RedSky Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 hour ago, anthonyweather said: I’d put money right now on 12-18 from quakertown to mt pocono . My money is on an ice storm N&W of Philly. Upper levels get torched on every piece of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 IBM Deep Thunder agrees, might want to hope for a track further NW The IBM extends the destruction for 25 miles further S&E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: My money is on an ice storm N&W of Philly. Upper levels get torched on every piece of guidance. Didnt you just cancel winter in the banter thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Didnt you just cancel winter in the banter thread? Cancel it no, sick of it yes yearning for spring. Ice storms suck electricity keeps me warm. I would like nothing else but cancel winter as i am a first and middle third of winter person, unfortunately it looks like white rain chances will go through March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: My money is on an ice storm N&W of Philly. Upper levels get torched on every piece of guidance. I'm all for it...we haven't had a good one for quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Second half of January indicates very little snow in the I95 corridor on guidance, were down to just two potential prime weeks of winter in February lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 This really looks like one of those January 1994 Ice storms. Areas further southeast like NW Chesco and KOP were deep into the ZR while areas just 25 miles west and north were snow. I think the 12z Euro means paint this scenario very well and would not be surprised to see something like this....but of course it can and will change before Saturday eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 yikes that is not good for most. snow or rain.....not ice! Does make for interesting tracking.....hopefully the ice map turns to snow or rain, IOW positioning storm SE or NW. The other OMG is the sunday night/Monday temps and winds. that would be troubling following ice or heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS for the Thursday night snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I worked for a heating oil company in 1994. A January I will never forget. We quickly became a 24/7 operation in both the oil delivery and service departments, as well as manning the office for dispatch. I worked in service. The police would come to the door giving us service calls as customers were calling 911 since they couldn't get through on our telephone lines. For days, once I arrived to work (which was hell but our boss had us car pooling and/or had us driven in) -it would be at least and hour and a half before I could even put the receiver down and take a sip of coffee. With the power outages, of course there wasn't much we could do to get the heat on and I had a list of over 100-150 homes that had frozen. As the homes would re gain power we would send a team over with an ice breaker machine (it sends an electric shock through the pipes to break up the ice) and finally get the heater started. This went on for at least 3 weeks!! Then in March we had record flooding on the Brandywine as the ice jams thawed. I know of about a half dozen homes that had just froze, now got flooded! Ice? No thanks. Can't drive anywhere in it, and it can wreck your home if you're left without heat too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I like the big sleet storms more than freezing rain .. after last year's assault on power lines though I finally got a generator so bring it on! Big improvements today, I think lv has legit mecs potential still. More later! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS for the Thursday night snowLess than I thought for the poconos....Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Will never forget the pocono Jan 2005 storm.....Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Ugh I remember the 1994 ice storms. During the infamous early January ones, when the tri-state area was completely out of salt (both road salt and consumer ice melt). I had to go on a work-related trip to Baltimore on Amtrak. So decided to drive in and leave the car at 30th Street station and on my way downtown, was considering going up on the expressway (I-76) figuring it would be cleared since it's considered a "primary". But as I approached the ramp to City Line which would go to 76, KYW traffic was announcing that they were closing it, so I kept right on past and went to the station via the Kelly Drive. Ended up that people were trapped on the Schuylkill expressway for like 8 hours. Luckily I got down to Baltimore and back just fine a few days later and was able to buy a couple bags of Halite rock salt down there to bring back in my suitcase! Our house ended up being the only one on the block with a sidewalk that was clear and dry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 GFS...2" tomorrow night...easily take that. More than last weekend "storm". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 If I remember correctly there were glaciers in yards till April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 As usual I'm rooting for the NAM, 18z keeps the snow at the MD line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 0z NAM the Thors hammer gradient .01" to 12" gradient is 25 miles. Redsky is .01" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stumark Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 That gradient is so tight in central/northern bucks. Weary of ice threat in Chalfont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 So who has seen the Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Holy Ukie. Wow. Euro should be damn interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Ukie snowfall. 10” line just NW of the city now. Beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I had the old map, must clean up my computer it's a hoarders nightmare There must be a terrible ice slice in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Ukie not all that different then the NAM only 20 miles SE with the snow line, and that makes all the difference in the world for some of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: Ukie not all that different then the NAM only 20 miles SE with the snow line, and that makes all the difference in the world for some of us Very true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Euro . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Euro Kuchera . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 How much further s can this come in? I don't think 95 can see all snow but something like the Euro 3-6" followed by sleet and freezing rain would be a major event. Things have quickly got interesting down here. Will the trends continue or do we see things level off from here? The -AO definitely looks to stay in place although it approaches positive. It creates just enough blocking for most of us. Very very close to everyone being in the game. Next 24 hours should be fun between the minor event and tracking this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 How much further s can this come in? I don't think 95 can see all snow but something like the Euro 3-6" followed by sleet and freezing rain would be a major event. Things have quickly got interesting down here. Will the trends continue or do we see things level off from here? The -AO definitely looks to stay in place although it approaches positive. It creates just enough blocking for most of us. Very very close to everyone being in the game. Next 24 hours should be fun between the minor event and tracking this.I’m like 6-12” for Lv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 29 minutes ago, The Iceman said: How much further s can this come in? I don't think 95 can see all snow but something like the Euro 3-6" followed by sleet and freezing rain would be a major event. Things have quickly got interesting down here. Will the trends continue or do we see things level off from here? The -AO definitely looks to stay in place although it approaches positive. It creates just enough blocking for most of us. Very very close to everyone being in the game. Next 24 hours should be fun between the minor event and tracking this. Saw a ukmet map posted in the MA earlier (for 0z) and it treated us fairly well too. Oops, just noticed jrodd posted it up above, lol. Probably where I saw it to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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