Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,701
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Sfagewi
    Newest Member
    Sfagewi
    Joined

January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast


Bob Chill
 Share

Recommended Posts

3.7" and rates just picked back up. May be up to 5" after this round of heavier stuff moves through.

Undeniable trend this year with southern shortwaves packing more juice than models were showing even in the short range. What a year around here. I still laugh at last winter's dire Armageddon drought thread. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Bob Chill said:

3.7" and rates just picked back up. May be up to 5" after this round of heavier stuff moves through.

Undeniable trend this year with southern shortwaves packing more juice than models were showing even in the short range. What a year around here. I still laugh at last winter's dire Armageddon drought thread. 

You ready for the death band? Cause I sure as heck am. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

36 minutes ago, Snow36 said:

Jebman, sorry for butting in. You and your posts literally symbolize the epitome of the enthusiasm that drives half the board to be weather enthusiasts. I honestly don't think this forum [and the predecessor] would be the same without your posts. Don't trivialize them! 

I second this sentiment!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

This band is super legit.  Potentially the first low viz band imby. This is a pretty bad way to run a lull. 

I'm wondering about ratios. I have 3.7" and it def seems more than 10:1. Seems like models might be busting low on qpf. I've prob gotten .30 and that's through 6z. Most models had me around .20. Even the 3k. Sure feels like a reverse bust in progress...

Eta: 3k has my yard around .45 by 12z. Pretty sure I'll have more than that looking at radar. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

We absolutely had some excellent analysis the past few days led by @Bob ChiII  @MillvilleWx @Beachinand others. 

Glad we didn’t collectively throw in the towel per usual. I knew we had a decent shot when models had the jackpot in VA about 3.5 days out... best place to be in this setup a few days out is North of the progged bullseye. Planned out just fine! 

Anyway... should be closing in on 4 in the next little while per the deck ruler. Snow is piling up under this band 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...