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Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019


cyclone77

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5 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

03z HRRR brought the better band a bit farther south in the LOT cwa.

On another note, Indy really looks like it's going to struggle with waa for a prolonged period of time.  

I still have a hard time believing that Aurora will see more than 4-5 inches... but I'll take it.

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5 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

03z HRRR brought the better band a bit farther south in the LOT cwa.

On another note, Indy really looks like it's going to struggle with waa for a prolonged period of time.  

Are you basing that off of the HRRR?  Not saying it won't happen, it's been the biggest concern for IND proper.  I'm 50 miles n so if you've got some insight this way send it lol.

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14 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

There used to be someone named Indeeger or something like that from near Independence IIRC.  There's several reports of 10-12" in far southeast MN/and far northeast IA.  Snow continues to rip there as well.  LSRs there are likely very nice.

That's me. B)  Started snowing here about 5:30pm - looks to be about 4-5 on the ground, but really hard to tell with all the blowing.  The really heavy returns are north of here - New Hampton and Decorah are at 8"+ and still going.  West of here 20-30 miles, considerably less snow.  We might double our yearly total of 6.5", although looks like the back edge is getting close to Waterloo, so we may only have and hour or two of decent snow left.

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2 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:

Are you basing that off of the HRRR?  Not saying it won't happen, it's been the biggest concern for IND proper.  I'm 50 miles n so if you've got some insight this way send it lol.

Not just the HRRR. 

Even being 5 or 10 miles north of Indy could be enough for all snow.  

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MKE on the LE

 

The lake enhancement near Lake Michigan tonight into Saturday
morning should transition into a single lake effect snow band.
Mesoscale models are focusing this band initially on Sheboygan
County overnight into early Saturday morning, before it slides
southward through the rest of the lakeshore areas Saturday. Areas
from Milwaukee south still have the best shot at the highest
snowfall totals, as the lake effect band should linger there into
Saturday night.
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Just now, janetjanet998 said:

just north of the state line in the FGEN band...this wuold have been I-88/I-90 area if that band wasn't north of the model forecast

 


1030 PM     SNOW             4 NE PADDOCK LAKE       42.60N 88.05W  
01/18/2019  M4.1 INCH        KENOSHA            WI   PUBLIC  

It's working in our favor in the end, as totals will likely be higher in the current scenario.

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