MillvilleWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: He is in S DE right? That area sure has been on a bit of a hot streak the past couple winters. Yup. A few miles west of Bethany in Millville. I know Phin has a place in that area too. That has been a hot spot over the last few years. They were one of the few places above normal in the Central MA last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: He is in S DE right? That area sure has been on a bit of a hot streak the past couple winters. In a small North South state like Delaware where I live, there indeed have been some remarkable weather differences like me with light snow and Dewey Beach with blizzard conditions, please make it stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, wawarriors4 said: From LWX: LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Saturday into Sunday, an upper level trough will move through the midwest on Saturday and shift eastward toward the mid-Atlantic region. A surface low pressure system associated with this upper level feature will form over Texas and make its way eastward. The models are disagreeing on the exact track that this surface low will take this weekend. The European tracks the low up through the Tennessee River Valley and up through the mid-Atlantic. The Euro solution is furthest north then the 12Z GFS and Canadian models. The 12Z GFS model run moves the surface low further southward and tracks through Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas. This solution would bring snow too the Carolinas and northward through southern PA. The 12Z Canadian splits the European and GFS solutions by running the low up through north Carolina. These solutions all agree the region will see some snow this weekend starting sometime late Saturday morning and continue through Sunday. It is to early to really tell how much snow will occur but there is upwards potential depending whether the models track further northward. Cold air shouldn't be problem since all models agree that surface temperatures during the day will be near or below freezing with overnight temperatures in the teens and 20s. how often do you see that last sentence? Cold air ain't a thing. It takes arguably our often biggest nemesis out of consideration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Yup. A few miles west of Bethany in Millville. I know Phin has a place in that area too. That has been a hot spot over the last few years. They were one of the few places above normal in the Central MA last year. Seems whomever you know gets a ton of snow !! Whether in the Alps with those recent videos of 5 feet from a few days ago, or in Dewey, ha ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I sense us about to be NAM'ED based off hour 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, frd said: In a small North South state like Delaware where I live, there indeed have been some remarkable weather differences like me with light snow and Dewey Beach with blizzard conditions, please make it stop. Climo says it will lol. Your area is going to come out on top of slower lower in the snow dept most winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: how often do you see that last sentence? Cold air ain't a thing. It takes arguably our often biggest nemesis out of consideration. Very true, doesn't happen often, but when it does it's so great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Yeah man. Everyone I know cashed last year except me haha. Now I'm definitely not going to cash much out here, but I'll be home in less than 2 weeks, right in the heart of when we could see something. I'd love nothing more than to see a bomb before I head home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Climo says it will lol. Your area is going to come out on top of slower lower in the snow dept most winters. Ah , I see you have the local lingo down well ! Correct , normally the beaches change over, but Dewey has been the new Boston recently. Living the good life down there. Happy Lower Weenies ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Beachin said: I sense us about to be NAM'ED based off hour 57 NAM looks good! But it is.. the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: From LWX: LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Saturday into Sunday, an upper level trough will move through the midwest on Saturday and shift eastward toward the mid-Atlantic region. A surface low pressure system associated with this upper level feature will form over Texas and make its way eastward. The models are disagreeing on the exact track that this surface low will take this weekend. The European tracks the low up through the Tennessee River Valley and up through the mid-Atlantic. The Euro solution is furthest north then the 12Z GFS and Canadian models. The 12Z GFS model run moves the surface low further southward and tracks through Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas. This solution would bring snow too the Carolinas and northward through southern PA. The 12Z Canadian splits the European and GFS solutions by running the low up through north Carolina. These solutions all agree the region will see some snow this weekend starting sometime late Saturday morning and continue through Sunday. It is to early to really tell how much snow will occur but there is upwards potential depending whether the models track further northward. Cold air shouldn't be problem since all models agree that surface temperatures during the day will be near or below freezing with overnight temperatures in the teens and 20s. There are at least 5 typos/grammar errors in that. I know they're working without pay over there but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 57 minutes ago, Ji said: i dont think he considers us Nothern Mid Atlantic lol HM references this map a lot so I would argue he's using PA/NJ as the Northern Mid Atlantic: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Bowling ball incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 9 minutes ago, frd said: In a small North South state like Delaware where I live, there indeed have been some remarkable weather differences like me with light snow and Dewey Beach with blizzard conditions, please make it stop. Then there are times when it is raining at the beach and you are getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Nam doing what it does best with a 2 closed contour ull. If you believe that then believe everything after. I don't. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 HM references this map a lot so I would argue he's using PA/NJ as the Northern Mid Atlantic: Huge differences in climatology between northern PA and North Carolina, lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: Huge differences in climatology between northern PA and North Carolina, lol. . Not this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Check out the NAM's daming of cold air in the Apps hr21-39. Prelude to storm I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Huge differences in climatology between northern PA and North Carolina, lol. . Where would you put them? Huge differences in North Carolina and Florida, so can't go in the Southeast according to that logic. NC/VA/DC/MD piedmont share pretty close climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I wish this NAM run continued. 84 looked fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ji said: I wish this NAM run continued. 84 looked fun It’s better this way. We can use our imaginations. Which is kind of what the 84 hour NAM is anyway. But could be the signal for a raucous happy hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 26 minutes ago, frd said: In a small North South state like Delaware where I live, there indeed have been some remarkable weather differences like me with light snow and Dewey Beach with blizzard conditions, please make it stop. I lived in Middletown, DE for 6 years before moving up here to CT, except for 2009/10 it seemed like the coastal sections got the brunt of the storms....I was always confused, Sussex county was the snow capital of the state. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 NWS says 60% chance of snow on Saturday; 70% chance on Saturday night; 60 % chance Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 8 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I lived in Middletown, DE for 6 years before moving up here to CT, except for 2009/10 it seemed like the coastal sections got the brunt of the storms....I was always confused, Sussex county was the snow capital of the state. Lol It wasn't like that 20 years ago. I remember year after year, always hearing how little snow fell near the coast. For some random reason they have been doing rather well. People have been chasing snow by going to Rehoboth and Dewey the last few years, strange times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 ICON looks good through 60hrs. Better look at h5 and precip shield has responded by being further north. Snow breaking out over us at 69hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Icon fringes the northern folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, paulythegun said: Icon fringes the northern folks Okay... we don't need that much in RVA. I want my 18 month old to have fun and not vanish like last time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Thats the 12z run @paulythegun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, paulythegun said: Icon fringes the northern folks This is 12z 18z is way different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, paulythegun said: Icon fringes the northern folks That's the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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