SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 As for headlines, did upgrade the advisory to a warning for the northern Shenandoah Valley and the Washington Metropolitan area. Am concerned that east-west oriented banding may cause locally higher amounts across these areas. Frontogenetical forcing increases as the low passes by to the south late tonight into Sunday morning, and looking at the 00z nam bufkit, did notice the Eqivalent Potential Temperatures nearly neutral with height for a period between 06 and 12z along with slightly negative EPV and Frontogenetical forcing that lines up, suggesting that CSI banding is possible. Elsewhere, left the headlines from the previous forecast. Still looking at a most likely of 2-5 inches across northern Maryland, the eastern Panhandle of West Virginia and the Baltimore Metropolitan areas, with 4-7 inches elsewhere. Do want to point out that there is still uncertainty regarding the placement and location of any banding precipitation and also with the track of the low. Any slight change in either direction will have an impact on snowfall totals. Having that been said, there will be impact from snow across the entire CWA tonight into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshfsu123 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 28/19 SE DC - nice, cold morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 28/17 ust Nw of Falmouth, VA and a great Winter morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 7am: 26/21 in Forestville, MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 27/23. Prefect pre-snow morning. Side note—Cowboys will also win today 27-23. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 HP to the north is no joke funneling in these low dew points. 31/15 in Salem, VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Pretty, red sky this morning. Sailors take warning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MontereyJack Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 26/14 here in the Big Maple. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 19/13 in Parkton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 It's time 16 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 25/15 Nice little appetizer to start off . Before we get to the main course in next week or two 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Yes!!! It's Happening!!! Soon....26/22. The evolution of the storm is going to be very interesting. St. Louis may have their second highest snow of all time if they reach 15in today or tonight. Good luck everyone. Looking forward to your observations. Be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Present from @mitchnick. 6z Euro is a shellacking. 8 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 22 minutes ago, Scraff said: 27/23. Prefect pre-snow morning. Side note—Cowboys will also win today 27-23. If that happens AND WSW verifies it goes down with Dec 19, 2009, for me. The night of the epic Christmas storm when dallas beat the undefeated saints..... also on a Saturday night! Obs: 26 / 17 30.47 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Fyiy the GEFS is north and still north then the OP. Don't think this north trend is over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Present from @mitchnick. 6z Euro is a shellacking. Woof. Ready to do this! 27/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 28/19 in Arlington. Decided to head back down to my dorms today so I’ll be doing obs form Charlottesville by the time the storm gets here. I know some people dislike CHO but I hope everyone gets the best storm possible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Good morning from Fairfax! It was fantastic to wake up to an upgrade to WSW! I’m very optimistic about an over performing storm tonight and tomorrow. I keep raising the bar for mby. Earlier this week I was hoping for 3”, then 5”, now I expect 6”, but 8-10 would make me ecstatic! Just need the low to park where it needs to. We typically do quite well in Banding from the coast. Hope everyone around here does well! Currently 27/19 DP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Looks like a great event is unfolding for DC, southern MD, and VA. Enjoy this one you guys! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Present from @mitchnick. 6z Euro is a shellacking. If you are out there somewhere @mitchnick, really miss you. Thanks for the 6z though! Going to be great 24 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: 28/19 in Arlington. Decided to head back down to my dorms today so I’ll be doing obs form Charlottesville by the time the storm gets here. I know some people dislike CHO but I hope everyone gets the best storm possible. I have a friend who moved from Chantilly to CHO a couple of years ago. She cashed in on snow in Dec. My son has a couple of friends heading back early to UVA today. You will do well down there again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: Woof. Ready to do this! 27/21 Lived in Montclair for 17 years. Nothing prettier than a drive down Waterway during heavy snow. Unfortunately through the 90s and early 2000s all of the bradford pears they had in the median broke due to heavy snow or strong winds. They have been replaced with other more hearty trees but for time it was really unique. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Present from @mitchnick. 6z Euro is a shellacking. Wow! 6-8 for immediate DC metro! Maybe even better if we can get ratios to work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Interesting graphic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 28.2 / 17 currently in Severna Park ***Just for reference the current bay water temp (mid-bay) at Thomas Point Lighthouse is 40.3*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 ICON continues wet runs and north trend. NAM RGEM and GEFS support it. Euro as well. Were locked in guys! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 That being said... if 12z nam shows another shellacking with support from current OBS, they need to move warnings north. 25 degrees here in Howard county, humidity 66%, and dew is 16... still have room for temps to fall as column cools down from precip. Going to be an amazing scene out there tonight. Dark sky has 4-8” in my local forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Hmm... 4-6'' seems like a good call for my house now based on the overnight trends north. If 12z holds north, I'll lock it in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Storm is continuing to trend north so I'm confident to let this out. (Northern area's may go higher later since ratios are much higher then southern areas) I think area wide masondixon south gets a WSW Northern MD 5-8 Baltimore metro 6-10 DC metro 6-10 (isolated 10+) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 PS... always good to watch reports out west.. reports of over a foot in missouri. The storm is packing a huge punch and is expansive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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