White Gorilla Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, West Mtn NY said: The other thing we have going for us is the lowest dews are to our North and NW not NE. It is in a position to keep pushing rather than be eroded by retreating to the NE as is often the case with highs up over Maine. It wouldn't take much of a last min tick SE to make this a 6-8 dump of snow followed by a few inches of Sleet to bulletproof the pack I hope so. I will be happy with only snow and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, White Gorilla said: Well I hope you are right. Based on warning trends, I was thinking 60% ice, 40% snow, which is why I said more ice storm than snow storm.. We shall see. A lot of what falls is going to be sleet. That is very different from ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: A lot of what falls is going to be sleet. That is very different from ZR. Fingers crossed.. I am most afraid of power outages that ZR would bring, especially with the brutal cold following the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Atleast it still looks and feels like winter here.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 32/19 now...dp slowly dropping from this morning. Winds seem out of the east/southeast. Stranger things have happened, but I'm not expecting much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Good luck to everyone here. Not just NW, but even the coasties. I'd post in the main thread, but afraid of being attacked. Its brutal in there right now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 Still cold and winds out of the NNE. Not feeling the wetness that's forecasted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Freezing rain threat looks to be increasing around route 84, Poughkeepsie area given warmer trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Glazed trees glistening in the reddish light of the eclipsed moon would be pretty epic, I have to confess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 I didn't expect the precip to start as sleet but that's what I've got falling. Temp popped from 30/31 all afternoon to 34 just before it started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Very light snow began here about 40 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 Snow pellets and grains now,no more sleet, temp is back down to 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 On 1/18/2019 at 10:44 AM, JerseyWx said: .75" What about you @rgwp96 Yup pretty much the same 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Albany point forecast has a high of 37F for me tomorrow morning. While I've been leaning warm with this the whole time, I never would have guessed upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Snow starting in New City as I type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Light snow for an hour now. Only 1/3" down. 25/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 20, 2019 Author Share Posted January 20, 2019 Even though it's been snowing for a few hours now it's barely accumulating. The wind has changed to the ESE with more of a southerly component than I'd like to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Everything is white here main roads my driveway everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 9 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Everything is white here main roads my driveway everything Uh oh. Im at a friends house up on the hill separating nyack and valley cottage....havent peaked outside in a while. This might be a interesting drive home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Uh oh. Im at a friends house up on the hill separating nyack and valley cottage....havent peaked outside in a while. This might be a interesting drive home. BX I drove from Nanuet to New City Roads are ALL white,,,,,,let us know what you are dealing with safe trip home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Just now, Brasiluvsnow said: BX I drove from Nanuet to New City Roads are ALL white,,,,,,let us know what you are dealing with safe trip home White from snow or the overuse of road salt... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: White from snow or the overuse of road salt... No ROB its snowing and sticking here I am positive BX can confirm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: White from snow or the overuse of road salt... "Road salt"? Is that what they're calling it these days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 My buddy just called he drove from HOBOKEN home to New Hope Pa it snowed all the way---just changed over in New Hope A FEW MINUTES AGO after he got home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: No ROB its snowing and sticking here I am positive BX can confirm Fortunately I’m just busting chops as I always do. My advice though is to never use @BxEngine as a witness to anything. Ever. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I'm in Spring Valley/Monsey & it's absolutely beautiful. Everything's whiteSent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Fortunately I’m just busting chops as I always do. My advice though is to never use @BxEngine as a witness to anything. Ever. Rob I have video of BX struggling up the mountain he can't deny LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 22/20 here 1" OTG. Looking at Uptons AFD, they mentioned that the nam has 3-4" of QPF just to the east of NYC. that could be a real mess up here if our surface temperature stays below freezing. NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... Rain/Snow line right along the south shore of NYC and Long Island and will steadily progress northward this evening. 00Z NAM continues to support rapid changeover from south to north tonight. There will likely be adjustments to advisories/warnings through the night as the warmer air works across the region and a strong southerly low-level jet works northward from the Mid Atlantic states. East flow already pushing dew points to around 30 across coastal locations, a clear sign of a warming boundary layer. HiRes models keep most coastal locations above freezing with the exception of the Connecticut coast which may briefly drop to around freezing with the onset of steadier precipitation. Consensus track is right over or just east of the NYC metro by Sunday, which will likely draw the coastal front northward up into CT. The question is how far north does the low-level warm air get across the Lower Hudson Valley, NE NJ, and interior SW CT. There is no question of a snow to rain transition across the entire area with pronounced warming aloft, but rather does a enough low-level cold air stay in place for a prolonged period of freezing rain across the interior. Once a changeover occurs to rain, it will be heavy, thus the flash flood watch for coastal and urban areas. This in collaboration with surrounding offices. Some elevated instability could result in heavier rain in the morning due to convection. 18Z NAM has shifted heavy rain axis as far west as NYC with 3 to 4 inches of rain. This is due to a feed of subtropical moisture and steepening mid-level lapse rates, especially along the coast. May need to expand flash flood watch across interior portions of CT. Temps tonight rise from SE to NW overnight, and are based on higher resolution guidance. Temps likely remain below 32 across far interior NW zones. Then as expected, temps plummet Sunday afternoon as frigid air rushes in behind this storm. The bulk of the precipitation winds down, but any lingering precip could change back to a mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Yeah, these rates aren't gonna get it done sadly. If CC is any indication, the mix line is at HPN and blasting north; HRRR says we ping by 2-3 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 1/2 inches so far, coming down good. But I believe the mixing will begin over the next couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now