CoalCityWxMan Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, RyanDe680 said: LOT As indicated above, just getting a quick look at the new 00Z NAM guidance. Fairly similar to previous runs, and continues to highlight areas along/north of the I-88 corridor across far northern IL for the greatest snowfall potential with similar timing going into Friday night. Perhaps a slight (half county) shift southward with the main frontogentically-forced QPF axis Friday evening, though basically little change to current forecast. In collaboration with surrounding offices have made no changes to going headlines at this time. Midnight shift will have full suite of 00Z guidance available for possible upgrades. Looks good from DKB-ORD in the Chicago area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, UMB WX said: Are you trying to break Buckeye's monitor Look at hour 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, JayPSU said: Look at hour 48. I wanted to see it badly but no way I was asking. My imagination was all over the place. 18z GFS was pretty blah. Not holding my breath for anything positive to come from 0z GFS And positive for me would be holding serve. This is going to be real nice for the lucky corridor in Iowa & Ill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 21 minutes ago, RyanDe680 said: That's IMBY (Hillsdale holla) Sharp cut off in lower Cook County. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The backside jet streak is actually just coming into the west coast. I wonder if that will be enough to make a difference on 12z cycle. Not sure. Just wondering out loud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 0z GFS has the low further north actually if my eyes are not deceiving me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The backside jet streak is actually just coming into the west coast. I wonder if that will be enough to make a difference on 12z cycle. Not sure. Just wondering out loud. We can only pray. End this madness. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 0z GFS coming in following the trend to a degree. Trough is more positive tilt and south, with the SLP weaker as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 0z GFS coming in following the trend to a degree. Trough is more positive tilt and south, with the SLP weaker as well. . With 6-8” still projected in the F band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Weird because it shows decent banding here but totals are paltry. Wonder if models have ratios too low. I honestly am at a loss for words Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Pretty much what most of us expected id assume. Not really much to do with this anymore up here. No way the tag team of the SE trend and the Canadian Curtain were losing this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Pretty significant crapout on the 00z runs -- and these were the ones to be fully sampled. If the 00z GFS/HRRR/RAP are to be believed, there's gonna be a lot of busted WSWs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 0z GGEM follows the trend as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, hlcater said: Pretty significant crapout on the 00z runs -- and these were the ones to be fully sampled. If the 00z GFS/HRRR/RAP are to be believed, there's gonna be a lot of busted WSWs. My exact thoughts. Very strange system. We are either in for a big surprise or the biggest bust ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 Looks like tonight's runs have trended towards the general idea the Euro has been showing for the past few days. Now watch the Euro come in all jacked up lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Only good thing about models looking a mess is if it does trend up as it approaches it will feel like we're winning the lottery. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 SREF plumes for DKB with a 6.25” mean, with no members under 2.75”. ORD mean over 7” with only one member under 4”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 It's pretty amusing bouncing around all the different model QPF output and seeing how different they are from each other. Some have precip maxes here, others have some there. It's pretty funny actually. Maybe things will become more clear in the next few days...oh wait, it's <24hrs away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 LOL. 1,200 replies, storm still almost 24 hours out and is trending the wrong way. What a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Ahh well, it might not be the blizzard of the year like a couple days ago but I'll happily take a high end WWA/low end WSW event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Ahh well, it might not be the blizzard of the year like a couple days ago but I'll happily take a high end WWA/low end WSW event Screw that. Go big or go home. 3" is utterly uninteresting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 This storm is making my Miller Lite taste surprisingly well haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Ahh well, it might not be the blizzard of the year like a couple days ago but I'll happily take a high end WWA/low end WSW event At least you have a nice little bullseye IYBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 SREF plumes at LAF are pretty funny. Solutions all over the place and somewhat evenly spread too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Skilling going big with totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 WHoever gets in on the FGEN band will have a good time. If it happens to overlap with the lake effect, then will be an ever better time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: WHoever gets in on the FGEN band will have a good time. If it happens to overlap with the lake effect, then will be an ever better time. That's pretty much the legacy of this storm for us Midwest folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 FV3 is north lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: FV3 is north lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 00z UK The central/western Iowa warning area may be in jeopardy. All of this evening's models look like this. The northern band is about the same, but the more positively tilted/quicker system is leading to a more eastward-veering southern band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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