Hoth Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Don't melt don't melt don't melt dontmeltdontmeltdontmelt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Sell hard on those temperatures. Dendrite getting to 32F . Ok but even 10° colder most of SNE is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: 20.5" in November, 15.3" since, Nothing over 4" with the biggest storm being 6.2" in November, So yeah, We are slightly below normal. November was really the month here, like you. The only real difference up here has been a few more nickles and the big difference was that recent synoptic to upslope storm. You are one coastal plain only snowstorm away from being pretty equal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That outline is where it's been at least a normal winter. The gradient is insane though. I'm SE of the mendoza line on that map so although, Its more then what has fallen in SNE, Would have been nice to be 20 mi further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 34 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: FWIW ICON even better than 12z. Either the system comes later than current thinking around here or NNE gets royally skunked. SN progged to start Sat eve locally, would be a bummer to get a whole one inch between then and 18Z Sunday. I choose door #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, tamarack said: Either the system comes later than current thinking around here or NNE gets royally skunked. SN progged to start Sat eve locally, would be a bummer to get a whole one inch between then and 18Z Sunday. I choose door #1. It only went to hr 120, But it still looked to be south of the 12z run which was south of the 06z run and south of the 0z run so you see where i'm going with this ........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 14 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We are not allowed to use that term Do what you want but know that it makes no sense lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Might see some big wind gusts should some of this mix down at the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: It only went to hr 120, But it still looked to be south of the 12z run which was south of the 06z run and south of the 0z run so you see where i'm going with this ........lol It’s the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 GFS Simply holding serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Sell hard on those temperatures. Dendrite getting to 32F . Yeah, no way I get to freezing no matter what happens. CAD always overperforms and it starts out so darn cold up here. Hours of pingers, doubt we get into ZR but the big story with this when all is said and down is the freezing rain zone followed by flash freeze. Ice skating rink somewhere, where will that be? GFS seems to have cut qpf a bit in the 18Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 39 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Not the UK. That cant be ignored. ICON as well, but that could be ignored...for now. Let's see what the UK shows tonight. If it stays well south and east, it might be time to rethink what the rest of the globals are putting out. I'm betting it comes back well NW, but still stays offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 That 18z GFS run luckily has that pesky arctic high scooting E and off the coast ahead of the depicted midweek system. Wheeee... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Let's see what the UK shows tonight. If it stays well south and east, it might be time to rethink what the rest of the globals are putting out. I'm betting it comes back well NW, but still stays offshore. It will certainly come NW. How much TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 It’s the ICONThanks, I wasn’t aware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Good news for system 3 GFS moved 100 miles East with the surface reflection. Way out but sh it will be happening fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Lots to track at least. One of these has to break our way...just has to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Can we get any ideas on the 26 th storm? Seems another unlikely cutter with the cold press . Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 26 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol... it's not far from a normal winter up here. Again, the difference is more in how little snow has fallen south of the mountains, not how much has fallen in the mountains. I still think if SNE had seen normal snowfall to date, the perceived NNE winter would be a bit different. But I think its been very very much outlined by the mountains...even Sunday River and Sugarloaf have had a "great" winter (meaning average at least). Its not like Maine has been left out of it. From Sugarloaf to SVT at Mitch's spot, all the NH ski areas are doing real well seasonally too (NH jacked in the November snows). Dryslot, you down there on the coastal plain have been one of the few spots in NNE that might be below average? But then again, BTV just did their first spring flood outlook and from snow water equivalents had most of VT under 2,000ft as below normal snowpack/water for early January. I rode nearly 100 miles through the hills and mountains of east Central Vermont last weekend and never thought “Wow, there’s a ton of snow here!” That’s up to elevations over 2000’ too. Now I wouldn’t say it’s a poor winter at all, just not a blockbuster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Good news for system 3 GFS moved 100 miles East with the surface reflection. Way out but sh it will be happening fast Problem in the longer term is the EPO and the tendency for shit to cut. So much for niño as of now. It’s more the EPOhno. We need that ridging east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Can we get any ideas on the 26 th storm? Seems another unlikely cutter with the cold press . Thoughts? Are you serious? We can’t even figure out Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 29 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: And we've lost the NAVGEM. GTFO here with this shit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Models are doing what we all expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Are you serious? We can’t even figure out Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Problem in the longer term is the EPO and the tendency for shit to cut. So much for niño as of now. It’s more the EPOhno. We need that ridging east. Hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, The Graupler said: Models are doing what we all expected modeling the atmosphere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 We are prob going to get some serious NAO help after the 25-26th or so. We hope anyway. The guidance is really bullish on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Yeah they are, Sucking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: modeling the atmosphere? No silly, Running every 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 13 minutes ago, mreaves said: I rode nearly 100 miles through the hills and mountains of east Central Vermont last weekend and never thought “Wow, there’s a ton of snow here!” That’s up to elevations over 2000’ too. Now I wouldn’t say it’s a poor winter at all, just not a blockbuster. We are talking total snow for PF not whats left he is over 100 for the year Jan 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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