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January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast


Bob Chill
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11 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Thanks Don S and how have you been?

Heres a question for anybody

Its calm winds most  of the event and then around 3pm winds gusted over 20 for about 10 minutes, lots of snow blobs came  out of trees, and then it stopped . No change in immediate weather and no such windyness since?

i

 

Happened here too. That's when my sleet and freezing drizzle turned back to snow and the direction of the flakes came from due north.

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28 minutes ago, notvirga! said:

Dec 92 was one such instance. Just west of Winchester, over a foot...2 feet across the Wv line, and mostly rain east of BR. Same winter as the big blizzard which produced a lot more snow west of the Br. But you make a good point Ji, it seems to happen a lot less than 15 to 20 years ago. I lived in Winchester until 2017. We did get about 35-36 inches from the Jan 16 blizzard which I think was about on par or greater than Loudoun. There was also that March snow in '13 or '14 which busted badly near the beltway. We had about 14-15 inches in Frederick County, VA. 

We almost always get more than east of us during coastal storms. It is exceedingly rare when that isnt the case. We jacked out here for 96, 03 and 16. Sometime PSU and the guys up on Parrs Ridge do a little better. But generally we do fine. And our average annual supports that. We definitely do better with a storm that runs up the coastal plain though. That is true.

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3 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

Happened here too. That's when my sleet and freezing drizzle turned back to snow and the direction of the flakes came from due north.

My guess is some sort of lift or convection briefly mixed winds. Reminds me of the temporary breeze you feel in front of a shower. Today's precip was upper level and instability driven. Curious what direction the breeze was out of.

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Still snowing -- very light but still going. That makes 36 hrs since first flakes. Awesome overall storm for duration of falling snow including daytime. I think we'll wrap up with about 8.5" total. 

@Jebman - my 3 year old son apparently decided it was time to start his Jebwalk training as of tonight. The Mrs was giving him a bath while I went out on the front steps to measure the snow...next thing I know he pops out the front door, runs out into the yard, and opens his mouth to catch the nice big flakes coming down. Very cute.....and then I noticed the ONLY thing he had on was a pair of flip flops. 

Wasn't it @stormtracker who mentioned something about running in the streets nekkid if this storm verified? He's got to do better -- my 3yo been there done that.

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19 minutes ago, MountainGeek said:

Still snowing -- very light but still going. That makes 36 hrs since first flakes. Awesome overall storm for duration of falling snow including daytime. I think we'll wrap up with about 8.5" total. 

@Jebman - my 3 year old son apparently decided it was time to start his Jebwalk training as of tonight. The Mrs was giving him a bath while I went out on the front steps to measure the snow...next thing I know he pops out the front door, runs out into the yard, and opens his mouth to catch the nice big flakes coming down. Very cute.....and then I noticed the ONLY thing he had on was a pair of flip flops. 

Wasn't it @stormtracker who mentioned something about running in the streets nekkid if this storm verified? He's got to do better -- my 3yo been there done that.

Hey @stormtracker : MountainGeek here says that you mentioned something about runnin in the streets nekkid if this storm verified?

Well, IT VERIFIED.

We are waiting for video.

Carry on.

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On 1/12/2019 at 9:55 AM, stormtracker said:

I'd go nude down Connecticut Ave and send you the pics if the Nam verifies

31 minutes ago, Jebman said:

Hey @stormtracker : MountainGeek here says that you mentioned something about runnin in the streets nekkid if this storm verified?

Well, IT VERIFIED.

We are waiting for video.

Carry on.

BUMP!

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Thanks Don S and how have you been?
Heres a question for anybody
Its calm winds most  of the event and then around 3pm winds gusted over 20 for about 10 minutes, lots of snow blobs came  out of trees, and then it stopped . No change in immediate weather and no such windyness since?
i
 

I mention that same thing to my wife it was odd I’m in annapolis


.
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4 hours ago, Deck Pic said:

DCA - 10.3"

BWI - 6.6"

IAD - 10.6"

probably final

 

 

Haha that can't be final for BWI. I swear for all the complaining about DCA's reporting, BWI's is equally as comical. I live pretty close to the airport and they are always low on totals.

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I missed all the part 2 action yesterday here.  Poorly modeled. All guidance, including the 12z Euro had around 0.4 here with the coastal ccb. By the time the UL energy and the coastal congealed, it was all to my SE. Betwixt and between. I did get 5.2" from part one.

Congrats to all who got the part 2 'surprise'. Amazing pics. Radar was frustrating to watch from here though lol.

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11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Distribution of Snowfall (January 12-14, 2019):

Distributionof-Snow0112-132019.jpg

Source: National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center

Thanks don. That captures the forum split on this storm perfectly. 

Frustrating for those of us in here in the blue. Although I think that frustration was generally handled well. 

Probably the biggest forum splitter in terms of totals over such a short distance in our forum where a majority of forum cashed and a small area didn’t since I think the second Feb 2010 blizzard left @mattie g area behind in terms of totals. Maybe @C.A.P.E.‘s area in Jan. 2016 in the dry slot too.

fun storm to track though and at least no one got shut out.

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10 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Thanks don. That captures the forum split on this storm perfectly. 

Frustrating for those of us in here in the blue. Although I think that frustration was generally handled well. 

Probably the biggest forum splitter in terms of totals over such a short distance in our forum where a majority of forum cashed and a small area didn’t since I think the second Feb 2010 blizzard left @mattie g area behind in terms of totals. Maybe @C.A.P.E.‘s area in Jan. 2016 in the dry slot too.

fun storm to track though and at least no one got shut out.

That is a great graphic by Don. Yeah the big storm in 2016 had the dry slot which seemed to be missed by forecasters. This storm was sort of a 2 part deal, and that is always tricky. Part one worked out well here- I was thinking 5-6 and I ended up a bit over 5. Yesterday afternoon/evening was a complete whiff, and even my updated forecast at 330 pm was still calling for 2-4", but not a flake fell. 

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53 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

I missed all the part 2 action yesterday here.  Poorly modeled. All guidance, including the 12z Euro had around 0.4 here with the coastal ccb. By the time the UL energy and the coastal congealed, it was all to my SE. Betwixt and between. I did get 5.2" from part one.

Congrats to all who got the part 2 'surprise'. Amazing pics. Radar was frustrating to watch from here though lol.

Yeah, that was rough watching that unfold.  Although, it seems to be a more common occurance in the midshore area with snowstorms.

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