NEG NAO Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: this could be one of those times given the severe cold behind it-it's not run of the mill cold.... without snow cover here that severe cold will not be as severe and will not look or feel that bad.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: very rare if that occurs.... Not rare in this set up. Look at how the isobars are elongated along the front, and how the storm never really rapidly intensifies (at least until it is up in the maritimes). This isn't really a Miller B or an apps runner, it's a weird setup that is more like a wave with an arctic front passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: without snow cover here that severe cold will not be as severe and will not look or feel that bad.... the lack of snow would only be 100 miles inland from the coast-the storm unloads well inland-not sure the air would get all that modified moving over 100 miles of bare ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Brian5671 said: the lack of snow would only be 100 miles inland from the coast-the storm unloads well inland-not sure the air would get all that modified moving over 100 miles of bare ground at night you won't get the same type of cooling so temps will be warmer without snow cover - also I was talking mainly about the look and feel of it with bare ground as opposed to snow cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 UKIE looks interesting but no way to tell what is does between 120 (LP near Atlanta) and 144 (LP well due east of LI and CC) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, mikem81 said: UKIE looks interesting but no way to tell what is does between 120 (LP near Atlanta) and 144 (LP well due east of LI and CC) completely different solution-euro will be interesting.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Need to wait for more details to come out but the 12z UKMET looks to be well Southeast of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, mikem81 said: UKIE looks interesting but no way to tell what is does between 120 (LP near Atlanta) and 144 (LP well due east of LI and CC) sounds like a redevelopment track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, NEG NAO said: sounds like a redevelopment track If true that would be great for us as it would flip the winds back out of the Northeast so whatever areas did changeover would flip back. It would prolong the precip as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Looks like the UKMET is similar to the ICON (12z runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: sounds like a redevelopment track low moves from Atlanta to well east of Cape Cod...nothing like the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Looks like the UKMET is similar to the ICON (12z runs) Euro should be interesting...….DR. NO OR YES ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Ukmet would be all snow in my opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 So many variables on the table still to make any definitive statements in either direction. If the mid-level cyclones track overhead like what the GFS shows, we could very well see a very brief period of precip followed by dry slot and then whatever light stuff falls on the backside. Someone is going to get screwed unless the track is offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: Ukmet would be all snow in my opinion At least wait until the soundings come out Tony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 At least wait until the soundings come out Tony. I don't see how a track like that is not pure frozenSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 23 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: At least wait until the soundings come out Tony. The ukie is a snow storm and a big one at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 The ukie is a snow storm and a big one at that.QPF amounts? Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Rjay said: The ukie is a snow storm and a big one at that. Where do you get the UKIE precip and temps beyond hr 72? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, mikem81 said: Where do you get the UKIE precip and temps beyond hr 72? Ryan Maue's model page has the precip and TrueWx has precip and temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: The ukie is a snow storm and a big one at that. True but you can’t base that just off track alone like he did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Ryan Maue's model page has the precip and TrueWx has precip and temps. So, since you cant post images, what does it show in terms of precip and temp profiles/? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/usa-east/sea-level-pressure/20190121-0000z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 I dont think 0c 850 line ever makes it to nyc. I'm very busy at work and i dont have a subscription to either so there's not much I can say. Shows 12"+ for nyc though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I dont think 0c 850 line ever makes it to nyc. I'm very busy at work and i dont have a subscription to either so there's not much I can say. Shows 12"+ for nyc though. TySent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 50 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: sounds like a redevelopment track Neg also sounds / looks like the models have all season = they do not have a grip / clue on this yet its too far away . Just my Opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, Rjay said: I dont think 0c 850 line ever makes it to nyc. I'm very busy at work and i dont have a subscription to either so there's not much I can say. Shows 12"+ for nyc though. Meaning NYC never gets above freezing or below freezing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, TriPol said: Meaning NYC never gets above freezing or below freezing? never gets above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Meaning NYC never gets above freezing or below freezing?Never gets above. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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