ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 38 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha, that was tongue in cheek. But less phasing and it's going the way of the UKMET. That might have been mean though, I doubt you really have a shot. I just want to see tomorrow's runs when everything comes ashore and energy sampled. Day 5-6 forecasts are rarely correct without some adjustments. Only 4 days away now 96 hours until go time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Heavy heavy caution flag waving this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 26 minutes ago, dryslot said: Now over the next day or two settle in on a track, I’m leaning inside the BM to ACK. That track happens to bode well for us, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS has gone back NW, still considerably better than 18z but concerning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, WthrJunkyME said: That track happens to bode well for us, no? That would be most favored with the way the boundary looks to be aligned, Typically inside the BM, NNE thru or the Eastern GOM will produce here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Let me finish my decade in GC with a good snow please!! This will set the stage really nicely for the mild-down that follows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Let me finish my decade in GC with a good snow please!! This will set the stage really nicely for the mild-down that follows. GC will follow you no matter where you live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: That would be most favored with the way the boundary looks to be aligned, Typically inside the BM, NNE thru or the Eastern GOM will produce here Thanks, fingers crossed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Let me finish my decade in GC with a good snow please!! This will set the stage really nicely for the mild-down that follows. Good luck, MPM. Moving is a stressful event, no matter how far. Exciting too, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Let me finish my decade in GC with a good snow please!! This will set the stage really nicely for the mild-down that follows. Mild down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: Good luck, MPM. Moving is a stressful event, no matter how far. Exciting too, though! Thanks. This one seems much less stressful for some reason. Perhaps my daughter's being away at school and my wife at an apartment in Westboro during the work week is making this feel a little less homey. I'm guessing I'll be spending time during Sunday's event packing boxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 22 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Let me finish my decade in GC with a good snow please!! This will set the stage really nicely for the mild-down that follows. What is a mild down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Whineminster said: What is a mild down Ask DIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 As Chris said, news to watch for any correction NW, mostly due to mid level lows and Synoptics. It’s mostly a matter for interior where you are talking snow or IP/ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 30 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: GFS has gone back NW, still considerably better than 18z but concerning. Did not go NW. it did slow down some though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Thanks. This one seems much less stressful for some reason. Perhaps my daughter's being away at school and my wife at an apartment in Westboro during the work week is making this feel a little less homey. I'm guessing I'll be spending time during Sunday's event packing boxes. I prefer a “quiet” move myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 What a cave for the Euro and GFS, that's pretty embarrassing. UKMET so far is crushing this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Lol, No it’s not, That 12z UK run yesterday had low pressure tracking well outside the BM and came back west inside it at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 6z GEFS look great still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I thought it would correct about 75 miles but this was better. As for QPF, not sure it they are overdone or not... models have been consistent with big amounts.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: I thought it would correct about 75 miles but this was better. As for QPF, not sure it they are overdone or not... models have been consistent with big amounts. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk May as well continue last year's trend of systems with big amounts--especially if it's the frozen kind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I don't think they're overdone, That is a lot of moisture being transported north out of the Gulf along the boundary, QPF has been consistent in the 1-2"+ range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Im skeptical of 2"+ qpf amounts except right near and just south of the lower level WF where some convection would aid things. But we'll see as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Interesting modeling last night. Well have to see what today brings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, The Graupler said: Interesting modeling last night. Well have to see what today brings Well, the 18z runs will have us a close to the the 3-day mark so hopefully confidence by way of model consistency/consolidation of outcomes will grow. Of course, they can continue to shift or better yet, shift and diverge so we can completely be scratching our heads again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: As Chris said, news to watch for any correction NW, mostly due to mid level lows and Synoptics. It’s mostly a matter for interior where you are talking snow or IP/ZR. I think south of the Pike area, especially closer to the CT line will be the area to watch for ZR; areas north of the Pike might ping for a bit but stay mostly snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Only goes out to 90h (very beginning of event) but no real changes on 06z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Maybe a hair slower but that was about it on the 06z Euro, At least now we're getting into the time frame where we will start to know where its going to end up as we have precip getting into western areas at hr90, Feels like we have tracked this one for weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Looks like immediate east coast has a good shot to finally see some snow. was following Harvey and he’s honkin ...he also has been posting how this has been Boston’s worst winter to date ...on record! Worst winter? How is that? What context was that in? Usually when "worst" is mentioned on air they are talking about large amounts of snow, etc., and not the other way around (weenie who loves snow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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