jewell2188 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Channel 9 first call.....6-9+ culpeper county south and 3-6 for Immediate DC metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Beachin said: This is 12z 18z is way different Better or worse? Edit: TT not all the way through but looks better to me (for DC). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Most will like the icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Icon is a big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Most will like the icon More consolidated at 78 on 18z ICON, the NS is about 150/200 miles further west in Ontario. Edit: It's a good hit for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 me and bob will like this frame of Fv3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: me and bob will like this frame of Fv3 but...but...but...I PAY MY BILLS MAN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I suspect the GFS should come north some 18z Icon looks like the NAM to a degree. Buckle up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 ICON track and evolution looks a lot like the EPS members that stripe us with 6"+. Don't care what the qpf output is. Give us that track and we party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Wow big hit, 0.75 for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Now that the qpf panels are out... looks EXACTLY like the EPS members that get it done right. [Ji jackpots but is still on tilt] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: More consolidated at 78 on 18z ICON, the NS is about 150/200 miles further west in Ontario. Edit: It's a good hit for the area Having the NS further west is our best hope. It extends the jet entrance region further west and causes a partial phase. Otherwise, it's a strong out cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 Sign me up for the ICON right now. Too bad it's the ICON. Deutschland Deutschland über Schnee! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, WxUSAF said: Sign me up for the ICON right now. Too bad it's the ICON. Deutschland Deutschland über Schnee! idk man. It's like cut and paste similar to the warning level events on the EPS. That part is a little encouraging even if it is the ICON. Plus it's been stingy lately. Onset in 60 hours or so... heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I wonder if this will be a storm that we just coast our way to the top.. it's starting to look like it. There's kind of a point where they have to explode on the coast. Edit: I mean like 12-18" with a chance of 24". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: idk man. It's like cut and paste similar to the warning level events on the EPS. That part is a little encouraging even if it is the ICON. Plus it's been stingy lately. Onset in 60 hours or so... heh Between the EPS and GEFS members that are similar and the ICON, it's obviously not an out-of-bounds scenario. I'll hug for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Time for some wiener schnitzel! Go Germany! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 This is looking like a long duration 4-6 throughout the area. With maybe some 8 or 9 inch lollies to the south of me. Very nice winter storm to end this horrifying drought. I think we are pretty much locked in at this point for a decent event. Some possibility of a slightly juicier system still in play too IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, yoda said: I was going to go more with Deutschland, Deutschland über alles Now I've got that scene from "Casablanca" going through my head, the German vs. French national anthem part in Rick's Cafe. Anyhow on topic...I have no idea how good the ICON is, but at least it's showing a similar trend to what we saw in this afternoon's model cycle runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 When is storm mode? What is all this mess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackb979 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Chase said: When is storm mode? What is all this mess? Storm mode starting Friday afternoon/night maybe? don't want to jump the gun too early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 The server may implode if happy hour GFS comes in strong. Fingers crossed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodbridge02 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 GFS looks stronger and further north at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 It wasn't like that 20 years ago. I remember year after year, always hearing how little snow fell near the coast. For some random reason they have been doing rather well. People have been chasing snow by going to Rehoboth and Dewey the last few years, strange times. As someone who lives in Rehoboth Beach, I haven't minded one bit, though I must admit it is highly unusualSent from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Scraff said: The server may implode if happy hour GFS comes in strong. Fingers crossed... Starting off on the right foot. It's almost certainly going to be north of 12z. You can see it early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Much stronger and consolidated vort and much more amplification. Gonna be a vastly different run then 12z for sure coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Scraff said: The server may implode if happy hour GFS comes in strong. Fingers crossed... So far it's North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 31 minutes ago, Hyphnx said: Okay... we don't need that much in RVA. I want my 18 month old to have fun and not vanish like last time A child vanishes in 6 inches of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Lol big hit incoming GFS finally has snow to Chicago 500s really buckling 3 runs of a deeper sharper trough trend has formed this will only get better as it corrects north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I would guess a 12-18" strip if the GFS is correct. These dry snow storms do trend more and more at the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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