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January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast


Bob Chill
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22 minutes ago, Scraff said:

27/23. Prefect pre-snow morning.  

Side note—Cowboys will also win today 27-23. :)

If that happens AND WSW verifies it goes down with Dec 19, 2009, for me.  The night of the epic Christmas storm when dallas beat the undefeated saints..... also on a Saturday night!

Obs: 

26 / 17

30.47

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Good morning from Fairfax!  It was fantastic to wake up to an upgrade to WSW!  I’m very optimistic about an over performing storm tonight and tomorrow. I keep raising the bar for mby.  Earlier this week I was hoping for 3”, then 5”, now I expect 6”, but 8-10 would make me ecstatic!  Just need the low to park where it needs to. We typically do quite well in Banding from the coast. Hope everyone around here does well!  

Currently 27/19 DP 

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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

28/19 in Arlington.

Decided to head back down to my dorms today so I’ll be doing obs form Charlottesville by the time the storm gets here. I know some people dislike CHO but I hope everyone gets the best storm possible.

I have a friend who moved from Chantilly to CHO a couple of years ago. She cashed in on snow in Dec. My son has a couple of friends heading back early to UVA today. You will do well down there again! 

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1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said:

Woof. Ready to do this! 27/21 

Lived in Montclair for 17 years. Nothing prettier than a drive down Waterway during heavy snow. Unfortunately through the 90s and early 2000s all of the bradford pears they had in the median broke due to heavy snow or strong winds. They have been replaced with other more hearty trees but for time it was really unique. 

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That being said... if 12z nam shows another shellacking with support from current OBS, they need to move warnings north. 

25 degrees here in Howard county, humidity 66%, and dew is 16... still have room for temps to fall as column cools down from precip. Going to be an amazing scene out there tonight. Dark sky has 4-8” in my local forecast.  

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Storm is continuing to trend north so I'm confident to let this out. (Northern area's may go higher later since ratios are much higher then southern areas) I think area wide masondixon south gets a WSW

Northern MD 5-8 

Baltimore metro 6-10

DC metro 6-10 (isolated 10+)

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And I think it may be better than progged by models. Per usual, models didn’t properly pick up precip intensity, lift, or dendrite growth/ratios.

dont see anything that would hinder that happening here. And I don’t remember models having snow that far north either.  

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1 minute ago, jayyy said:

And I think it may be better than progged by models. Per usual, models didn’t properly pick up precip intensity, lift, or dendrite growth/ratios.

dont see anything that would hinder that happening here. And I don’t remember models having snow that far north either.  

You aren't wrong... I mean by the looks of current radar OBS, the precip shield is almost to northern Iowa.

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5 minutes ago, jayyy said:

And I think it may be better than progged by models. Per usual, models didn’t properly pick up precip intensity, lift, or dendrite growth/ratios.

dont see anything that would hinder that happening here. And I don’t remember models having snow that far north either.  

Haha.. yeah!  I love it!!!

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