KeenerWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Looks like some LE radar returns showing up just north of Milwaukee heading south Yep. Pretty consistent agreement that LE signal will start to really crank around 9-10P, and impacting the western shore of LM until about 5-6A. Looks like NWI will spread spoils throughout the day on Sunday. Verbatim, output seems to favor localized jackpots in a Gary-Chesterton-Valpo-Merrillville box, roughly. Excited to watch it unfold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benadrill Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Picked up a surprising 5.8" as of 7 PM and still coming down. Tough measuring though. Pretty cool because 24 hrs ago we were in the east end of the sucker hole. Most county roads are drifting shut now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knifeparty Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Just made it back home from the snow removal route. Wind has sure blown all this snow around drifts up to 12+ in spots here on the Northside of Chicago. My little jap maple is holding up it's crown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 All counties east of 75 in NW Ohio now under a Level 3 meaning the roads are closed to everyone except essential personnel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 You guys should see my pole barn. Up to 5 foot drifts on it currently and this band is ripping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Lake effect snow showers starting over Chicago. Latest HRRR parks the main band over us around 2-3am for a few hours. I anticipate snowfall rates 1+” hr...may need to set the alarm! My call is for 2.5” additional overnight with maybe an inch possible Sunday night once the band rotated back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Classic overperformer, about 6", blowing all over like dust. finally deep winter in Michigan. roads are a complete joke downriver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 27 minutes ago, mimillman said: Lake effect snow showers starting over Chicago. Latest HRRR parks the main band over us around 2-3am for a few hours. I anticipate snowfall rates 1+” hr...may need to set the alarm! My call is for 2.5” additional overnight with maybe an inch possible Sunday night once the band rotated back Hope it works out. 00z HRRR has it over here for like 7 hours as it takes on an increasingly snake like character. Can only hope. We'll see what it does with the westward movement later in the run. Edit: like a 2-3 hour break and then it moves back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I just hit 50 on my anemometer! Holy god this is as close to ‘78 as I have ever seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 26 minutes ago, mimillman said: Lake effect snow showers starting over Chicago. Latest HRRR parks the main band over us around 2-3am for a few hours. I anticipate snowfall rates 1+” hr...may need to set the alarm! My call is for 2.5” additional overnight with maybe an inch possible Sunday night once the band rotated back Getting a few flurries down in eastern kankakee county. Guessing it's a bit of lake influence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Hope it works out. 00z HRRR has it over here for like 7 hours as it takes on an increasingly snake like character. Can only hope. We'll see what it does with the westward movement later in the run. Looking forward to seeing how it depicts full evolution. Streamers look to be hitting IKK right now. EDIT: HRRR is going to slam Lake County... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, KeenerWx said: Looking forward to seeing how it depicts full evolution. Streamers look to be hitting IKK right now. See my edit. Comes back west pretty fast. Maybe Lake county IN jackpot on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, KeenerWx said: Looking forward to seeing how it depicts full evolution. Streamers look to be hitting IKK right now. EDIT: HRRR is going to slam Lake County... Can confirm IKK are getting some flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Just now, Hoosier said: See my edit. Comes back west pretty fast. Maybe Lake county IN jackpot on this run. Looks like we were refreshing at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 8 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I just hit 50 on my anemometer! Holy god this is as close to ‘78 as I have ever seen Happy for ya..enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 36 minutes ago, mimillman said: Lake effect snow showers starting over Chicago. Latest HRRR parks the main band over us around 2-3am for a few hours. I anticipate snowfall rates 1+” hr...may need to set the alarm! My call is for 2.5” additional overnight with maybe an inch possible Sunday night once the band rotated back Hoping we get some remnants of it this far west. Be nice to squeeze another inch from this system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 7 minutes ago, KeenerWx said: Looks like we were refreshing at the same time. Over .5" precip in Lake county. At face value this run is probably 12+, but it could all change of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Over .5" precip in Lake county. At face value this run is probably 12+, but it could all change of course. Yep, looks like a max of 0.68 around the Gary vicinity. Fairly widespread 10"+ amounts in the core of Lake County. Chicago proper even cashes in around 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 24 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I just hit 50 on my anemometer! Holy god this is as close to ‘78 as I have ever seen That sounds crazy! Note: only 30 kt (35mph) wind gusts at KTDZ (Walbridge area) have been measured. That in itself causes a lot of drifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Lock 'er up, Hoosier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 26 minutes ago, King James said: Getting a few flurries down in eastern kankakee county. Guessing it's a bit of lake influence IKK gets LES, but it's usually lighter by the time it gets here. Sloppy seconds I like to call it. Eastern half of the county tends to do better, which I believe is where you're located...right? Best LES event I can recall around here was in the winter of 2013-14. Streamer rode I-57, dropping 4". Of course all it did was snow that winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: IKK gets LES, but it's usually lighter by the time it gets here. Sloppy seconds I like to call it. Eastern half of the county tends to do better, which I believe is where you're located...right? Best LES event I can recall around here was in the winter of 2013-14. Streamer rode I-57, dropping 4". Of course all it did was snow that winter. Yes sir, about 9 miles from IN, in the old border town. Like some other posters, going to try and stay up a bit later tonight to see if anything materializes down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE, IL 806 PM CST SAT JAN 19 2019 UPDATE 806 PM CST FOR EVENING UPDATE... NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS SHOWING INCREASING COVERAGE AS EXPECTED, WITH HIGH-RES GUIDANCE REMAINING SIMILAR IN DEPICTION OF TRANSITION TO A MORE INTENSE SINGLE-BAND STRUCTURE LATE THIS EVENING. GOING FORECAST HAS THIS DETAILED NICELY, WITH HEADLINES STRUCTURED APPROPRIATELY. EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS 996 MB LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER OVER EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY. TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXTENDS INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES AND MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGIONS, PRODUCING GUSTY NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL COLD ADVECTION ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA, THE COLD LOW-LEVEL AIR TRAVERSING LAKE MICHIGAN WAS RESULTING IN INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS INTO PARTS OF NORTHEAST IL AND FAR NORTHWEST IN EARLY THIS EVENING. HIGH-RES MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEPICTING INCREASING LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENT FOCUS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WEST SHORE OF THE LAKE LATER THIS EVENING, WITH A TRANSITION FROM CURRENT LOOSELY ORGANIZED MULTI-BAND SNOW SHOWERS INTO A STRONGER LARGELY SINGLE BAND LES PLUME LATER TONIGHT. WHILE INVERSION HEIGHTS REMAIN GENERALLY IN THE 6500-7500 FT AGL RANGE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY, ALL OTHER PARAMETERS FAVOR THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG LES WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES WITHIN THE SINGLE-BAND PLUME. LAKE SURFACE TO 850 MB DELTA T'S AROUND 20C, LARGE POSITIVE AREA/CAPE BELOW THE INVERSION, AND CLOUD LAYER TEMPS WITHIN THE FAVORED -12C TO -18C DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE ALL SUPPORT STRONG CONVECTIVE SNOW ELEMENTS. 4KM NAM/NMM/HRRR ARE ALL GENERALLY SIMILAR IN DEPICTION OF HEAVIER SNOW DEVELOPING INTO FAR NORTHEAST IL AFTER 9-10 PM THIS EVENING, WITH THE BEST CONVERGENT AXIS SLOWLY SHIFTING FROM LAKE CO. IL SOUTHEAST ACROSS COOK CO. IL OVERNIGHT, AND EVENTUALLY INTO NORTHWEST IN BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. LIGHTER SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES WILL LIKELY PERSIST FARTHER INLAND, THOUGH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATIONS OF SUBSTANCE APPEAR LIKELY TO BE LIMITED TO THE LAKE-ADJACENT COUNTIES OF LAKE (IL), COOK, LAKE (IN) AND PORTER. THIS IS EXACTLY AS INDICATED IN FORECAST FROM PREVIOUS SHIFT, AND SEE NO NEED FOR ANY CHANGES TO THE DETAILS OR HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Been pound town here for the last 2.5 hours. Winding down now but definitely 1-2 in/hr rates for most of the defo.. We might have 4 total hard to say. Been out drift busting though, man what a blast. I'm on the edge of town and out in the country is fun city!! Visibility down to my windshield lol. Totals get a 2 on the 10 scale, blowing and drifting snow a 12! You guys that are getting the big snows look out, this wind means business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 25 minutes ago, KeenerWx said: Lock 'er up, Hoosier. Sorta wish I could unsee that. That's what's great about these things though. Hours before it starts and you really don't know what's going to happen. You can say that for some synoptic storms but it's just a different feel with LES. The stakes are different in a place like this too since significant/big events can and do occur, but not with regularity like the traditional snowbelt. So when you miss out, it's usually a longer wait. The nice thing about this setup is that missing out is probably still like 3-5", given the expected organization and great agreement on it shifting back west later tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 21 minutes ago, Chinook said: That sounds crazy! Note: only 30 kt (35mph) wind gusts at KTDZ (Walbridge area) have been measured. That in itself causes a lot of drifting. Yeah I have a little kestrel and am a little south and east of that but she hit officially 49. Probably pretty close to accurate as I had to take a step back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Also just throwing out there, thank you to all the National Weather Service employees who are working without pay during this unnecessary shutdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Street Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, mimillman said: Also just throwing out there, thank you to all the National Weather Service employees who are working without pay during this unnecessary shutdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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