ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:07 AM, CoastalWx said: The synoptic change is big. That’s not just cold, it’s a different look at 500. Expand Phase job with PV lobe in trouble.....AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Poor icon should of just not ran at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Casual 22 degree (26 to 4) 2 m temp difference from PWM to GYX (17 miles as the crow flies). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 For once, NAM led the way on the 0z runs, so far anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:09 AM, ORH_wxman said: Phase job with PV lobe in trouble.....AWT. Expand No mating. Just blue balled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Pretty dramatic change at 500 on both GFS and CMC from prior runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:09 AM, ORH_wxman said: Phase job with PV lobe in trouble.....AWT. Expand That's what 12z ensemble uncertainty was showing. The NW solutions were driven by northern stream features. Speed was the "southern" stream, but that shortwave is out over the open Pacific. With 48-60 hours to go before that's over the West Coast there could be some additional swings, but maybe GOES-17 is providing a little better sampling and data ingest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:10 AM, 78Blizzard said: For once, NAM led the way on the 0z runs, so far anyway. Expand No, we've seen this before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 No phase with PV means this is gonna get squashed by it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:10 AM, 78Blizzard said: For once, NAM led the way on the 0z runs, so far anyway. Expand To be fair, the NAM always leads the 00z runs because it comes out first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Poor Kevin. Lost his 1.5" of ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Sensible 7" - 14" amounts on the gfs clowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I hope the damed phasing stays away for good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:13 AM, CT Rain said: Poor Kevin. Lost his 1.5" of ZR. Expand I think he'll find a way to cope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Been watching trends , higher pressure here and slower ejection of 5H, all good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Honestly this 00z trends are better, but still too warm for my liking on Cape Cod, I would like an all snow event, but it doesn't seem likely at this time, I will gladly take 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:13 AM, OceanStWx said: To be fair, the NAM always leads the 00z runs because it comes out first. Expand Duh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Over 3 inches of qpf on th he Canadian!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Still have a ways to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Deep thunder check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:16 AM, ineedsnow said: Over 3 inches of qpf on th he Canadian!! Expand Wawa special. Would be all snow there verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:16 AM, ineedsnow said: Over 3 inches of qpf on th he Canadian!! Expand I mean the NAEFS has a pretty stout IVT plume (originating in the Gulf of Mexico). High QPF around the warm front shouldn't be out of the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 12z CMC didn't produce any snow over Cape and Islands, 00z tonight's run produces 3-6". Also, anyone watching the storm for mid-week next week, that looks like a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:18 AM, NYCweatherNOW said: Deep thunder check Expand I will gladly take 10-20" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:21 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I will gladly take 10-20" of snow Expand I hope you get it James you and I are on the same boat ukmet or nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:21 AM, NYCweatherNOW said: I hope you get it James you and I are on the same boat ukmet or nothing Expand Yes, it would be nice to get back to back storms producing all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The next 6 weeks look to be more fun than the last 6 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 4:16 AM, ineedsnow said: Over 3 inches of qpf on th he Canadian!! Expand SELL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Ukmet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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