ChescoWx Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: It looks like it's coming north significantly on the 18z NAM! no - step back from 12z incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Ohhh man big namming incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, ChescoPaWxman said: no - step back from 12z incoming The whole SE ridge is more amped, it may not do it this run QPF-wise but it's a stronger coastal now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, ChescoPaWxman said: no - step back from 12z incoming The entire precip structure is wonky. Big difference is the low is further n than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 Don't think it will make much difference in NE extent of snowfall - those S and E of mason dixon line will do well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, ChescoPaWxman said: Don't think it will make much difference in NE extent of snowfall - those S and E of mason dixon line will do well 12k nam hits rt 1 south decent. warning snows Wilmington south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 North tick again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Nam is north Philly might get a nice snowfall if trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigtenfan Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: North tick again That looks like more than a tick north. About 70 miles or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Surface low West of Hatteras now oh wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Surface low West of Hatteras now oh wow Jan 2000 analog, not as strong but.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 This is the NAM but yeah north trend and the ultimate gradient from hell. Check out Atlantic County EE rule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 15 miles north and half of us get a moderate snowfall. Torture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: This is the NAM but yeah north trend and the ultimate gradient from hell. Check out Atlantic County EE rule EE both 1-3" up here still fits my original call. However higher qpf nudging into S PA now. S NJ nice hit on all guidance now. And that was more than a tick on the NAM that was a 75 mile move N and just west of 12z irt surface lp. That is rather large jump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I wouldn't be looking at the over running. Watch the trends in the actual coastal. That is what is trending north. The NE confluence continues to relax. Rather significant changes seen on the NAM. I love seeing some PVA getting into SE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Me, Ralph and and Newman sit in the same NAM gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 32 dp-9 P cloudy Mt Holly now going with 1-2 for my area as per the snowfall map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Mt. Holly threw up a WWA a layer of counties north (including Philly proper) - URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 317 PM EST Sat Jan 12 2019 NJZ017>020-026-027-PAZ070-071-101-102-131100- /O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.190113T0000Z-190114T0600Z/ Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Coastal Ocean- Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester- Eastern Chester- Including the cities of Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Long Beach Island, Wharton State Forest, Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, and Kennett Square 317 PM EST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 3. * WHERE...Portions of southern New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 21z RAP: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 ^ so damn close... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Has the RAP ever pulled a coup? Now is the time. I'm down for 15" with a forecast of 1" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 DP 12F...hello virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 21 minutes ago, RedSky said: Has the RAP ever pulled a coup? Now is the time. I'm down for 15" with a forecast of 1" lol It did well with January 2016 if that means anything in the current situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Getting some very light snow here occasionally, pixie dust flakes. Current temp. 30F, DP 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 11 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Getting some very light snow here occasionally, pixie dust flakes. Current temp. 30F, DP 15. That's a good sign...limited virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: That's a good sign...limited virga. I was blowing part of the lawn off when the first area of green on the radar moved through, so it's possible that was virga. The air is still pretty dry, but yeah nice to see some tiny flakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSharp Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Snowing here in Chadds Ford, PA. Not a ton of virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 First flakes here in cape May. 32/13 so not a big virga issue. Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Actual light snow now, can see a thin dusting on flat surfaces. Dewpoint came up to 19, so that's encouraging. Currently 29F. eta: Looks like more moderate snow to the west heading this way in about 20 minutes.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Got just the barest hint of the tiniest flakes here. Should be a good night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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