nj2va Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Starting to get into the range (useful is another question) of HRRR (get ready for the roller coaster!). But it has onset in the mountains of WV around Snowshoe in the mid morning, Canaan/Garrett County late morning, and then the 81 corridor by early to mid afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, nj2va said: Starting to get into the range (useful is another question) of HRRR (get ready for the roller coaster!). But it has onset in the mountains of WV around Snowshoe in the mid morning, Canaan/Garrett County late morning, and then the 81 corridor by early to mid afternoon. hr 18 shows mixing fwinw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: hr 18 shows mixing fwinw And I have the Brooklyn bridge to sell you. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 9 minutes ago, nj2va said: And I have the Brooklyn bridge to sell you. I guess this thread is technically not in storm mode yet, so I think they'll need to keep it for themselves up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 50 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Not as many stars out. Groundbis frozen solid. Whatever comes our way the next 48 hours should stick nicely With those nice cold temps, you have solid surface frigidization. That means that the snow will stick, from flake 1. And it will pile up. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Jebman said: With those nice cold temps, you have solid surface frigidization. That means that the snow will stick, from flake 1. And it will pile up. And not to leave anything to chance I’m having my sister visit from Richmond this weekend. She had like a foot in December. Add that to frigidization and we are going to get shellacked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 10 minutes ago, Jebman said: With those nice cold temps, you have solid surface frigidization. That means that the snow will stick, from flake 1. And it will pile up. Surface what? Lol Add that one to the americanwx dictionary! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 hours ago, clskinsfan said: 26/11 Just took the dog for a nice long walk. High clouds off in the distance. Stars to the east. But not to the west. It just SMELLS like a snow storm to me. Maybe a placebo effect? You can smell snow. That's the truth. Someone should figure out the science behind that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 18 minutes ago, Jebman said: With those nice cold temps, you have solid surface frigidization. That means that the snow will stick, from flake 1. And it will pile up. I feel like jb2 should add surface frigidization to his venacular Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 This explains it https://www.rd.com/culture/why-you-can-smell-snow/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Eta I catonsville md it is cold as fock... And the dewpoint is low as fock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Already returns (virga?) showing up in SWVA all the way to about 50 miles west of Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Missed all the 18z and 0z runs . Trying to catch up. Gettin cold Down to 20/16 I think the gfs took a small step back on from 18 to 0.. but it does not matter at this lead. It's locked up.. lets bring it up. 8 inch lollis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Heavy frost, overcast, 28.5/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 VDOT plows already onboard in SW VA. http://vdotplows.org/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 32/17 Lol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 25/19 Baro 30.48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 24/18 Baro 30:47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Morning folks. Woke up and saw we got NAMed. 25/18. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 22/15 Let the radar panic and hallucinations begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I think what I am most happy about is not any model run or nam'ing but the fact that we are cold PRIOR to onset. There is always that chicken/egg argument about get the moisture first and let the cold figure itself out....well...I don't disagree cuz you have to have moisture to snow but dang...the cold seems pretty darn important as well. Good luck all...see you at obs time! I've been on the 3-5" wagon for days now...final call regardless of the morning mid day model runs 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: I think what I am most happy about is not any model run or nam'ing but the fact that we are cold PRIOR to onset. There is always that chicken/egg argument about get the moisture first and let the cold figure itself out....well...I don't disagree cuz you have to have moisture to snow but dang...the cold seems pretty darn important as well. Good luck all...see you at obs time! I've been on the 3-5" wagon for days now...final call regardless of the morning mid day model runs Given where I live, I always prefer entrenched cold air. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I was positive DC wouldn't get a WSW. OOPPSSSS...Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucketts Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 25/23 and calm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 21F/DP 17 with a very small hint of daylight just showing up to my east. Perfect winter morning just before a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 24/21 - Nice rise in dp from when I went to bed. Hats off to all those who stayed up so those mere mortal weenie wannabes like me could get some sleep, wake up and quickly read about getting named overnight and new additions to webster's dictionary of meteorology terms "according to Jeb" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 As for headlines, did upgrade the advisory to a warning for the northern Shenandoah Valley and the Washington Metropolitan area. Am concerned that east-west oriented banding may cause locally higher amounts across these areas. Frontogenetical forcing increases as the low passes by to the south late tonight into Sunday morning, and looking at the 00z nam bufkit, did notice the Eqivalent Potential Temperatures nearly neutral with height for a period between 06 and 12z along with slightly negative EPV and Frontogenetical forcing that lines up, suggesting that CSI banding is possible. Elsewhere, left the headlines from the previous forecast. Still looking at a most likely of 2-5 inches across northern Maryland, the eastern Panhandle of West Virginia and the Baltimore Metropolitan areas, with 4-7 inches elsewhere. Do want to point out that there is still uncertainty regarding the placement and location of any banding precipitation and also with the track of the low. Any slight change in either direction will have an impact on snowfall totals. Having that been said, there will be impact from snow across the entire CWA tonight into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshfsu123 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 28/19 SE DC - nice, cold morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 28/17 ust Nw of Falmouth, VA and a great Winter morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 7am: 26/21 in Forestville, MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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