HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Wii mote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 hour ago, ChiTownSnow said: Nah.. a few of us came over from the old Accuweather forums when they shut down. Good to have some other chicago peeps on I came from there, but I didn't know they closed. when was that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 0z UKMET stayed south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 So basically it may snow anywhere from Chicago to Mexico with totals ranging from 0-100in. Ok got it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 FV3 is similar to 18Z, south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I'm not buying anything till sampling occurs. Am curious though to see if Euro holds or sways like the rest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Welp, GEFS is south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: FV3 is similar to 18Z, south. It shouldn't be south as the 18z, much stronger more dynamic system at 90 hours with a closed off contour at 500mb and close to neutrally tilted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 FV3 is better than the GFS... the bar was low though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I would caution that the GGEM tends to be the most amped of all the globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Welp, GEFS is south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Still time to turn it around, bad runs happen and no need to freak yet this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Welp, GEFS is south I wouldn’t call it south, rather just weak and progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, mimillman said: I wouldn’t call it south, rather just weak and progressive Which tends to be south. The snowfall mean moved south a good 50-75 miles unless I'm missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, mimillman said: I wouldn’t call it south, rather just weak and progressive The individual members moved south and weaker overall, no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 It all comes down to a phase. Trended away from that today. If these trends continue tomorrow then I may believe them more. Anyone think euro will hold strong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Relying on a phase is always a dangerous game to play if you're looking for the high end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, andyhb said: Relying on a phase is always a dangerous game to play if you're looking for the high end. Couldn't agree more. I'm not as hopeful as I once was for this. Has high end potential but seems to be a lot of misses on models. At least there looks to be a cold, active pattern ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 FV3 is better than the GFS... the bar was low though.Fv3 was the most amped for the east coast storm last week and then corrected big time 2 days before storm. Kept showing a west track. Model has a mid range amp bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 All the FV3 is in, it's south... but is north with its totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Well about the only thing consistent on models is that further east will cash in big time. Out west is a crapshoot on earlier phasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Here's an FV3 map that accounts for mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Man we went from being ecstatic last night to heartbroken tonight. Surely hope this trends even slightly better tomorrow. Worse set of runs so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, StormChaser4Life said: Man we went from being ecstatic last night to heartbroken tonight. Surely hope this trends even slightly better tomorrow. Worse set of runs so far Nobody should be swinging like that based on model runs for a storm 3+ days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Nobody should be swinging like that based on model runs for a storm 3+ days out. Never said I was "swinging" but you can tell the overall mood and lack of posts reflects disappointment. I mean yea it is days away and anything is still on the table. I am curious to see how euro looks tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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