Beachin Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 We are about to enter phase 2 I'll call it. Buckle up 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: Hrrr looks good even up here tomorrow HRRR and NAM have been hinting at a CCB deformation band forming over Baltimore metro northern md And southern PA for a few consecutive runs now. NAM has done well so far. This too could happen with proper coastal influence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 am ob 3.5”. Light snow last hour, 0.25”, mean green returns moving back in. Temp rose to 29.3 in lighter stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, jayyy said: You’ll be alright in Bowie, sir. Dc proper and southern MD should be okay. South of 66 could run into problem if this storm truly has trended 25+ miles north. Models showed the potential of a warm layer intrusion in the SE quadrant of the storm for days. Think many assumed it would be all snow but more coastal development can easily rush warm air on the SE flank as cold air wraps around the NW. Yeah I think I will be alright this time. Models don’t show a flip for me but it’s closer than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Beachin said: We are about to enter phase 2 I'll call it. Buckle up Incoming Bob Chill Deathband. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Radar is filling in again: https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=lwx&product=N0R&loop=yes All its gonna do all night long, is snow snow snow! Hey dont forget to put your windshield wipers up. There's going to be snow on your car tops by morning. Edit: Ninja'd by Beachin! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 This is some heavy .... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 21 minutes ago, yoda said: Nice. What was your call for DC again? I believe you called for around 6? Or am I wrong? Went 4-5” yesterday as a final call. We’ll most likely top that measurably. But I don’t like revisions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 I’m facing the math that it’s likely to snow for another 16 hours at 0.3 to 0.7”ph so I will let you do the math. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Near Baltimore City, I'm probably somewhere around 3" on the grass. I will say though, roads look like they're going to be okay. Even my side road was getting white but salt truck cleared it right up. I have to imagine the main roads are fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 6 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: Very true. The whole metro coast really did get in on a lot of good action. Really stood out here with the over 100” in the second half for KBOS. Something I’ll never see again most likely Don't bet on it. You will see it again in your lifetime, likely will be bested several times. The weather is changing. Unusual snow events will increase, both in intensity and in frequency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Nice moderate snow under yellow returns north of Sterling. 27 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 7 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: I’m facing the math that it’s likely to snow for another 16 hours at 0.3 to 0.7”ph so I will let you do the math. Thats just wow, like Unbelievable , when you consider that places like Dale City are probably already in excess of 3 inches otg already. Just look at whats inbound. https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php Its like You gotta be kiddin me 16 times half an inch an hour and some hours could easily be an inch an hour, on top of what many places in N VA/MD/DC already have otg? Whomever gets in on the Conditional Symmetric Instability banding will find out firsthand what a crush job truly is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Flake structure has completely changed from dry snow to big fatties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 29/27 -SN 3.5 inches as of 1:15 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Jebman said: Thats just wow, like Unbelievable , when you consider that places like Dale City are probably already in excess of 3 inches otg already. Just llok at whats inbound. There’s already reports of 2-3” all over central Maryland as well. Like I suspected, Montgomery county to Howard county would benefit from a solid location (south enough for QPF- North enough for great snow crystal growth) The heavy stuff is knocking on our doorstep again! If NAM is to be believed, we are in for another 5-8” or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackb979 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Heavier snow picking up in McLean near Tysons Corner as this heavier band comes in (after experiencing a lull for an hour or so). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 13 minutes ago, yoda said: Another 0.7 or so QPF at DCA BWI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 3.7" and rates just picked back up. May be up to 5" after this round of heavier stuff moves through. Undeniable trend this year with southern shortwaves packing more juice than models were showing even in the short range. What a year around here. I still laugh at last winter's dire Armageddon drought thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, gopper said: BWI? 0.4 to 0.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: 3.7" and rates just picked back up. May be up to 5" after this round of heavier stuff moves through. Undeniable trend this year with southern shortwaves packing more juice than models were showing even in the short range. What a year around here. I still laugh at last winter's dire Armageddon drought thread. You ready for the death band? Cause I sure as heck am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 36 minutes ago, Snow36 said: Jebman, sorry for butting in. You and your posts literally symbolize the epitome of the enthusiasm that drives half the board to be weather enthusiasts. I honestly don't think this forum [and the predecessor] would be the same without your posts. Don't trivialize them! I second this sentiment! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Sitting here at home on Staten Island, after a double shift on forecasting a "non-storm" for NYC but knowing SI stands best chance...congrats on getting NAM'd. Hope you all have enough beer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 The 850 mb rich area that was pulling gulf moisture is finally getting close. Notice out west its going more NNE. We are almost in the peak soon within the next 3 hours or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 This band is super legit. Potentially the first low viz band imby. This is a pretty bad way to run a lull. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Yellows and dark greens from NOVA heading straight toward Baltimore city 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just got back from the uninspiring caps game. Measured 2" in Smithsburg md. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 4” in Germantown. Gonna easily get to 6. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 12 minutes ago, Jebman said: Don't bet on it. You will see it again in your lifetime, likely will be bested several times. The weather is changing. Unusual snow events will increase, both in intensity and in frequency. I hope you’re right. Maybe we’ll get another 09’-10’ before then too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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