40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 5 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: NOAA's seasonal forecasts in October and November predicted above normal temperatures for this Winter. People hear what they want to hear. I still think Ray's forecast was great despite not getting snow. Most of what he's mentioned actually has occurred, and it was very educational regardless of the outcome. Sometimes $h!t happens (or doesn't). I'm usually pretty objective with grading...never had any complaints, although that may be a function of no one caring. If I nail the pattern, but miss badly on snowfall, then I will probably give it a like a C+. Its hard to argue that I missed the PNA potential when one of my most prominent analogs was 1969. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 hours ago, weathafella said: 1/1-10 had 9 above normal days and one below. 1/11-20 had 6 below normal days and 4 above. 1/21-30 will kick right off with 2 way below normal days. That to me is a pretty significant change even if it hasn’t snowed in Plymouth. And if you read my posts you would know that i wasnt talking plymouth centric. Nothing has really changed with the storm track. Which is why i was asking if someone could tell me what changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It usually comes with talk of it feeling warm on his nape , and the inside of cars warming up without him turning the heat on And light fall rates melting on wind shields due to increasing solar irradiance, despite cloudy skies and subfreezing temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 minute ago, #NoPoles said: And if you read my posts you would know that i wasnt talking plymouth centric. Nothing has really changed with the storm track. Which is why i was asking if someone could tell me what changed. It did, though. Most went from getting zero snowfall, to several inches. There is a difference between a cutter, and a track over the south coast with arctic air approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: And if you read my posts you would know that i wasnt talking plymouth centric. Nothing has really changed with the storm track. Which is why i was asking if someone could tell me what changed. Right. And my post you quoted was an example of the change. Will’s is a better example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2019 Author Share Posted January 22, 2019 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tip always does on Feb 10 Right ...right because that is physically the end of the perennial solar nadir ... which begins November 10 and ends on that Feb date... every year... A 6th grade complexity Earth -sun relationship facet that for some reason (gee I wonder why) doesn't seem to penetrate some individuals in this short-bus forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It did, though. Most went from getting zero snowfall, to several inches. Obviously we have only had one storm...yes the gradient pushed further south so that is a change...but the pattern before was also a gradient winter interspersed with cutters...so we are still sticking with the gradient pattern interspersed with cutters(going with the next storm on deck is a cutter)...so if the only change is that the gradient shifted further south...ok yes, it has for that one storm so far...but my perception is that it really wasnt that much of a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Right ...right because that is physically the end of the perennial solar nadir ... which begins November 10 and ends on that Feb date... every year... A 6th grade complexity Earth -sun relationship facet that for some reason (gee I wonder why) doesn't seem to penetrate some individuals in this short-bus forum My house faces due south so my driveway is bathed in sun. Sitting in my car earlier soaking in full sun felt amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 minute ago, #NoPoles said: Obviously we have only had one storm...yes the gradient pushed further south so that is a change...but the pattern before was also a gradient winter interspersed with cutters...so we are still sticking with the gradient pattern interspersed with cutters(going with the next storm on deck is a cutter)...so if the only change is that the gradient shifted further south...ok yes, it has for that one storm so far...but my perception is that it really wasnt that much of a change. Its not as large of a change as we want, agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: And light fall rates melting on wind shields due to increasing solar irradiance, despite cloudy skies and subfreezing temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 34 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: What's the over/under for how many days until somebody makes a sincere post about sun angle starting to effect daytime snow chances? I'm guessing we get one by the weekend. Your late, It was already mentioned two weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hi my first thought when I think of you isn't "funny". I can search for more adjectives if you like, such as perky, provocative, relentless, determined. Thinking of you though reminds me that Ryan is sometimes really funny. Top 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 44 minutes ago, weathafella said: Dendrite that would be Brian. His rise wasn't subtle. It was sudden, it was like "bam! that dude is funny!" It was a revelation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Your late, It was already mentioned two weeks ago. Who??? MPM, Whineminster, Taunton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Wow that’s impressive. Was it around the same for BDL? It was certainly one of the most impressive cold shots I’ve experienced. Yes sir....Bradley saw it's coldest High temp in almost 40 years yesterday(since 1981) at 4 above for the high temp. Super impressive that's for sure. This was colder than everything since 1981 at BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Who??? MPM, Whineminster, Taunton? The sun angle thing...not that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 3:54 PM, leo2000 said: Hopefully some big blizzards come soon. As we are entering the end of the "winter"as the sun angle starts getting stronger. Just a few weeks away. 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Who??? MPM, Whineminster, Taunton? , Oh leo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Euro not sucking through 144? Tip's relaxation below 35n maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Right ...right because that is physically the end of the perennial solar nadir ... which begins November 10 and ends on that Feb date... every year... A 6th grade complexity Earth -sun relationship facet that for some reason (gee I wonder why) doesn't seem to penetrate some individuals in this short-bus forum Jesus, chill...its a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jesus, chill...its a joke. Right!!??....Holy heck the guy constantly compares this forum with a Mental Institution lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Judah hanging on for dear life: "However the MJO is expected to trnasition to five and six over the next two weeks. MJO phases 4-6 favors ridging over eastern North America with mild temperatures and troughing over western North America with cold temperatures. It is not obvious to me that the MJO is influencing North American weather. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2019 Author Share Posted January 22, 2019 11 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: My house faces due south so my driveway is bathed in sun. Sitting in my car earlier soaking in full sun felt amazing I like those too... those moments when your in a kind of "nook" that's cozy. It's an autumn and spring phenomenon. Sometimes on that rare April day when April isn't being the more typical asshole, I like those faux mild moments like that. Those moments that actually cause Keven pain ... thank god! But uh, we get that in October sometimes going the other way. An early chilly air mass in a calm wind over saffron leaf fall with still relative sun warmth has its splendor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2019 Author Share Posted January 22, 2019 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Right!!??....Holy heck the guy constantly compares this forum with a Mental Institution lol... and the same people get freaked out by it for a reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2019 Author Share Posted January 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jesus, chill...its a joke. It's a joke that happens because people want to vent their frustrations .. which is fake. It's a baggage -based joke - that's eye-rolling and I'm going to bite back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What a lucky woman. Ha, I get better attention from my 5 year old when talking weather. Usually 30 seconds into a scientific explanation she will interrupt with.... So is it going to snow? and how much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Day 8 EURO has a upper 970s SLP over extreme NW ME lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's a joke that happens because people want to vent their frustrations .. which is fake. It's a baggage -based joke - that's eye-rolling and I'm going to bite back. No, it was just a joke on my end. Baggage? I'll leave that alone- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Strange evolution for that storm on the 12 Euro @hr180 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Day 8 EURO has a upper 970s SLP over extreme NW ME lol N NY/N VT crushed... cold air nearby for SNE, but its in the upper 40s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Day 8 EURO has a upper 970s SLP over extreme NW ME lol That would be it for me...my frustration would propagate onto the keyboard. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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