geddyweather Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 13 minutes ago, nwohweather said: Yeah I have a little kestrel and am a little south and east of that but she hit officially 49. Probably pretty close to accurate as I had to take a step back Thats awesome. Only was able to measure 32mph on my little device but that was in a subdivision, havent been ballsy enough to get out in the open with it. The rippage continues here. IWX even put out an SWS for us awhile ago advertising heavy bands and an additional 1-3, which I would say will have easily fulfilled by the time this gets over with here in the next couple hours. Haven't measured again yet but will do so before I turn in. Temp is down to 18 here with wind chills in single digits so wish me luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Waiting for LES to potentially develop is always the hardest part of these things, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Glad to read many of you in the Midwest are finally getting some winter! Looks like the 4th or 5th bad winter in a row for my old stomping grounds in West Michigan. Here's hoping for much more snow for the Great Lakes region! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Quote Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 859 PM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 .UPDATE... The lake effect snow band is taking shape just off shore over Lake Michigan. The latest radar observations and short term model guidance indicate that the heaviest portion of this band should remain just off shore, with only a few light snow showers affecting extreme eastern portions of Milwaukee, Racine and Kenosha Counties. Any additional snow accumulation should generally be around an inch or less, and mostly confined to areas between I-94 and Lake Michigan. Given the limited additional snowfall and winter weather impacts, have gone ahead and cancelled the Winter Storm Warning a few hours early. && Respectable showers making their way all the way down to Iroquois County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 LES up here stunk. GL down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Lake effect definitely showing signs of intensifying. After midnight and especially a few hours after is when we should really see the big increase in organization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Roads are getting covered downtown, and this is just bonus before the big show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Trends are looking a little iffy for Lake county Illinois. Might end up getting screwed there. We'll see. I could be wrong and there could be another crack at it tomorrow when it comes west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Wonder how Tim & the Kankakee County crew are doing. Looks like there’s been some decent plumes playing in the eastern half over the past hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 13 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Trends are looking a little iffy for Lake county Illinois. Might end up getting screwed there. We'll see. I could be wrong and there could be another crack at it tomorrow when it comes west. I’d say they did well enough with the synoptic stuff...they can take back seat on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Finished with 6.1" imby. More than I expected, so Im very pleased! A classic deep winter day, snowing and blowing and drifting, the snow a glistening powder. Finally it looks like deep winter in southeast Michigan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Parts of Hamilton Ontario will end up with around 2 feet of snow from this system + lake effect. Toronto will/should end up with at least 4" possibly as a high as 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 There’s been LES as far south as CMI tonight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Trends are looking a little iffy for Lake county Illinois. Might end up getting screwed there. We'll see. I could be wrong and there could be another crack at it tomorrow when it comes west.They’re done until tomorrow night.As per usual, the band progressed eastward faster than expected, and didn’t organize until later than expected.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 So after looking things over, I think there's a decent chance that Lake county Indiana gets upgraded to a winter storm warning. Porter county is certainly a possibility as well. Run after run of the short range models has been targeting Lake county IN in particular. Activity will probably will shift out of Lake county for a while during the day but all in all, it should have enough combined residence time to get the job done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2019 Author Share Posted January 20, 2019 12 minutes ago, Hoosier said: So after looking things over, I think there's a decent chance that Lake county Indiana gets upgraded to a winter storm warning. Porter county is certainly a possibility as well. Run after run of the short range models has been targeting Lake county IN in particular. Activity will probably will shift out of Lake county for a while during the day but all in all, it should have enough combined residence time to get the job done. Looks like you're gonna get buried. Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, cyclone77 said: Looks like you're gonna get buried. Congrats! Pre congrats is the kiss of death man. lol Flake size has been good in these showers tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 14 minutes ago, Hoosier said: So after looking things over, I think there's a decent chance that Lake county Indiana gets upgraded to a winter storm warning. Porter county is certainly a possibility as well. Run after run of the short range models has been targeting Lake county IN in particular. Activity will probably will shift out of Lake county for a while during the day but all in all, it should have enough combined residence time to get the job done. Agreed. Should be decent area coverage of 6”+. Flakes flying here north of CP. Should start to get some more excitement by 5-6A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2019 Author Share Posted January 20, 2019 10 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Pre congrats is the kiss of death man. lol Flake size has been good in these showers tonight. Lol, I hope not. Looks like several inches at the least. Hopefully several more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I’ll post pictures when the sun comes up but that was one of the more impressive snowstorms I have ever seen here east of Toledo. Easily the best since the April snowstorm of 2016 here as far as wind and snow intensity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Worried that my bullish trigger on the LE will struggle to pan out. 80/94 north still looks good in Lake County, but that band is struggling to make penetration inland. Guess we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 7 minutes ago, KeenerWx said: Worried that my bullish trigger on the LE will struggle to pan out. 80/94 north still looks good in Lake County, but that band is struggling to make penetration inland. Guess we'll see! might be a meso low just offshore..notice some of the returns are heading back northeast off porter county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 14.6" storm total here, definitely over performed at my location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btcs31 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Lucky enough to have been sitting under this narrow finger of LE. Heavy snow for the last 90 minutes (3-4”?). Definitely sitting in a local max for this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 NCLUDING THE CITY OF GARY 905 AM CST SUN JAN 20 2019 ..WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON * WHAT...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES EXPECTED. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 MPH, WITH PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW NEAR THE LAKE. * WHERE...NORTHERN LAKE IN COUNTY. * WHEN...TODAY, AND ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...PLAN ON SNOW COVERED ROADS, SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED AND RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITY WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES, AND SLIPPERY ROADS. THIS INCLUDES ALONG PARTS OF INTERSTATES 80, 90, AND 94. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 REA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE, IL 930 AM CST SUN JAN 20 2019 UPDATE 925 AM CST HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS ONGOING INTO NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY, INDIANA, AND THE RESIDENCE TIME OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS A CONCERN FOR HIGHER AMOUNTS AND IMPACTS. WITH THE OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS, WE FELT A WINTER STORM WARNING MESSAGE WOULD BE BETTER AND HAVE UPGRADED FOR LAKE COUNTY. THE MEANDERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND OVER THE OPEN WATER HAS BEEN MORE PIVOTED INTO NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY SINCE A LITTLE BEFORE 6 AM. NWS CHICAGO RADAR AND ESPECIALLY VALPARAISO UNIVERSITY RADAR SHOW MULTIPLE MESOSCALE VORTICES WITH ARCS OF 30+ DBZ WITHIN THIS BAND OF SHOWERS. ONE BROADER SUCH ONE IS ABOUT TO MOVE INTO FAR NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY BY 10 A.M. GARY AND VISUAL REPORTS HAVE INDICATED 1/4SM OR LOWER, INDICATIVE OF AT LEAST 1.5"/HR, AND CONSIDERING THE SNOW IS LIKELY DENDRITES GIVEN IDEAL THERMAL PROFILES WITHIN THE CLOUD DEPTH, RATES ARE LIKELY 2-3"/HR UNDER THE HEAVIEST. PHOTOS AND REPORTS INDICATE SNOW-COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY, INCLUDING WEBCAM IMAGERY ALONG I-94 AT TIMES. THE CONVERGENCE WITH THIS PER SATELLITE, RADAR, AND OBS IS MEANDERING, AND OVER THE OPEN WATER NORTH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED BROAD MESOVORTEX ON RADAR LOOKS LIKE IT IS SHIFTING EAST. BUT EVEN JUST A COUPLE/FEW MORE HOURS IN FAR NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY SHOULD RESULT IN AMOUNTS LOCALLY APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING SIX INCHES WITH HIGH IMPACT TO TRAVEL. THE EASTWARD MOVEMENT SHOULD SWING THIS OR AT LEAST A PORTION OF THIS INTO PORTER COUNTY BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND WILL HAVE TO WATCH ITS MAGNITUDE AS IT DOES SO. HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW SPREAD ON HOW THE CONVERGENCE WILL BEHAVE INTO THE AFTERNOON, BUT LIKELY SOME SHIFTING WILL CONTINUE INCLUDING SWINGING BACK WESTWARD LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. WILL HAVE TO ASSESS THE TIMING OF THE HEADLINES IN A COUPLE HOURS BUT BELIEVE THE MESSAGE IS REPRESENTATIVE FOR NOW, WITH THE HIGHEST IMPACTS TODAY. MTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Where I go to check my CoCoRaHs rain gauge, I was greeted this morning by these snow drifts. At least two to three feet high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Storm total 3-4" across Toronto area. Just 40 miles south of here, reports of 16-22" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 5 minutes ago, snowcaine said: Storm total 3-4" across Toronto area. Just 40 miles south of here, reports of 16-22" could have been worse. For a while there it looked like Toronto would get only 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 That mesolow is interesting.. it is preventing the band from moving east like it was modeled... also bands off the MI shoreline uplake are now pushing back west some if it doesn't move east in a few hours then it never will if that meso low remains robust and the west push comes later GARY /AIRPORT/ HVY SNOW 12 9 85 W5 30.29R VSB 1/8 WCI 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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