mikem81 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/usa-east/sea-level-pressure/20190121-0000z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, mikem81 said: https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/usa-east/sea-level-pressure/20190121-0000z.html We've officially hit the blank square stage of storm predicting in the 21st century. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 UKIE drops about 1 inch of precip into NYC metro by 6am Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stu Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 That's a lot of the white stuff. Better declare a state of emergency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, TriPol said: We've officially hit the blank square stage of storm predicting in the 21st century. Draw your own solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, TriPol said: We've officially hit the blank square stage of storm predicting in the 21st century. Everyone is white, all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, TriPol said: We've officially hit the blank square stage of storm predicting in the 21st century. Does that model show a complete whiteout? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 7 minutes ago, TriPol said: We've officially hit the blank square stage of storm predicting in the 21st century. Same level of accuracy too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I would feel a lot better if euro was on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Absolutely beautiful UK run. This has been an interesting system to track to say the least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Anyone have the soundings for ukmet. That track looks like the euro track from Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 7 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Absolutely beautiful UK run. This has been an interesting system to track to say the least! The Ukie has been really consistent with each run of this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The Ukie has been really consistent with each run of this stormIm still riding it. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: The Ukie has been really consistent with each run of this storm no it hasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 no it hasn't.The track has been steadfastly south the past 5-6 runs and within a standard deviation each run. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The GFS and its illegitimate brother zig when the other models zag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, USCG RS said: The track has been steadfastly south the past 5-6 runs and within a standard deviation each run. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk yes, it has been consistently a southern outlier, but each run has shown considerable variability on the details, including sfc temps, amount/location of N/S stream phasing, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Im still riding it. Sent from my SM-N960U using TapatalkThat’s what she said.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Rjay said: Lots of cold rain for the NYC area. 50 Miles makes a huge difference. Yesterday's 12Z was about 50 miles SE of this track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 This snowmap is a bit overdone on the southern edge imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Ukie looks to be (once outside of LI and immediate coast), 3-6" snow, significant ice/sleet, maybe a little cold rain, then back to a little snow on the backside with a flash freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Rjay said: This snowmap is a bit overdone on the southern edge imo Looks like rain, rain, go away for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Lots of cold rain for the NYC area. 50 Miles makes a huge difference. Yesterday's 12Z was about 50 miles SE of this track Did ya really need to quote 10 images just to say that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, Rjay said: Rjay am I off base ? The temps ( at least to me and I am still fairly new at this so bear with me ) look like they have remained the same and the model has moved the low steadily towards the benchmark with little if any flip flopping back the other way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Those temps seem suspect to me given the position of the low and where the high is. If it played out like that I would bet on sleet/ZR not plain rain for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I expect no big changes on the Euro. It’ll probably tick back NW or continue the ever so slight tick SE. One way or the other we still won’t have a ton of resolution on this for probably 48 more hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, Rjay said: This snowmap is a bit overdone on the southern edge imo yup, temps above the sfc look to support a good amount of fzra or even rain. with such deep warm air aloft (even on the ukmet) i doubt any pellets would last long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Rjay am I off base ? The temps ( at least to me and I am still fairly new at this so bear with me ) look like they have remained the same and the model has moved the low steadily towards the benchmark with little if any flip flopping back the other way Each of the last 2 runs have been warmer for the nyc and coast. Significant snow and ice inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Rjay said: Each of the last 2 runs have been warmer for the nyc and coast. Significant snow and ice inland Thanks Rjay appreciated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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