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January 2019 Discussion II


Typhoon Tip

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EPS Mean bumped northwest. Instead of tracking over ACK its now at the canal. (if you attempt to pinpoint the middle of that strung out contour). The bump is really evident in the means snow. 6" snow line went from Block Island to the Pike that run. 

But of course the important component is that the storm is still there. Slight bump up in QPF too. Edit: that bump might actually be associated with the Friday system.

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6 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

You probably would rather see this adjustment now than 48-60 hours from now.  I don’t trust any trends in the ensembles or Ops til inside 108.  This is still way too far out 

Now I know what Ginx meant

this storm is gonna be telegraphed and then locked in , your not gonna see the changes 3 day out like earlier in the year. These runs 12z and next few runs are quite important on trends .

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