40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: It’s all preliminary, don’t take anything to seriously yet i'll take that....big change from when i went to bed last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 50th percentile of all EPS members. Very wet for a 50 I buy it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Even if you knock of 0.5" like Tip mentioned, and if you take off 0.1" for the Friday schmear, it still gives many 1.0-1.5" of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Even if you knock of 0.5" like Tip mentioned, and if you take off 0.1" for the Friday schmear, it still gives many 1.0-1.5" of qpf I continue this in Rays storm thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 W 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Even if you knock of 0.5" like Tip mentioned, and if you take off 0.1" for the Friday schmear, it still gives many 1.0-1.5" of qpf That would be 25% category Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Temp430 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Henry Margusity said yesterday in his blog that he likes the ICON solution posted below. The system cuts across the Appalachians in West Virginia and strengthens off the coast to paraphrase. Not sure of the reasoning behind that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 MJO ends winter again .. .heh.. I remember heavy-handed post content lobbied at anyone that dare suggest the wave may re-mature in Phase 5 ... Meanwhile, the AO is slowly backing off it's plumbed depths at CPC... inches... Boy, I tell you... this late autumn into winter may be fantastically lucky it's snow at all up to this point. I've never seen a planet so hell bent on fighting it's it's own season - haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Nah, exceptionally cold with tremendous omega, as with thought you will sit back with 20 inches plus. You can quickly get half a foot in the CCB Disagree on 20"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: MJO ends winter again .. .heh.. I remember heavy-handed post content lobbied at anyone that dare suggest the wave may re-mature in Phase 5 ... Meanwhile, the AO is slowly backing off it's plumbed depths at CPC... inches... Boy, I tell you... this late autumn into winter may be fantastically lucky it's snow at all up to this point. I've never seen a planet so hell bent on fighting it's it's own season - haha I'll bet against MJO "ending winter" in early Feb....regardless of where it positions itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Disagree on 20"+. El Niño southern stream juicy into very cold arctic air pressing. Somebody not too far from you gets 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: MJO ends winter again .. .heh.. I remember heavy-handed post content lobbied at anyone that dare suggest the wave may re-mature in Phase 5 ... Meanwhile, the AO is slowly backing off it's plumbed depths at CPC... inches... Boy, I tell you... this late autumn into winter may be fantastically lucky it's snow at all up to this point. I've never seen a planet so hell bent on fighting it's it's own season - haha Agreed it's a bad look. At this point I wouldn't be surprised if November's storm was the only snow this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 27 minutes ago, Temp430 said: Henry Margusity said yesterday in his blog that he likes the ICON solution posted below. The system cuts across the Appalachians in West Virginia and strengthens off the coast to paraphrase. Not sure of the reasoning behind that. Hey, another VT poster! Welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 9 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Agreed it's a bad look. At this point I wouldn't be surprised if November's storm was the only snow this season. Can I ask you something? Why do you post in this sub-forum? We have posters from ME and northern VT to CT. The one thing they have in common? Different climates than where you are. WE and more specifically all of the posters north of the NH/MA border have already seen more snow than November. If you want to post here and lend your analysis, then please make it germane to the sub-forum you are posting in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 CMC really likes the 25th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 37 minutes ago, Temp430 said: Henry Margusity said yesterday in his blog that he likes the ICON solution posted below. The system cuts across the Appalachians in West Virginia and strengthens off the coast to paraphrase. Not sure of the reasoning behind that. That's because it jackpots State college.................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: CMC really likes the 25th Right off of tracking one to another, The way life should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS with more fun middle of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, mreaves said: Can I ask you something? Why do you post in this sub-forum? We have posters from ME and northern VT to CT. The one thing they have in common? Different climates than where you are. WE and more specifically all of the posters north of the NH/MA border have already seen more snow than November. If you want to post here and lend your analysis, then please make it germane to the sub-forum you are posting in. You posted way too many words for this....you could have easily just said: "Glad we don't live there" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 12 minutes ago, mreaves said: Can I ask you something? Why do you post in this sub-forum? We have posters from ME and northern VT to CT. The one thing they have in common? Different climates than where you are. WE and more specifically all of the posters north of the NH/MA border have already seen more snow than November. If you want to post here and lend your analysis, then please make it germane to the sub-forum you are posting in. Almost nobody saw more snow since November in SNE. The climate of SNE vs. CNE/NNE is also drastically different but yet people still post here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Almost nobody saw more snow since November in SNE. The climate of SNE vs. CNE/NNE is also drastically different but yet people still post here. We're a lot closer to CNE climate than NJ. I average only slightly less snow than CON and PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I've gotten an inch since November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We're a lot closer to CNE climate than NJ. I average only slightly less snow than CON and PWM. Yeah, Night and day between here and NJ climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 East Brunswick probably is good for half or less snow than most of Boston metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll bet against MJO "ending winter" in early Feb....regardless of where it positions itself. just in case ... I was only reflecting the WH product - I don't personally rely on the MJO much for reasons i've hammered ad nauseam and won't again - .. it helps and hurts but doesn't stop or start.. . blah blah... I really thought it was funny how folks were like, " ...the MJO is not going to amplify in 5" ... whatever-for it may mean for the world this time, it's doing just that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: .... But, I'm not speaking or intending any sort of absolutes here... I'm making valid conjecture for folks to consider ... because no one can say anything I've brought up can't come of all this... Hell, we could see a powerful S/stream system still end up S and now we have a fast moving coastal bomb. Not impossible either... But of all, I do see the ALB-CON-Coastal Maine cyclone egress as unlikely without a low probability realization of major phasing. You gotta be f'n kidding me ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: We're a lot closer to CNE climate than NJ. I average only slightly less snow than CON and PWM. He got blasted In the NYC forum for making completely contradictory statements in the course of one day yesterday. Trolltastic! Are we in for 45 straight days of cold and snow? Of course not. Anyone thinking that was setting themselves up for failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 hours ago, Temp430 said: Henry Margusity said yesterday in his blog that he likes the ICON solution posted below. The system cuts across the Appalachians in West Virginia and strengthens off the coast to paraphrase. Not sure of the reasoning behind that. I don't usually like to say this about Pro Mets....but he could be one of the worst I've ever seen..the guy is just plain bad. Flip Flops more than a fish out of water. Whatever he said....take it with a huge grain/rock of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 7 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Here’s another dude that fully melted yesterday back on the cold train. Welcome to yesterday Mid January, 2019 and the SNE kick in the jewels map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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