yoda Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 To my weenie eye this looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, cae said: Best GEPS run yet. 15/21 members get me at least 1" of snow (at 10:1 ratios), although only 10/21 get me at least 2". Always a good sign when stubborn guidance starts to cave towards consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 HR 54. Compared to 0z, higher heights out front in the midwest and stronger SS SW. Northern stream over NE about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Euro looks much better at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, yoda said: To my weenie eye this looks good That is way further north than the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Euro looks really good @ hr72. No doubt it's the best model @ h5 d3 and under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 12 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Just popping in to say although my winter of unmitigated disaster continues, I’m pulling for all your backyards. May you bask in the glory of cold powder this weekend. Also I swear, if you get a good snowfall and find a way to whine I will bury you. pm JI for his address..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Just to remind folks as the Euro is running, last night's 0z was BETTER than the 12z run yesterday we were all thrilled with. So if it stepsback/weakens/absconds/wtfs, keep that in mind. I thought that last night’s Euro was a step back/less consolidated that 12z???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, snowmagnet said: I thought that last night’s Euro was a step back/less consolidated that 12z???? Bumped up precipitation at least, which is all we end up caring about in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, yoda said: To my weenie eye this looks good Its doing that thing where it closes off the west coast ridge again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, WxUSAF said: Bumped up precipitation at least, which is all we end up caring about in the end. I see. Thanks for the clarification. I guess I’m hoping for a more amplified system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Light snow moving in from W to E at 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 HR 78. More neutrally tilted trough. SLower NS in NE closed H5 contour in the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Euro looks really good @ hr72. No doubt it's the best model @ h5 d3 and under. Yeah, much better axis/tilt. Oh the drama.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Snowing everywhere lightly and below freezing at 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Looks like some sort of transfer going on at 96? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Light-to-moderate snowfall from 78-96. Long duration to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Big improvements Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 It's a really healthy QPF shield as well. Nobody is fringed until you get to Connecticut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Euro 96hrs is where I got the Miller B idea from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 Less NS suppression, better s/w consolidation, some phasing from the northern stream energy. Looks win/win at the surface and 500. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: It's a really healthy QPF shield as well. Nobody is fringed until you get to Connecticut. Yea, euro WAY further north with QPF than all other ops. Still not a very strong system as it runs into the tn valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 @ 96 slp coming in little higher. The ridge being closed off is slowing the SS to climb a little more. Hopefully translate to QPF max moving from down below Richmond to near EZF. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 102 is nice, moderate snow throughout the area. Looking more like a proper coastal. Freezing line just south of DCA, runs to Charlottesville. S of that supposedly snow until you get to RIC or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: It's a really healthy QPF shield as well. Nobody is fringed until you get to Connecticut. That's heartening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 102 is nice, moderate snow throughout the area. Looking more like a proper coastal. Freezing line just south of DCA. 850 or 2m? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 0z is a better run. Not as organized as it slides by to the south. Lowered QPF in the jackpot area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, BristowWx said: 850 or 2m? 2m. 850s are solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Pretty evenly distributed .3-.4 through our region. Trimmed back from 0z. That's 2 in a row with decreasing qpf in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I come back to 2 pages of discussion of what is the criteria for a WSW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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