BxEngine Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 16 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Sun angle should cancel that out and keep us capped around 36". Uhh its before daylight savings, one hour less sunlight, we’ll be fine. 40” 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 28.0° with moderate snow but intensity has let up some. 3.0 inches even so far from this event, 30 inches now for the season. I'm guessing this will suppress the I want 80's and warm weather for March talk for a couple of days at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3.5”. 31f and snowing moderately with small flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1.2" Third day in a row with accumulating snow; tomorrow and Monday should make five, so that's kind of cool I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, Juliancolton said: 1.2" Third day in a row with accumulating snow; tomorrow and Monday should make five, so that's kind of cool I guess. You dont seem enthused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 MORCH!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 2, 2019 Author Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: 28.0° with moderate snow but intensity has let up some. 3.0 inches even so far from this event, 30 inches now for the season. I'm guessing this will suppress the I want 80's and warm weather for March talk for a couple of days at least. No I want 70* even more now. Not being allowed to go out and do "stressful" things like shoveling or riding my fat bike means I'm essentially trapped inside until it melts and dries. Heck, I'm stressed just thinking about dealing with my driveway until this stuff melts, my car is trapped because I can't move the plow pile and it only has 4.5" of clearance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2.1" does it here for this round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 9:38 AM, IrishRob17 said: 1.4 for me this morning, tomorrow morning I should have some time to go over my seasonal numbers. 34.1” seasonal goal now with the season al average to date of 34.6” here so .5” below average right now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 2, 2019 Author Share Posted March 2, 2019 Oooh I'm almost at 20" for the year now Fkn plow went down the street so fast the last few days they've broken up the pothole patch in front of my house. This morning it threw rocks 20 feet up the lawn and pummeled the side of the car in the driveway with asphalt chunks up to 3" and a ton of gravel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 hours ago, BxEngine said: You dont seem enthused. No no, you're doing terrific, I'm just a little tired. ...wait, you're not my gf. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Hudson valley news 12 calling for near a foot of snow for most people. just saw it on the tv. people around me are in panic mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 hours ago, gravitylover said: No I want 70* even more now. Not being allowed to go out and do "stressful" things like shoveling or riding my fat bike means I'm essentially trapped inside until it melts and dries. Heck, I'm stressed just thinking about dealing with my driveway until this stuff melts, my car is trapped because I can't move the plow pile and it only has 4.5" of clearance. With what you've been through this winter, you're entitled and an exception. I was talking about the true snow haters of which there's surprisingly more than a few on this forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Animal said: Hudson valley news 12 calling for near a foot of snow for most people. just saw it on the tv. people around me are in panic mode. Well I could see why, we've only seen a foot or more of snow from a single storm about 20 times in the last ten years. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Not sure if folks have been paying attention (I haven't), but this week looks frigid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 51 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Not sure if folks have been paying attention (I haven't), but this week looks frigid. It’s funny because today was a very spring like snow. By 9 am the roads were just wet and everything was melting. In early afternoon they were dry in spots. This upcoming event should have more of mid wintery feel afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 I'm not liking the rain to start the storm in my forecast. That rarely makes for a good "winter" storm here. I'm just a bit too close to the water especially if the wind turns east with a southerly component to it. It's like the warm air banks up against the Taconics a few miles to my northwest and leaves me more wet than white especially being on an easterly aspect that's open to the south. I know it's supposed to cool significantly during the storm but I end up with warm air trapped for a while and it usually gives me a period of indeterminate mixed precip before the flip to snow. With as cold as it looks to be behind the storm there's going to be some ugly ice here. I really hope the wind turns northerly ahead of or as the storm moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 5 minutes ago, gravitylover said: I'm not liking the rain to start the storm in my forecast. That rarely makes for a good "winter" storm here. I'm just a bit too close to the water especially if the wind turns east with a southerly component to it. It's like the warm air banks up against the Taconics a few miles to my northwest and leaves me more wet than white especially being on an easterly aspect that's open to the south. I know it's supposed to cool significantly during the storm but I end up with warm air trapped for a while and it usually gives me a period of indeterminate mixed precip before the flip to snow. With as cold as it looks to be behind the storm there's going to be some ugly ice here. I really hope the wind turns northerly ahead of or as the storm moves in. Albany mentions a R/S mix to start for me as well. I doubt either of us see much rain... if there is any liquid, it's long gone within an hour of start time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 @Juliancolton I hope you're right. It sounds like most folks in the storm thread are pretty comfortable with it not being wet here at all. I don't trust any benchmark track storm with strong easterlies this close to the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 12 minutes ago, gravitylover said: @Juliancolton I hope you're right. It sounds like most folks in the storm thread are pretty comfortable with it not being wet here at all. I don't trust any benchmark track storm with strong easterlies this close to the water. Don't worry about the rain that may fall in the beginning. It will quickly change to snow as column cools. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Steady as she blows. 30f here and beautiful. my p&c is 4-8”, and the nws map looks like 6-8”. I’ll sign for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 Yeah right, what a beautiful morning out there. It doesn't look like a snowstorm is incoming does it? Is there a place for soundings for KDXR and KPOU? I'm still trying to learn to read them but find some aspects to them quite useful already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 hours ago, gravitylover said: Yeah right, what a beautiful morning out there. It doesn't look like a snowstorm is incoming does it? Is there a place for soundings for KDXR and KPOU? I'm still trying to learn to read them but find some aspects to them quite useful already. TropicalTidbits generates point-soundings for the op GFS, 3km NAM, HRRR, and WRFs. The College of DuPage site has RAP. If you have any questions about how to read them, I'll be happy to try and help. I'm not terribly skillful with using sounding progs in the course of operational forecasting, but I do have the theory behind them down fairly well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 12z euro is 7-11 nw nj orange county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Some intense rates progged for the wee hours. Given that this is fixed at 10:1, I'd bump the shading north by a bit. A line from Peekskill to Mahopac to Danbury is my favored jackpot corridor, accounting for the best balance of liquid and improved ratios relative to areas closer to the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just for fun, my call: HPN - 6.7" DXR - 7.5" POU - 5.5" SWF - 5.8" MGJ - 4.9" Jackpot at the Salem balancing rock - 8.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 11 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Some intense rates progged for the wee hours. Given that this is fixed at 10:1, I'd bump the shading north by a bit. A line from Peekskill to Mahopac to Danbury is my favored jackpot corridor, accounting for the best balance of liquid and improved ratios relative to areas closer to the water. Ya think? Rt 6 FTW It started as all snow here about a half hour ago and the temp is dropping pretty quickly. It was 45 @ 4pm and it's 34 now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 37f and precipitation just commenced. Exceedingly light snow. btw-hope you’re right about the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Down to 34f. Hard surfaces coated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 4, 2019 Author Share Posted March 4, 2019 31/29/SN just shy of 1" now. So far it looks like my worry about warm air isn't coming to pass but it has been snowing for 4 hours and I'm still under 1". Hopefully rates come up significantly later and flake size gets better. If I'm going to have an all snow storm I want it to be 'for real'. I'm not looking forward to more single digit temps this week though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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