poolz1 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: I'm a little north of you and my bar is set at 3. Up here we just haven't gotten the bump up that the dc folks have gotten. yep...not quite the excitement up this far but I think our fail scenario (in my mind) of 1-3" is becoming less likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 4-6 is reasonable for Baltimore unless the Euro craps the bed. Ha...gonna be interesting to watch! See I've had a little petty peeve the last couple years...Wanna see 5 inches again so Baltimore can have our first verified WSW (last year fell just short by .2 inches at BWI, lolL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 12z HRDPS .75" QPF at DCA lol EZF over an inch... BWI around 0.4 or so 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 @Bob Chill remember the other day when we were discussing how the guidance kept adjusting to our west? That trend continued and is accounting for much of our improvements. The track was always perfect but a couple days ago the models were washing out the upper energy so much it did no good by the time it got here. There is some degradation of the snowfall to our west as there is much less precipitatable water there but the upper feature is holding together more and more and so as it passes over us and enters the more favorable environment near the coast it's able to fire up some additional banding. Trend is our friend here. Really looks nice down your way. I'm fringed up here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: @Bob Chill remember the other day when we were discussing how the guidance kept adjusting to our west? That trend continued and is accounting for much of our improvements. The track was always perfect but a couple days ago the models were washing out the upper energy so much it did no good by the time it got here. There is some degradation of the snowfall to our west as there is much less precipitatable water there but the upper feature is holding together more and more and so as it passes over us and enters the more favorable environment near the coast it's able to fire up some additional banding. Trend is our friend here. Really looks nice down your way. I'm fringed up here! Yea, you're fringed on models. Enjoy your 6"+ of cold powder though 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 WSW FOR DCA AND INTO MARYLAND 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z HRDPS .75" QPF at DCA lol EZF over an inch... BWI around 0.4 or so It was a model run I was waiting for and it certainly didn't disappoint. I'm going to have to up my forecast totals in most areas, but it'll be a conservative upgrade. I'm going to wait until the 12z Euro before I do anything. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z HRDPS .75" QPF at DCA lol EZF over an inch... BWI around 0.4 or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 26 minutes ago, Scraff said: I’m ready for what the NAM is bringing too... Not enough eggs. 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Trennnnddzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Updated from accuweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Not enough eggs. And not enough beer for Pete's sake! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 JMA also north .5 to baltimore about a 100 mile north shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, yoda said: WSW FOR DCA AND INTO MARYLAND 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, yoda said: WSW FOR DCA AND INTO MARYLAND They haven’t changed it to a warning up my way - you confused me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 One thing i want to at least point out is the big totals on the mesos or icon require upper level energy to perform as it moves through. I've seen many short term disappointments with that not materializing in time to match up with the progs. Not saying i think that's going to happen but it's something nobody should overlook. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Also notice the "assuming 10:1". Very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: In other words old news Yoder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Nothing like having to work in a windowless room on a Saturday. I’m fully expecting flakes to be flying by 4 pm and it’s a winter wonderland outside. That said, how does the red line (outdoor portions) fare during snow events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Yoda - I am not seeing that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 10 minutes ago, biodhokie said: Yes, I thought originally he meant up to the border based on his all caps update - he posted all caps on old news...nothing new there for those of us north of BWI where it still feels fringed or outside of best stuff unless the Germans and NAM are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Yes, I thought originally he meant up to the border based on his all caps update - he posted all caps on old news... He used to be sharper, must just be tired. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 A few lost flurries in Westminster hitting my windshield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Popping in from Harrisburg. Good luck to you guys - hope someone hits 7” in the sub. We will be up here sweating the cutoff. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 15z HRRR has some more intense banding signatures showing up at the end of the run at 18hrs in SW VA. I’m sure those will begin to form and pivot on up the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: He used to be sharper, must just be tired. He's a 400 year old Jedi for heavens sake. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 hours ago, Stormpc said: Lived in Montclair for 17 years. Nothing prettier than a drive down Waterway during heavy snow. Unfortunately through the 90s and early 2000s all of the bradford pears they had in the median broke due to heavy snow or strong winds. They have been replaced with other more hearty trees but for time it was really unique. Ha. I remember that. I lived there as a kid in the 80’s. The golf course provided for some epic sled runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Sorry, been up all morning at the grocery store and working around the house. I didnt see the upgraded warning posted so I just said it. My bad. Back on topic, I like the trends of the meso models 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 That Accu map is going to bust pretty hard around the M/D line, it would seem. 1-3 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 10 minutes ago, BristowWx said: And not enough beer for Pete's sake! PS—this is actually fridge #2. And I didn’t even take a picture of how much beer is on the door. But I like eggs too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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