Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 10:17 PM, PivotPoint said: 18z gfs cold air wedged in a little better. Didn’t look at sounding but guess we lose mid levels as the low passes through the area. Could be a better trend. Would like to see the vort a little more vigorous like dipicted in the nam Expand It will be another test of the trend over the last year for shortwaves to juice up in the short range. There's a low ceiling imo. Prob around .30 qpf max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 10:28 PM, Bob Chill said: It will be another test of the trend over the last year for shortwaves to juice up in the short range. There's a low ceiling imo. Prob around .30 qpf max.Most of you all were happy when models were giving you. 30 on last weeks storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 10:30 PM, Ji said: On 1/15/2019 at 10:28 PM, Bob Chill said: It will be another test of the trend over the last year for shortwaves to juice up in the short range. There's a low ceiling imo. Prob around .30 qpf max. Expand Most of you all were happy when models were giving you. 30 on last weeks storms Expand Snow is like money. You are ok with a certain amount of it because you are happy to have some instead of none. But once you experience getting a larger amount, you need even more to be satisfied because the original amount you had is no longer is satisfying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 10:30 PM, Ji said: On 1/15/2019 at 10:28 PM, Bob Chill said: It will be another test of the trend over the last year for shortwaves to juice up in the short range. There's a low ceiling imo. Prob around .30 qpf max. Expand Most of you all were happy when models were giving you. 30 on last weeks storms Expand I'll honestly be happy if I see a little snow fall again before it all washes down the stormdrain this weekend. If there are any piles left they'll be gone with the next west track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 10:30 PM, Ji said: On 1/15/2019 at 10:28 PM, Bob Chill said: It will be another test of the trend over the last year for shortwaves to juice up in the short range. There's a low ceiling imo. Prob around .30 qpf max. Expand Most of you all were happy when models were giving you. 30 on last weeks storms Expand To be fair of course we all would love the big dog every storm...but some of us enjoy every event for what they are...you just aren't one of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 10:28 PM, Bob Chill said: It will be another test of the trend over the last year for shortwaves to juice up in the short range. There's a low ceiling imo. Prob around .30 qpf max. Expand Yup, I think .30 is good guess as to max potential. I just want to see snow on snow. I’ll take my measly inch before the deluge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 9:07 PM, leesburg 04 said: I drove to northern Jersey this morning and just got home. I don't feel bad at all...just sayin if you know what I mean. Bare ground Expand Coincidentally, I went up to and am just leaving northern New Jersey. And still bare ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 18z RGEM looks decent to start as the run ends... light snow across the region starting around 20z THUR... temps are in the upper 20s to around 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 @yoda How does the 18z Euro look for Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Best this has looked on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 12:45 AM, Chris78 said: @yoda How does the 18z Euro look for Thursday? Expand It looks better. Colder and wetter. Stormvista has 2-4 for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 12:51 AM, DCTeacherman said: It looks better. Colder and wetter. Stormvista has 2-4 for DC. Expand Interesting. Hug stormvista—maybe late night models will turn Thursday night into a small victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 12:51 AM, DCTeacherman said: It looks better. Colder and wetter. Stormvista has 2-4 for DC. Expand Really 2-4. Wow. Cut that in half and still better than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 12:50 AM, nj2va said: Best this has looked on the Euro Expand On what bizaaro planet is the jackpot over my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 1:05 AM, BristowWx said: Really 2-4. Wow. Cut that in half and still better than expected. Expand So like 1-2"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Fed gov shuts down and DC always gets snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 1:45 AM, Eskimo Joe said: Fed gov shuts down and DC always gets snow. Expand Actually...we all do! Take a look at the four longest shutdowns...and just think about what happened in the winters that followed, lol (now this is an image from earlier last week, so of course we're now at 25 days)--And of course 1996 was the exact same winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 1:07 AM, BristowWx said: On what bizaaro planet is the jackpot over my house Expand Again, I’ll believe the pwc jackpot when i see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Looking for GFS to kick the can and keep the game going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 00z NAM looks solid for an inch... maybe two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 2:41 AM, yoda said: 00z NAM looks solid for an inch... maybe two Expand Also bullseyed just south of DC for the third straight run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3km NAM not as good... maybe an inch if lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Gfs 1 to 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 3:48 AM, midatlanticweather said: Gfs 1 to 2? Expand Along Mason-Dixon line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 RGEM ensemble cut back from the 12z run, especially in western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 leesburg 04 said: I drove to northern Jersey this morning and just got home. I don't feel bad at all...just sayin if you know what I mean. Bare ground On 1/15/2019 at 11:42 PM, nw baltimore wx said: Coincidentally, I went up to and am just leaving northern New Jersey. And still bare ground. Expand And I can confirm that north of there in SE NY State -- the Goshen and Middletown, NY areas (about 45 min drive east of Scranton) -- also had no snow with this last event. They've had some snow already, but not lately. ** Lowest temp so far for the season this morning IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 11:19 AM, Herb@MAWS said: I drove to northern Jersey this morning and just got home. I don't feel bad at all...just sayin if you know what I mean. Bare ground And I can confirm that north of there in SE NY State -- the Goshen and Middletown, NY areas (about 45 min drive east of Scranton) -- also had no snow with this last event. They've had some snow already, but not lately. ** Lowest temp so far for the season this morning IMBY. Expand I got about 6.25 inches of snow in sparrows point MD with this past weekends event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Euro is a dusting for all GFS 2" along the MD line, with less as you go south, 0 for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 12:39 PM, mappy said: Euro is a dusting for all GFS 2" along the MD line, with less as you go south, 0 for DC Expand Ah, back to normal finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 worst event ever...it wouldnt even be a good event in a year like 01-02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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