Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: Ryan, if the precip is heavy enough, will latent heat release save us? Or will the LL cold overwhelm the latent heat? It's not so much the Low Level Cold you should be worried about, it's the mid levels. I still believe with that track the Euro depicts the Mid Levels would be cold enough to support snow at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 12 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Man the Euro is ugly down here. That's a really impressive ice storm has modeled. Let’s hit it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: At times, It was, Plus -RN with a few hours of RN too, We will never forget. Take it like a man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: This is what it has, I always thought it was a sounding. But I guess not. Maybe someone else can chime on what levels are in there. It does look like more than just a few and then interpolation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 I'll take rain over ice any day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 EPS are pretty amped. Sleet into NH pretty easily this run. It's tracking the sfc low to the southeast still. But I'm sure there's a few cutters in that spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, Greg said: It's not so much the Low Level Cold you should be worried about, it's the mid levels. I still believe with that track the Euro depicts the Mid Levels would be cold enough to support snow at this time. As modeled there's plenty of cold being advected south during the storm. But we're so far out you can't really sa anything with certaintyt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Yeah not sure the logic of people cheering on elderly people shivering with no heat other than trolling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 47 minutes ago, Greg said: It's either snow or rain but not ice based on history. Unless the Euro is trying to depict a January 1886 Ice storm wich would be an over 100 year ice storm which I don't think will happen here. 1886 was over a hundred years ago lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 There's definitely some torchy members in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Pretty good bump too on the 12z/14 run on qpf from the 0z/14 EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said: 1886 was over a hundred years ago lol I know it was over 100 years ago but storms don't care about exact time frames or semantics. 1886 would be horrendous today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Keep in mind this is still 6 days out. I'm sure there will be more changes. The theme today is slightly amped vs suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Ice baby ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 25 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Needham, 1921 This looks SO tame compared to what my town looked like in 2008. There was literally no passable road out of Plaistow, NH that didn't require a chainsaw. Absolute and total devastation. We had telephone poled across out street with wires in the street for 6 days before crews even got to our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Greg said: I know it was over 100 years ago but storms don't care about exact time frames or semantics. 1886 would be horrendous today. I understand. Just that it’s not like it just happened and now we’re saying it could happen again. Clearly that’s rare but no reason to think it couldn’t reoccur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS are pretty amped. Sleet into NH pretty easily this run. It's tracking the sfc low to the southeast still. But I'm sure there's a few cutters in that spread. More spread SE right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS are pretty amped. Sleet into NH pretty easily this run. It's tracking the sfc low to the southeast still. But I'm sure there's a few cutters in that spread. Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: More spread SE right? There's a tight cluster southeast...def at least half. And then to the northwest there are a bunch of different types of storms including furnace cutters. The safest play is to stick with the tighter cluster but people need to understand that even a cutter can't be ruled out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Scooter is on it. The amp trend can’t be denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Scooter is on it. The amp trend can’t be denied. Ray wants the AMP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ray wants the AMP Not through ROC but between that and power sapping ice I’d take rain in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Not through ROC but between that and power sapping ice I’d take rain in a heartbeat. I’ll take frozen Hoping ASH reaches 8c 850 with temps in teens 2 bad me and DIT won’t have the same weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Euro dumps a trough out west late Jan with a nice eastern ridge. There goes our epic pattern change. Cutters galore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Euro dumps a trough out west late Jan with a nice eastern ridge. There goes our epic pattern change. Cutters galore. I been wondering about that but I haven’t been sold either way and a day 12 OP won’t change that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Euro dumps a trough out west late Jan with a nice eastern ridge. There goes our epic pattern change. Cutters galore. That's actually called a January thaw. Those are expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Euro dumps a trough out west late Jan with a nice eastern ridge. There goes our epic pattern change. Cutters galore. Who said that ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Euro dumps a trough out west late Jan with a nice eastern ridge. There goes our epic pattern change. Cutters galore. That’s nothing what eps shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Greg said: That's actually called a January thaw. Those are expected. We've been in a thaw since mid November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I been wondering about that but I haven’t been sold either way and a day 12 OP won’t change that Lol...especially when d10 is the limit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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