jayyy Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Holy NAM, 18 Euro, EPS and GEFS bat man!!! 4-6” looking likely on these runs, with lollipop 8-10” amounts inland away from DC Baltimore and Richmond. That SW feature is much more pronounced this evening and the suppressive look in Canada has relaxed. That 1040 high in place before the storm is a wet dream come true hahahah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I’m an idiot. That snowblower has been a friend to all of us. Apologize to it for me. I tried but Snowy the snow blower apparently doubts your sincerity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I dont have wxmodels but these were shared by a tracking veteran. Put on your extrapolation goggles and absorb this. I see a big hit 12z euro qpf hr96 18z euro qpf hr90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I dont have wxmodels but these were shared by a tracking veteran. Put on your extrapolation goggles and absorb this. I see a big hit 12z euro qpf hr96 18z euro qpf hr90 Oh wow that really does look like the NAM at 84, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Confluence looks further north and the shortwave looks a little bit stronger on the 18z EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 38 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Waiting for the first board crash of the storm. My guess is tomorrow evening runs You mean waiting for the second crash. Been there already...earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Confluence looks further north and the shortwave looks a little bit stronger on the 18z EPS That is a sweet looking snowstorm map. Screen saver worthy for those times we forget what the right set up looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 In terms of QPF, through 144 (end of run) 0.5” line just south of M/D line and sags south over central eastern shore which is north than 12z at 150 hours. Pretty much the whole forum is in the 4-6” mean snowfall on the SV maps with a few higher lollis over the Northern Neck and west of Richmond (+the mountains but to be expected with upslope this week). It’s a good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Here's P010 up close 126 132 It consolidates the energy, nothing left behind over Colorado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 So hey guys...not going to do storm mode tonight, but we might as well get into the practice....it's time to start cutting down on the banter and useless posts during model discussion. If we still see things progressing tomm, then Storm Mode at 12z tomm. Good luck out there. Oy, NAM comes into range at 12z tomm. That right there is going to be 487 bad posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Holy Nam at 78 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 lol, just as I post a derogatory post about the NAM..78 hours...that would be a solid hit. But let's wait until tomorrow before we start ironically making bad posts about the NAM. Or you can start now I guess...get it out of the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, MD Snow said: Holy Nam at 78 hrs. Was gonna say the same thing...It is probably the NAM being the NAM but even more amped than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 How often do Chicago and D.C. get snow from the same storm that is not a clipper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Lol. NAM drops nearly a foot in MO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Look at that 1040 like a brick wall. Man that is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, BristowWx said: Look at that 1040 like a brick wall. Man that is nice. I was thinking the same thing. Classic look there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Lol. NAM drops nearly a foot in MOI hope it ain't one of those storms where its snowing in pa before our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Pretty much brings out all the energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Lol. NAM drops nearly a foot in MO I doubt a closed upper low in Iowa is going to miss us to the south lol (all NAM disclaimers pertain) Hopefully it holds this so we can get our first NAMing tomorrow sometime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 We gotta be careful this thing doesn’t get too amped. Not wanting to ride that rain/snow line. Still 3+ days away. Boston is still in the game. Unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Lol. NAM drops nearly a foot in MO I hope it ain't one of those storms where its snowing in pa before our area Nam looks pretty close to the 18z euro. With the 1040 hp sliding along over the top there's going to be a really tight gradient. Unless it gains too much latitude before getting here, i doubt that the shield will be that far north of the low. I know exactly what you're talking about though. Initial waa slug drifts north and slides into PA for hours before it starts here. This doesnt look like that kind of storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 -42 C at Mayo, Yukon where this arctic high is building up (1037 mbs). I like the looks of this set-up, might be worth comparing to Feb 1983 (El Nino winter, arctic high on similar track) as to potential storm dynamics. Nice energy peak at 12z 13th is indicated. Hoping for the best, want to see 00z model runs before speculating about amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Roger Smith said: -42 C at Mayo, Yukon where this arctic high is building up (1037 mbs). I like the looks of this set-up, might be worth comparing to Feb 1983 (El Nino winter, arctic high on similar track) as to potential storm dynamics. Nice energy peak at 12z 13th is indicated. Hoping for the best, want to see 00z model runs before speculating about amounts. The most intense storm of my lifetime out here. 32 inches in 16 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 10 minutes ago, PivotPoint said: We gotta be careful this thing doesn’t get too amped. Not wanting to ride that rain/snow line. Still 3+ days away. Boston is still in the game. Unfortunately Speak for yourself. I want to see it as amped as it can get. I will take my chances with a 1040 HP in perfect position over the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 14 minutes ago, PivotPoint said: We gotta be careful this thing doesn’t get too amped. Not wanting to ride that rain/snow line. Still 3+ days away. Boston is still in the game. Unfortunately 18z fv3 showed how too amped doesn’t work. 850s hit the mason Dixon and dc went over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Negnao said: 18z fv3 showed how too amped doesn’t work. 850s hit the mason Dixon and dc went over to rain. 1) FV3 has a bias of overamplitude 2) after a front end thump of 2-4/3-5” of snow 3) great way to start off the pattern flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Getting kind of pumped for the old GFS (which is kind of new again because it’s broke from the shutdown). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: 1) FV3 has a bias of overamplitude 2) after a front end thump of 2-4/3-5” of snow 3) great way to start off the pattern flip 1040hp is going to be a pac man on the northern edge. I'd much rather mix in the thick of it than be on the fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 NAM clown maps anyone? For poops and giggles ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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