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January 19-20th Winter Storm Threat


Rjay

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2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

But it didn't. I get your reasoning but the negativity with this system was 2 days of run after run of cutters.

I'm just saying that it's way too early to make any definitive statements. We'll get better sampling and more model consensus once the system is onshore.

All we know now is that there will be a sizeable storm in the area this weekend.

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2 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

It would appear the FV3 is about to spit out a completely different solution than the “old” GFS. It may very well be Thursday before a general model consensus like some have been saying

As HM posted on Twitter a few minutes ago in response to Earthlight it would be funny if this thing just ended up entirely suppressed after all of this.  The Friday wave has certainly gone that way from what it was two days ago 

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2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

As HM posted on Twitter a few minutes ago in response to Earthlight it would be funny if this thing just ended up entirely suppressed after all of this 

It’s not happening. Even with today’s 12z ukmet run was way east and we got a heavy snow event depiction. The area of precip is wide and long!

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