weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said: ICON is a snow thump then a changeover despite a great track and very vey cold surface temps. Take with a grain of salt but it’s nice to see that’s not an inland cutter. ICON gives me 18+. I’m selling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m talking boundary level temps on Friday day for SNE. Away from elevations and central New England . Not 850’s of -1/-2 I see slushy coatings much more likely as of now for pike /95 area if it’s snow I would say type of track combined with time of year supports mostly snow verses liquid now. The BL levels are very meso dependent meaning yes, elevation, but precip intensity also where elevation is is not a primary factor. 925's will change more quickly than the 850's at this time of year. I doubt that much warm air with that track gets that far north out side Cape and Islands maybe far Southshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: ICON gives me 18+. I’m selling Ya biggest takeaway is probably the fact that it trended stronger with the Friday storm. That Sunday track will change a ton. I also am definitely spending too much time talking about the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 0c 925 to LWM on 12z Friday . Don’t see 2-4” as modeled anywhere outside elevations and parts of VT/NH and more toward 2 there where do you see 2-4” , seriously Tropical tidbits snow maps has 2 to 4 maybe that's where Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dude, it’s ok. We will figure this out. Lol...no issues. Just wanted to clarify my point from yesterday. Lots to sort out here obviously. Im not thinking this is some 18-24 inch deal either.....those clown maps are insane. 3-6, 4-8 if we're lucky and then a good amount of Sleet/freezing rain seems where this is at currently. Things will change, but that's my thinking currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Welp def looks better on 12z gfs Friday not a bad look there for 495 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Not really much different then 06z with the track, Its a 1007mb low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 op GFS is quite juicy for Friday. That's an advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Welp def looks better on 12z gfs Friday not a bad look there Ya we take before the main event!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Nice appetizer for Friday. Just to remember that it used to snow in SNE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol...no issues. Just wanted to clarify my point from yesterday. Lots to sort out here obviously. Im not thinking this is some 18-24 inch deal either.....those clown maps are insane. 3-6, 4-8 if we're lucky and then a good amount of Sleet/freezing rain seems where this is at currently. Things will change, but that's my thinking currently. Hopefully the trends start to keep the storm more off shore where I think you can potentially get more than 3-6" or 4-8". But you are correct to play the conservative cards right now until we get closer in from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Welp def looks better on 12z gfs Friday not a bad look there Yes, advisory stuff away from the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Some may want to look away from the 12z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 CMC still a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Some may want to look away from the 12z GGEM Post em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Post em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Some may want to look away from the 12z GGEM I usually do, regardless of output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Nice event on the GFS for Friday. Really the bulk is overnight Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Some may want to look away from the 12z GGEM it's been on the cutter train for a couple of runs now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Toss that GGEM far and wide... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I Usually do, regardless of output. Most of us do, But when you throw one dog in there (ICON) you need another (GGEM) for a play date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 GGEM has been very consistent with the cutter idea. That does give me a little more confidence that we aren't getting a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Some may want to look away from the 12z GGEM Puts the low over the Great Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Yeah, rains on the CMC to Maine. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Puts the low over the Great Lakes Next run could be over Nick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 The trough axis is further nw this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Anyone know why on TT, the CMC 850 thermal depiction has a big chunk of nothing in the Western US? Just blank, white areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 12z GFS going to be a little more amped then the 06z run it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Where is the streak when you need one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 this run could bring back those insane QPF amounts for the queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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