sferic Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 15.4 degrees in Liberty NY now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 hours ago, Snow88 said: Many people on social media are pissed because they went shopping and spent alot for the storm lol People should stop reading and having their lives run by social media...morons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 hour ago, Rjay said: the bolded part of his post made me LOL Hey now, don’t confuse me with Metfan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 3:45PM 10.8 degrees in Liberty NY wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Can ice skate on my front lawn and driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 4:30 PM 9.0 degrees here in Liberty NY BRRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 28F now, stronger temp drops once the sun goes down. HRRR is really cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Here comes the plunge.... down to 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 10 minutes ago, sferic said: 4:30 PM 9.0 degrees here in Liberty NY BRRRR How many inches did u get up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said: How many inches did u get up there? 6.5" with .10 ice accretion Temperature never made it past 32.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I seem to recall a similar situation in MLK day in 2000. Very strong arctic blast only temps were supposed to be in the low 20s and we struggled to get above 10 most of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Just now, sferic said: 6.5" with .10 ice accretion Temperature never made it past 32.0 Nice looks wintry up there huh. You guys think the city goes to 5 or lower tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Nice looks wintry up there huh. You guys think the city goes to 5 or lower tonight? I think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Nice looks wintry up there huh. You guys think the city goes to 5 or lower tonight? HRRR says so but it's hard to get that low but upper single digits is more likely. Nice surprise if 5 or lower is reached though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 17/11 now. Down 20 degrees since 12:30 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 18 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Nice looks wintry up there huh. You guys think the city goes to 5 or lower tonight? I’d go with 6-8 F, just because the models are often a little too cold for the city (except for the GFS which can be too high in the close range) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 18.0 here. This 4.5 inches of concrete white that now encompasses most of Orange County isn't going anywhere for a long time. With a liquid equivalent of at least1.5 inches encased in this snow and sub zero cold tonight and tomorrow night, even the 40 degree temps and rain forecast Wednesday will barely make a dent. This is much different than 4.5 inches of fluffy white with a LE of a 1/4 inch, much harder to melt this stuff and it's already compressed so that's not even an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Some places are already 30F lower than this morning. 24F now, I hear the winds howling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: 18.0 here. This 4.5 inches of concrete white that now encompasses most of Orange County isn't going anywhere for a long time. With a liquid equivalent of at least1.5 inches encased in this snow and sub zero cold tonight and tomorrow night, even the 40 degree temps and rain forecast Wednesday will barely make a dent. This is much different than 4.5 inches of fluffy white with a LE of a 1/4 inch, much harder to melt this stuff and it's already compressed so that's not even an issue. And the 1" of w.e. precip expected Wed-Thu will probably be absorbed.... and unless gutters are frozen, probably wont be much of a negative factor in that area, at least for the mid week event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Temp holding at 29 here for the past hour or so. I’d be shocked if the city gets anywhere near 5 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Liberty NY stats at 5:40PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 A storm that brought significant snow to parts of central and Upstate New York into northern New England is now moving away. A frigid air mass is plunging into the region. With 1.6" snow through 4 am, Boston has moved above season-to-date snowfall futility levels. Before then, Boston had set record low season-to-date snowfall figures from January 13 through January 19. The SOI was +5.28 today. Nevertheless, it has been negative for 15 out of the last 20 days. The SOI will likely go negative within 4-7 days. The Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.210. The preliminary average for meteorological winter is -0.059. On January 19, the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 1.425 (RMM). That amplitude was little changed from the January 18-adjusted figure of 1.442. Since regular recordkeeping on the MJO began in 1974, there were only three winters when the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 1.000 or above in January and measurable snow was reported in Boston, New York City, or Philadelphia. Those cases were: January 1978, 1994, and 2005. All three winters featured much above normal snowfall afterward. The MJO will likely continue to advance through Phase 4 and into and into Phases 5 and 6 over the next 3-6 days. Initially, the MJO's amplitude will likely continue to increase, but it appears unlikely that the kind of high amplitudes that characterized late December into the start of January will develop. With the MJO's likely pushing back toward lower amplitudes and/or into the colder phases near the end of the month, the AO will very likely return to negative values. Strong to perhaps severe blocking could develop in late January. The persistence of such blocking could set the stage for a snowy to perhaps very snowy February in the Middle Atlantic and New England areas. Following this weekend's storm, there is a risk for two additional storms to impact the region: January 24-25 and January 27-29. The former will likely be a rainstorm. The latter storm could be the bigger and potentially snowy one. Details remain uncertain, but the extent of Atlantic blocking will be important. The GEFS ensembles continue to show the AO's diving around the January 28 timeframe +/- 1 day much as happened just ahead of the January 2005 blizzard. While a big storm is far from assured, the combination of the MJO's moving into low amplitudes and/or its colder phases, strong to severe blocking rapidly developing, and frigid air lurking in Canada suggests real potential. The probability of a colder than normal average monthly temperature for January in the New York City area has continued to increase. That outcome is now somewhat more likely than not despite the very warm start to January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Down to 18* now, wind is light out of the NNW and it sounds scary outside. I lost a 60 foot tree in the yard this afternoon because a 30 foot long section of a neighbors tree landed on it and split it down the middle. As they came down they damaged other trees that are now really scary, half of one is leaning towards the house and the other half will probably end up totally tangled in the one that's already down across the yard. I'm hoping that doesn't take out an 80 footer that's about 30 feet from my kids bedroom. It's going to be a long night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 56 minutes ago, Cfa said: Temp holding at 29 here for the past hour or so. I’d be shocked if the city gets anywhere near 5 degrees. I agree. No shot. Somewhere around 10. We will do one thing for sure though, and that’s beat the November low temp. Now we just have to do that with snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I agree. No shot. Somewhere around 10. We will do one thing for sure though, and that’s beat the November low temp. Now we just have to do that with snow February should take care of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 12.7 Having the entire landscape encased in ice may help the next couple of nights. Especially tomorrow night with the winds dying down and if it stays clear the whole night, the sub zero readings to the N&W of NYC should be substantial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 6 hours ago, gravitylover said: You're kidding right? I've got trees falling, 2 ton branches falling and a tangled mess of isht in my yard. An 80 footer a few feet from my (dead end) corner went down about 20 minutes ago and is partially blocking the street. It's getting real out there man and people are going to have problems and get hurt especially if the power goes out and we go to 0*. Seriously. A lot of Connecticut got really messed up by the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 hour ago, Cfa said: Temp holding at 29 here for the past hour or so. I’d be shocked if the city gets anywhere near 5 degrees. Never say never. Single digits are very well possible tonight in the city I would think. Down to +8.5° already here, and it's not even 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 You have snowpack helping you...city does not. 16F in Hastings. We will go to single digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 19F currently before 7PM. Just a few degrees away from beating November's lowest temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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