h which is where the run stops in off hour runs. Keep forgetting we have this thread for that, I commented in the other that it was more amped and north of 12z, If it went a few more panels it looked like it could be a 3-4" deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: How does it look for the coastal plain of Cape Cod? The mountains of cape cod should do well in this one. The lower elevations will have mostly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Rain. Maybe some brief snow to start. This one isn't yours. How about New York City sorry to bother you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: How about New York City sorry to bother you Looks like maybe a little snow burst before it changes to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like maybe a little snow burst before it changes to rain. I don’t believe that. I think the nam solution looks more trustworthy. Thanks though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: I don’t believe that. I think the nam solution looks more trustworthy. Thanks though 84hr NAM? Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 You don't bet against Darth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: 84hr NAM? Good luck. Are we living in another realm? What is it with the wishcasting? Is the lack of snow like a withdrawal from nicotine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 Medication time... NAM > Euro Down is up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 NAM looks good for Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Ask Will for his thoughts then calls him a liar, WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, NYCweatherNOW said: I don’t believe that. I think the nam solution looks more trustworthy. Thanks though They say the truth hurts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ask Will for his thoughts then calls him a liar, WTF? I think he just means he doesn't believe it will verify. Which is fine...it's 3+ days out...they could end up with a bit more CAD and get a couple inches. But the Euro was prob a little too toasty in the city for that. NW suburbs prob saw some accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, NYCweatherNOW said: I don’t believe that. I think the nam solution looks more trustworthy. Thanks though Oh god, it's James evil twin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 How far NW does that warm tongue get thrusted? BOX’s AFD makes it sound like it all gets washed away. I am doubting that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, NYCweatherNOW said: I don’t believe that. I think the nam solution looks more trustworthy. Thanks though Your sarcasm is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: How far NW does that warm tongue get thrusted? BOX’s AFD makes it sound like it all gets washed away. I am doubting that I am skeptical it even gets above freezing in the interior...or at least more than mid 30s. Depends where the sfc low tracks...it's pretty weak but it will still allow mild air if it tracks west of us. But it looks like to me there's some CAD that will be underplayed on guidance. Could torch a bit in SE areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 84hr NAM? Good luck. The vortex in Canada is pretty far south and the energy causing the trof in the PAC NW is a classic signal for a HPN-BDR—Cape or even NYC SWFE. If you look at a composite of stations in coastal SNE down to NYC for SWFEs where they remained mostly frozen there are low heights near SEA while the events where ORH-BOS-POU-BDL do better the heights out that way tend to be higher. The problem NYC has in this event though is the high position is poor causing SE flow and SSTs are warmer than normal. I think NYC will stay snow much longer than JFK will and EWR might never change over at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Nam and Icon identical, what could go wrong.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Nam and Icon identical, what could go wrong.... Someone in the MA forum (he’s a reliable poster) swears that the ICON is very good at sniffing out the eventual occurrence or even end track of a system at 108-144 then it completely loses things and sucks thereafter. Sounds like just random luck on a few events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: Someone in the MA forum (he’s a reliable poster) swears that the ICON is very good at sniffing out the eventual occurrence or even end track of a system at 108-144 then it completely loses things and sucks thereafter. Sounds like just random luck on a few events Bob Chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nam and Icon identical, what could go wrong.... Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Low end warning amounts for some on the GFS? Pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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