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January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast


Bob Chill
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Hey guys. Here's my updated snowfall totals. After getting up at 315am this morning, I'm dog tired and will not be doing a long post this go around. We all know what's been transpiring in terms of model guidance. I think I'm still hedging conservative in spots, but this is my final call for the storm. Now, here's a great storm for everyone in here. Enjoy!! I'll be watching from the sidelines in the Lone Star state.

Snowfall Forecast by Zone:

Zone 1: Havre de Grace: 1-4"

Bel Air: 2-5"

Baltimore County Hereford Zone: 3-6"

Timonium/Towson/Western Baltimore County: 3-7"

Eastern Baltimore County: 3-6"

Baltimore City: 3-6"

Northern Carroll: 4-9" with local highest along Parr's 
Ridge (Manchester/Westminster/Hampstead/Mt Airy)

Southern Carroll: 4-8"

Howard County: 4-8"

Eastern Frederick County: 3-7"

Northwest MoCo: 4-8"

Zone 2: East of Bay including all MD/DE counties: 4-10" with 
highest totals across interior areas including 
Easton/Kent Co/Interior Sussex Co. 3-7" along the 
Atlantic shore

AA County: 5-10" with max to the south

South-Central MD counties, including PG Co: 5-11"

Central and Southern MoCo: 5-10"

NW DC: 5-10"

SE DC: 6-12"

Center City DC: 4-9"

NoVa: 6-12"

Frederick County: 4-10" with highest in Western Fdk Co 
and along South Mountain/Catoctins

BWI: 5-10"

IAD: 5-10"

DCA: 4-8"

Zone 3: Valley Areas with elevation below 1200': 5-10"

Appalachians and Blue Ridge/Allegheny with elevation above 
1200-2400': 8-14"

Blue Ridge/Allegheny with elevation above 
2400': 10-16"

Zone 4: Shenandoah Valley areas: 7-12"

Central Va: 8-13" with highest to the east

Southern MD: 6-12"

SBY to OC: 4-9"

Richmond and Areas south of Dashed Line: 2-8" with 
highest to northwest of Richmond. Mixing issues 
possible south of dashed line.

 

173015344_SnowfallZoneForecast1_11-13_19.thumb.PNG.050d46708328108a216c7bd46ededf6f.PNG

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Just now, AU74 said:

Heading there in a couple of hours for the Caps-Jackets game.  Wondering how bad the drive from Glenmont Metro back to Cloverly is will be afterward, around 10:30pm.

If you have a front or all wheel drive it will be a breeze. Roads will be mostly empty

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1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

If you have a front or all wheel drive it will be a breeze. Roads will be mostly empty

Okay, And if you get that Rockville-Columbia death band, please make sure it is wide enough to include Cloverly.  And Colesville.  That is all.

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Hey everyone, 

This is my first post and I just wanted to say this is a great discussion and I couldn't be more thankful to be following along.  I'm moving to Gaithersburg, MD next Tuesday from Mobile, AL and was actually supposed to drive up this weekend but I delayed because of the storm.  I'm a weather enthusiast and while living on the gulf coast, I typically follow the models closely during hurricane season.  It's been fascinating seeing the posts here regarding winter storms because y'all follow these winter low pressure's just like we follow tropical low pressure systems in the Caribbean/gulf.  Enjoy the snow!

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My first post here!  Hello from Annapolis - I just put up the last of the bird feeders and it started lightly snowing here.  I have been lurking in this forum for well over 5 years, but I have never joined or posted.  I love to follow winter storms and this forum is the only place I really trust to get my forecasts (including the great meteorologists here).

I hope everyone gets some snow action tonight and tomorrow.

Cheers,

BC

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Just now, BlackCat said:

My first post here!  Hello from Annapolis - I just put up the last of the bird feeders and it started lightly snowing here.  I have been lurking in this forum for well over 5 years, but I have never joined or posted.  I love to follow winter storms and this forum is the only place I really trust to get my forecasts (including the great meteorologists here).

I hope everyone gets some snow action tonight and tomorrow.

Cheers,

BC

Welcome! Enjoy the storm. 

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1 minute ago, SnowCane4896 said:

Hey everyone, 

This is my first post and I just wanted to say this is a great discussion and I couldn't be more thankful to be following along.  I'm moving to Gaithersburg, MD next Tuesday from Mobile, AL and was actually supposed to drive up this weekend but I delayed because of the storm.  I'm a weather enthusiast and while living on the gulf coast, I typically follow the models closely during hurricane season.  It's been fascinating seeing the posts here regarding winter storms because y'all follow these winter low pressure's just like we follow tropical low pressure systems in the Caribbean/gulf.  Enjoy the snow!

Welcome to Maryland! Things are about to get very interesting after this storm, with many more opportunities on the way. 

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