Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 RGEM sizable shift N with coastal low. Not really throwing precip back past del river tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 ICON north as well but same as them precip from coastal doesnt impact nw of Del River essentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: RGEM sizable shift N with coastal low. Not really throwing precip back past del river tho At least it's doing something positive and not S.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I think I would have at least gone at inch where the <1" line especially with the bust potential. Luckily the timing won't have an impact like November s storm did but the results could very well be similar. Like Ralph I like 1-3" for us more in SNJ. I think 2" in AC is very low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, The Iceman said: I think I would have at least gone at inch where the <1" line especially with the bust potential. Luckily the timing won't have an impact like November s storm did but the results could very well be similar. Like Ralph I like 1-3" for us more in SNJ. I think 2" in AC is very low. Could be completely wrong but everything looks low (non weenie) as far as accumulation especially AC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 GFS catching up....N with coastal. Assuming 18z continues such relatively large shifts some forecasts will be in serious jeopardy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS catching up....N with coastal. Assuming 18z continues such relatively large shifts some forecasts will be in serious jeopardy. Don't get ahead of yourself..all we need is one swift kick in the ass to the S and we're back to square one. But I must say I'm encouraged so far today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 13 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Don't get ahead of yourself..all we need is one swift kick in the ass to the S and we're back to square one. But I must say I'm encouraged so far today... I'm sure Dr No will set us straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I'm sure Dr No will set us straight. Not to sound cliché but nowcasting time cept for short term models no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Not to sound cliché but nowcasting time cept for short term models no? Pretty much, I would say after 12z yeah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 hour ago, Hurricane Agnes said: People are still reading what Ji writes? Slightly updated Mt. Holly snow map - I guess easier to up totals if needed than lower them. Also might account for mixing issues along coastal counties. Just speculating. I’d go a title higher tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I like how what was once to be a daytime snow is now a night only snow for what falls and the <1" line is now south of Howell and north of Qtown lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 30 with a dew point at 7 filtered sun light NNE wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 The latest Wxsim run with 12z (NAM/GFS) data of course has bumped up totals thanks to the bogus NAM run - now has 1.5" of snow by 7am tomorrow with snow increasing in intensity later tomorrow PM with 3.0" by 4pm - 5.0" at 9pm and ending up with 6.8" of snow by 1am Monday morning. This will correct with the 18z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 DR NO has beefed up qpf a bit! .90" for Cape May(WOW) .50" AC and .10" through the center of the forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Tomorrow is going to suck watching DC score a foot while we are scratching and clawing for 2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: DR NO has beefed up qpf a bit! .90" for Cape May(WOW) .50" AC and .10" through the center of the forum Looks like a coastal special...w/maybe a side of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Bring on the glacier! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Coastal backlash hit into SE NJ big change over previous runs Sunday night even into Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Coastal backlash hit into SE NJ big change over previous runs Sunday night even into Monday morning. Yea tough call for Mt Holly Mets. Can’t say I envy them right now. At least there’s not a lot of people around this area since the New Years holiday is long past. Wonder if this lingers into Monday early morning and impacts schools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Redmorninglight said: Yea tough call for Mt Holly Mets. Can’t say I envy them right now. At least there’s not a lot of people around this area since the New Years holiday is long past. Wonder if this lingers into Monday early morning and impacts schools. ECM ends the snow a few hours before daybreak your in a good spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Looks like the Euro has 1"-2" for me. I'll gladly take since my expectations have been set at virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Brine down on certain roads...probably the kiss of death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 RGEM ensembles get the .50"QPF line to I195 in Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 11 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Looks like the Euro has 1"-2" for me. I'll gladly take since my expectations have been set at virga. I expect a lot of virga before any snow.....may be tough to watch the further north in PA you are.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Looks like the Euro has 1"-2" for me. I'll gladly take since my expectations have been set at virga. I'm not thrilled w/my DP at 11F...may get virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I'm not thrilled w/my DP at 11F...may get virga. nor am I, Im sitting at 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, penndotguy said: nor am I, Im sitting at 9 I'll be somewhat happy w/20F+ as it approaches but single digits/low teens kinda suck...we don't have much moisture to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 East Nantmeal Twp Cloudy 31.3 DP 9.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 It looks like it's coming north significantly on the 18z NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.