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January 19-20th Winter Storm Threat


Rjay

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2 minutes ago, USCG RS said:

The track has been steadfastly south the past 5-6 runs and within a standard deviation each run.

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yes, it has been consistently a southern outlier, but each run has shown considerable variability on the details, including sfc temps, amount/location of N/S stream phasing, etc.

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3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Rjay  am I off base ? The temps ( at least to me and I am still fairly new at this so bear with me ) look like they have remained the same and the model has moved the low steadily towards the benchmark with little if any flip flopping back the other way 

Each of the last 2 runs have been warmer for the nyc and coast.   Significant snow and ice inland

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