ChescoWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Local Wxsim model for NW Chester County PA has flurries late PM tomorrow with Light snow by 9pm with 1" of snow by 3am and another 1.3" before ending at 9am for a total of 2.3" - more toward Southern Chester County and South Jersey. Currently Clear 25.1 with a DP of 9.8 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 0z has begun with more improvements south of the border in the early going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Further north on the NAM 3" in Chicago but further south in Jersey can't penetrate I195 through hour 35 0z NAM is awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Clear skies 25/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 0z GFS for us and MA crew Confluence shreds the WAA and blocking high so strong storm exits east of Cape Hatty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Glad i've been busy and didn't waste too much time tracking this one. More than the average/normal person but not too bad...prediction, 1" or less. At least whatever falls will stick so no waste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 Latest Wxsim with 06z data from GFS/NAM continues to paint 2.3" of snow for NW Chesco - snow begins by 8pm and is all over by 11am Sunday AM Our AM Low today was 17.9 - our coldest AM reading since the 13.8 low on the 23rd of November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Currently 23/9 with almost no wind. Advisory states 1-3”, point and click shows 2-6” with some rain mixing tomorrow as the winds veer NE. Happy with any snow on frozen ground. Maybe the coastal part surprises some of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 SREFS are up to a mean of 5" at PTW....while that is hogwash - I would expect the NAM to come north a bit at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 We r getting NAMd this run in S NJ and SE PA as the slp is now tucked farther N and w. Sizable shift in short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Utoh mixing issues usually a good sign for you guys but bad for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Army Mike Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Ralph trying to learn a bit more been lurking for years and don’t know that much. You think the low closing off kept it from rushing off so quick and keeping it close to the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 If it pans out that's quite a shift.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: If it pans out that's quite a shift.... Yes it is.....over a foot on the SE PA border and into S NJ with 1-2' in DC. Unreal NAMming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yes it is.....over a foot on the SE PA border and into S NJ with 1-2' in DC. Unreal NAMming That's what worries me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: That's what worries me... The 3k doesnt even agree. Discard.....for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: That's what worries me... Yeah that's gotta be anomalous. Cautiously optimistic, and will be happy with anything at all though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 GFS and Euro will put us back in our place...hell, promise me a 1-3/2-4 event and I'll sign up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 19 minutes ago, Army Mike said: Ralph trying to learn a bit more been lurking for years and don’t know that much. You think the low closing off kept it from rushing off so quick and keeping it close to the coast? That and the confluence lifts out and isnt pressing down shearing it quite as much. The ull closing off is probably a function if the confluence moving away slightly faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, Birds~69 said: GFS and Euro will put us back in our place...hell, promise me a 1-3/2-4 event and I'll sign up now. 1-3" is my call for us Birds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 24 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: If it pans out that's quite a shift.... Yes it is indeed! Muhahaha...lololol.... that's my reaction after days of hoping for at least an inch. Which I still do, and yes we all know to take it with a huge grain of salt, especially since the 3K NAM didn't bite, but it is nice eye candy, n'est-ce pas?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: 1-3" is my call for us Birds. Cool, I'll sign. Still curious what the GFS and EURO will do. NAM is sometimes spot on or completely whacked. We are in its time frame though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I'm heading down to Atlantic City for the weekend but will likely play around in Cape May County tomorrow morning. I think they will get a nice 6 inch snowfall out of this. Mt Holly on the fence as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Whatever happens here so be it but you have to be happy for our folks to the S (Balt/MD etc)...they get shafted year after year. Surprised no one has committed suicide in that subforum....or have they? Not sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Low here this morning was 20. DP has been in the single digits (currently 8) and has been driving my humidifiers crazy! lol Currently 24 and partly cloudy. Will be interesting how much sheering will happens later today and overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I'm heading down to Atlantic City for the weekend but will likely play around in Cape May County tomorrow morning. I think they will get a nice 6 inch snowfall out of this. Mt Holly on the fence as well. I'm going to do the same here also, probably take a ride down to the Cape Sunday morning, depending on how this sets up. I'll take even 1-3 in Atlantic Co and run with it being I completely missed the norlun trough down here because I was at work in North Jersey and not a flake fell. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Whatever happens here so be it but you have to be happy for our folks to the S (Balt/MD etc)...they get shafted year after year. Surprised no one has committed suicide in that subforum....or have they? Not sure...Ji seems genuinely enraged its not a KU, at least he was 1-2 days ago, lol. Forget that man, I'm just happy to see the ground white. Pattern is ripe going forward. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, SmokeEater said: Ji seems genuinely enraged its not a KU, at least he was 1-2 days ago, lol. Forget that man, I'm just happy to see the ground white. Pattern is ripe going forward. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk You can promise Ji 5" and if he gets 4" he'll say fail, bietch and throw a hissy fit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, SmokeEater said: Ji seems genuinely enraged its not a KU, at least he was 1-2 days ago, lol. Forget that man, I'm just happy to see the ground white. Pattern is ripe going forward. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk People are still reading what Ji writes? Slightly updated Mt. Holly snow map - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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