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January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast


Bob Chill
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6 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Great illustration of how the north trend works.

But not for this storm. It shows the strength of the confluence to the north. Typically, when Washington picks up 6" or more, PHL does much better than what the NAM showed.

Hopefully, the NAM's idea will verify, as the DC region has not had much snowfall during the past two prior winters.

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54 minutes ago, Ji said:

i mean i would normally laugh at the NAM this is happening on Game day. You probably dont remember but it was the first model to pick up getting a foot the night of our Feb 2014 storm(the storm where we got 18 inches) and Cape cried..i mean we are literally in its wheel house lol and all 6z models increased qpf

Didn’t we get a surprise boom on PD 2003 due to Low pressure parking?  I’m so hoping that the NAM is right. 

I know you are excited. 

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