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January 2019 Discussion II


Typhoon Tip

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11 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said:

About 500 miles east of last night. So much better..

That trough is getting the squeeze play put on it on the ukie. So this looks like it would get crunched eastward in another frame..more than the GFS. That's another aspect of the system that people should be leery of...Ray mentioned it...the trough is going to have some pressure on it from the PV so we could see it get "pinched" a little bit after initially amping. You could shove things E or SE pretty fast that way...suppression is def still a possibility despite the most recent guidance. 

 

Were still 6 days out. 

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6 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

It would figure that with the weekend storm we wanted some phasing with one of those and couldn't get it, but in this winter we know what is going to happen and we just don't want to accept it. The Euro will most likely continue shifting toward a phase and we will end up with a Canadian result for this weekend...

Doom and gloom on the horizon.

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4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That trough is getting the squeeze play put on it on the ukie. So this looks like it would get crunched eastward in another frame..more than the GFS. That's another aspect of the system that people should be leery of...Ray mentioned it...the trough is going to have some pressure on it from the PV so we could see it get "pinched" a little bit after initially amping. You could shove things E or SE pretty fast that way...suppression is def still a possibility despite the most event guidance. 

 

Were still 6 days out. 

Yes, I would rather see precip type issues right now.

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