40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it is...but the key is not having that PV drop so sharply south like on the OP run....so that it sort of cedes the best mechanics back to the southwest and invites a storm to ride almost due north up the frontal boundary to our west. If we can moderate that southward dive a bit on future runs then this would probably provide a pretty good outcome for us. The op is probably overdoing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 EPS continue to look good too beyond the PV intrusion....we're gonna have our chances I think. We just gotta start scoring on them at this point given how many misses we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I am curious how some of those heavy packed locations in Maine's snowmobile country are doing from all of this. They are still in CAD in all the snow mobile areas from near Bridgeton to Bethel up to Rangeley and then northeast toward Millinocket. They won't lose much at all there. Prob just fill the pack with water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 23 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I was wondering how Mitch was doing out there with upslope rain and a gigantic pack He didn't lose that much I bet. Probably was in the low 40s for max temps/dews and had a ton of qpf in it already. Just as reference--had over 3" of rain here and went from 12-13" to 7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 6 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I am curious how some of those heavy packed locations in Maine's snowmobile country are doing from all of this. will find out saturday. Was going to go tomorrow, but this is worse than I thought it would be. What happened to 1"rn? My bucket is jammed with melting snow, but I bet we're close that now and looks like hours of rn left. fuk this crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 At home looking out the window of the rear yard, how I struggled to give the dogs an area to play, all that hard pack is just gone, wtf, and pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Wicked glad this isn't December 24th. Weenies melting in grief that Santa's sleigh will be grounded an all that. If the PV (or the High Pressure) were to be tilted more toward the South East would it help us as we move ahead? Not even sure if the question makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 23 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I am curious how some of those heavy packed locations in Maine's snowmobile country are doing from all of this. Snow pack in my area of Central NH is doing just fine right now. Temps mostly in the 30's. Warm air is riding just above the surface in many locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 This winter has more freeze up and melt outs than any I can recall since I moved here in '08. It's been like mud season every 2 weeks since December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 My modest N ORH pack is pretty wiped out today. 54F and a ton of rain First time in over 20 years our main road was flooded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 That’s a boatload of rain still to move through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: My modest N ORH pack is pretty wiped out today. 54F and a ton of rain First time in over 20 years our main road was flooded Danger ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Some of my ski club parents were questioning my cancellation. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: That’s a boatload of rain still to move through. yeah .... I'm wondering if this is positive bust on QPF ... if that's possible in a rain version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dpb1983 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 So much time wasted snow-blowing on Monday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 5 minutes ago, Dpb1983 said: So much time wasted snow-blowing on Monday... It's true... buuut, there are folks with handicap family members ...and also, business can't afford to f -around with that and liability so they have to treat every one like it's the onset of the next ice-age. But if you're some young, robust singles person or family... it could be construed as relegated to a time waste. I've done this in the past ... just plied weather acumen and opted not to shovel out ... particularly in March events I'll assess the necessity. Or in a situation like this... But, there's always the possibility for mechanical injury regardless of one's age and base health. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: My modest N ORH pack is pretty wiped out today. 54F and a ton of rain First time in over 20 years our main road was flooded Greenfield has only had a few hours of 48-50F so I think the late start on the warm up helped. Probably 3-4" of sponge in town, 4-5" my hood. Next we go glacier I guess. I best get a few buckets of sand for the driveway today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah .... I'm wondering if this is positive bust on QPF ... if that's possible in a rain version Def a bust compared to modeling that I saw. A reverse of last weekend here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1.05" so far @ 54, would this be considered a January Thaw? This suks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 23 minutes ago, weathafella said: That’s a boatload of rain still to move through. was this system more amped then frcst? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 hour ago, weathafella said: I expect my pack to be gone when I go home tonight. Snoski ftw. Even a glacier is no match for 50s dews. I honestly didn't think this cutter would be that warm & wet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: will find out saturday. Was going to go tomorrow, but this is worse than I thought it would be. What happened to 1"rn? My bucket is jammed with melting snow, but I bet we're close that now and looks like hours of rn left. fuk this crap Grab a paper bag and take deep breaths for christ sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it is...but the key is not having that PV drop so sharply south like on the OP run....so that it sort of cedes the best mechanics back to the southwest and invites a storm to ride almost due north up the frontal boundary to our west. If we can moderate that southward dive a bit on future runs then this would probably provide a pretty good outcome for us. How about we go all-in and dive that SOB to the Virginia Capes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: They are still in CAD in all the snow mobile areas from near Bridgeton to Bethel up to Rangeley and then northeast toward Millinocket. They won't lose much at all there. Prob just fill the pack with water. There will still be a lot of pack in the mts and north, but every un-bridged low sag may be filled with sled-grabbing slush until things refreeze. Maybe Saturday morning's near zero will firm things up enough, but it may take more than one such overnight. If an eager groomer operator guesses wrong, it won't be pretty. This winter has more freeze up and melt outs than any I can recall since I moved here in '08. It's been like mud season every 2 weeks since December. I've retained snow cover since the dense 2" on Nov. 10, but almost every snow event has ended with liquid, until this past Sunday at least and even it had significant pingers. Hope I have sufficient wood ashes to make the driveway safe for humanity tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 18 minutes ago, dryslot said: Grab a paper bag and take deep breaths for christ sake. bourbon works better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 2 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I was wondering how Mitch was doing out there with upslope rain and a gigantic pack Not bad at all actually. This pack really is absorbing it like a sponge and I don't think I lost more than 6". Last year's thaw on 1/12 was far worse in terms of flooding around here for whatever reason. We had about a 2 foot pack prior to that event, but it nearly got wiped out unlike this event where it's held up comparatively well. Pretty much over to all snow now, albeit wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 What an awesome day and it gets better, cold and dry to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 18 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: bourbon works better Yeah, A whole fifth straight from the bottle, We will replenish it next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 44 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: How about we go all-in and dive that SOB to the Virginia Capes? Do that and I’ll read DIT his favorite bed time story every night until spring...a young boy who rode up and down SNE on his snow unicorn saving winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: was this system more amped then frcst? Not sure. Probably not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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