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January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast


Bob Chill
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I have returned from grotto's pizza. Looks like 12z models look just a little better than 06z. Based on short-term models and trends, NWS Mt Holly could use a little constructive criticism for hedging a little low on snow totals, at least for the central (where I am) and the southern areas. Northern areas could use a little tweaking with the snow maps as well.

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6 minutes ago, smokeybandit said:

They updated their map at 11:21, then made significant changes at 11:56?

It's fine. They are likely very busy, taking in a lot of info very quickly for a pretty tough forecast, working on a Saturday after many weeks without pay and no end in sight, all over a dumb political impasse. I think they're doing a great job considering the circumstances they're in.

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I have returned from grotto's pizza. Looks like 12z models look just a little better than 06z. Based on short-term models and trends, NWS Mt Holly could use a little constructive criticism for hedging a little low on snow totals, at least for the central (where I am) and the southern areas. Northern areas could use a little tweaking with the snow maps as well.
Where are you located, if you don't mind me asking

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Just now, Fozz said:

It's fine. They are likely very busy, taking in a lot of info very quickly for a pretty tough forecast, working on a Saturday after many weeks without pay and no end in sight, all over a dumb political impasse. I think they're doing a great job considering the circumstances they're in.

Amen

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3 minutes ago, Fozz said:

It's fine. They are likely very busy, taking in a lot of info very quickly for a pretty tough forecast, working on a Saturday after many weeks without pay and no end in sight, all over a dumb political impasse. I think they're doing a great job considering the circumstances they're in.

My comment wasn't a criticism of LWX. More of a weenie "sweet!" reaction.

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Eastern MD near CAPE.. in Goldsboro
Oh cool. I think those of us on the Midshore have a nice event incoming. You guys probably have less mixing concerns than I do. Looks like a period of rain or sleet could happen out this way Sunday afternoon as the coastal gets cranking

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17 minutes ago, Grothar of Herndon said:

 Definitely moving north. Southern Fairfax looking great. I hope it keeps nudging northward. Herndon on the boarder line now.

I’m just around Fairfax City and I was thinking we might get in on the banding. We typically do well with it. I am rather surprised that they upped the numbers so quickly. High ratios possible, I guess. 

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