Radtechwxman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 20 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: You worry too much. Enjoy the 6"+ Well after being burned many many times here it is hard not to man. Lol. But thanks for the positive reinforcement. The expanse of this system is pretty incredible. Been a while since we seen a snow swath like this. Hope you guys up north fair out better than forecasted. RAP gives you hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 22 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: You worry too much. Enjoy the 6"+ Do you think ILX numbers are pretty realistic? 8-12 south of 74 and 6-9" north of 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Central Illinois said: Do you think ILX numbers are pretty realistic? 8-12 south of 74 and 6-9" north of 74 Roughly, yea I would agree with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 If the rap is right my citrus call might bust. We will see, the sounding tonight was dry as can be for DTX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 Latest HRRRRR continues the trend for wetter/further north along the I-80 corridor. Now the QC is solidly in the 0.5"+ area on the HRRR, with over 0.6" on the RAP. Looking like the QC has a shot at more of a 5-6" type event based on these trends. Think I'll bump my call for here from 1-2" to 3-4", and the QC from 2-3" up to 5-6". Still not 100% sure, but it's looking like the nasty gradient I was concerned with may set up a bit north of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Latest HRRRRR continues the trend for wetter/further north along the I-80 corridor. Now the QC is solidly in the 0.5"+ area on the HRRR, with over 0.6" on the RAP. Looking like the QC has a shot at more of a 5-6" type event based on these trends. Think I'll bump my call for here from 1-2" to 3-4", and the QC from 2-3" up to 5-6". Still not 100% sure, but it's looking like the nasty gradient I was concerned with may set up a bit north of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 14 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Latest HRRRRR continues the trend for wetter/further north along the I-80 corridor. Now the QC is solidly in the 0.5"+ area on the HRRR, with over 0.6" on the RAP. Looking like the QC has a shot at more of a 5-6" type event based on these trends. Think I'll bump my call for here from 1-2" to 3-4", and the QC from 2-3" up to 5-6". Still not 100% sure, but it's looking like the nasty gradient I was concerned with may set up a bit north of here. The trend this evening is quite positive. The dry air feed is backing off compared to some earlier model runs, especially the HRRR. The dry dip into east-central IA is being replaced with a decent moisture surge. I was expecting 2", but now it should be 3", perhaps 4" with a bit of luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Small very wet flakes still here. Thinking that might keep us from hitting those jackpot numbers earlier. I suppose it's still early but only 3 inches as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Some St. Louis area storm reports are up to 8-9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Euro is mega hot/north. 4-6” entire Chicago metro. 7-9” south of I-88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Euro is mega hot/north. 4-6” entire Chicago metro. 7-9” south of I-88 Will believe it when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Euro is mega hot/north. 4-6” entire Chicago metro. 7-9” south of I-88 Very nice. Yeah has 0.6" of precip up here now as well. Very nice trends this evening. As we used to say in the old days...wagons north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, Hoosier said: Will believe it when I see it. Bet it happens, it gives a cripplingly strong miss here yet Toledo has 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Euro is mega hot/north. 4-6” entire Chicago metro. 7-9” south of I-88 Press "x" to doubt Not saying I won't take it but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxDanny Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Nice bump north, probably need to expand the WWA another tier north toward metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 These last minute trends have been nice but a little surprising in my opinion, hope it continues. My original call for 3-4” here may be a bit conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I remember when <1" seemed like a legitimate call(far north side of CR) for my area 2 days ago. I'm gonna adjust that to 2.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 The expanding of totals on the northern fringe/bumps north continue on the HRRR/RAP. Also looks like St. Louis could even change to rain tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 59 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Press "x" to doubt Not saying I won't take it but X Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, CoalCityWxMan said: The expanding of totals on the northern fringe/bumps north continue on the HRRR/RAP. Also looks like St. Louis could even change to rain tomorrow The low will have to take a turn toward the north then. All evening it's been moving almost due east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 For those in Northern Illinois... Some guidance is handling saturation terribly. That I've looked through so far, the NAM, 3km NAM, HRRR, RAP are all much to slow with advancing the snow, some by 4-5 hours. That could play a later roll in final accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 6 hours ago, janetjanet998 said: NWS trending down in the zones for STL..WTF is gong on? it changes sometimes in 30 minutes 306pm OTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 14 TO 16 INCHES 451pm TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 12 TO 13 INCHES 804pm TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 10 TO 13 INCHES 836pm TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 9 TO 11 INCHES WTF why do they keep changing all the time almost every hour 1021pm TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 8 TO 10 INCHES 1106pm TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 11 TO 14 INCHES 1151pm TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 13 TO 16 INCHES 1235am TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 13 TO 16 INCHES 1251am TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 12 TO 15 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 LOT SHORT TERM 252 AM CST THROUGH TONIGHT... A VERY SLOW MOVING AND MOISTURE RICH STORM SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO TONIGHT. THE ONLY CHANGES TO THE GOING HEADLINES WAS TO ADD ANOTHER COUNTY NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE I-88 CORRIDOR AND TO ALSO EXTEND THE ADVISORY THROUGH 09Z TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 Looks like we're closing in on an inch here. HRRR/RAP show over 1/2" of precip, so we look to make a run at 6". Always nice to see things trend in the good direction in the final 12hrs instead of the opposite lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 11 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Looks like we're closing in on an inch here. HRRR/RAP show over 1/2" of precip, so we look to make a run at 6". Always nice to see things trend in the good direction in the final 12hrs instead of the opposite lol. You debbed your way to 6". Congrats! Radar returns crawling north around here...snow literally knocking on the back door, lol...but we are getting some flakes with whatever moves overhead. Still like somewhere in the 3-5" range for IKK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1/2" here as of 620 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Pixie dust falling at a good clip here. Going to estimate right around 3-4”. Heavier returns off to my west. Another 10-12 hours before the snow tapers off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 LSX (St Louis) CWA 0520 AM SNOW WILLIAMSBURG 38.92N 91.70W 01/12/2019 M13.5 INCH CALLAWAY MO TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 hours ago, janetjanet998 said: LOT SHORT TERM 252 AM CST THROUGH TONIGHT... A VERY SLOW MOVING AND MOISTURE RICH STORM SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO TONIGHT. THE ONLY CHANGES TO THE GOING HEADLINES WAS TO ADD ANOTHER COUNTY NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE I-88 CORRIDOR AND TO ALSO EXTEND THE ADVISORY THROUGH 09Z TONIGHT. actually quite the bump in these parts along the I-88 corridor. Lot added us to the Advisory and bumped are totals from 1-2 to 3-5 inches. Fairly substantial change. Dry air still a concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 actually quite the bump in these parts along the I-88 corridor. Lot added us to the Advisory and bumped are totals from 1-2 to 3-5 inches. Fairly substantial change. Dry air still a concern. Dry air still winning in Kankakee County. No flakes yet despite the radar returns . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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