BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Are you still using Windows 95 too? NAM is a touch more amped at h5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, BristowWx said: NAM is a touch more amped at h5. Agreed. It's the end of the NAM though, so it's still too far out to delve into details. Once inside 60 hours, I'll start giving the NAM more credence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 ICON for those that care continues with less energy left behind and higher heights out front. NS SW is slower to drop in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Might be snow for the Patriots game. What are the soil temperature readings under Gillette Stadium? Eta: If you could look that up on your Commodore 64....that would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Heh. Not quite as wet but the ICON is a very solid hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, LP08 said: Heh. Not quite as wet but the ICON is a very solid hit. And a definite improvement over 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 First chance I have had to look at the 12Z runs. The Euro is encouraging to say the least. There is still room for heartbreak though. Any more push from the NE and we are out of the game. I would expect someone on that northern edge to get some banding though. And yes. It doesnt take a rocket scientist (or a meteorologist) to extrapolate the 18z NAM into a crush job. Feeling pretty good about this one. Especially for the southern Shenandoah Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: First chance I have had to look at the 12Z runs. The Euro is encouraging to say the least. There is still room for heartbreak though. Any more push from the NE and we are out of the game. I would expect someone on that northern edge to get some banding though. And yes. It doesnt take a rocket scientist (or a meteorologist) to extrapolate the 18z NAM into a crush job. Feeling pretty good about this one. Especially for the southern Shenandoah Valley. You’ll do fine especially with the added lift of elevation. But yes the cutoff is scary. Keep it north of the forum so we all can enjoy this for once. Not that often we are all in the game north to south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 56 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Let’s keep the shutdown going. Knew Trump would make American models great again no, thank you. Id like to get paid sooner rather than later. I'm essential to my organization and have to work without pay, I'm just not essential to Congress or the Executive branch during their little spat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Looks like ever so slightly higher height rises in the east at 84 and a better looking ridge out west, yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Everyone is trying to look at the run and not comment. Hitting the refresh like lunatics. Maybe just me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, yoda said: Looks like ever so slightly higher height rises in the east at 84 and a better looking ridge out west, yes? Yes I think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 18z GFS is slightly more amped and positively tilted than the 12z, if I'm reading it right. Then the confluence leaves a little sooner and looks less suppressive so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, BristowWx said: Everyone is trying to look at the run and not comment. Hitting the refresh like lunatics. Maybe just me Bounce back and forth between Pivotal and Tropical Tidbits to see who gets the update first! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, JakkelWx said: 18z GFS is slightly more amped and positively tilted than the 12z, if I'm reading it right. Then the confluence leaves a little sooner and looks less suppressive so far. Need some confluence of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Yoda bring it home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Looks like more height rises along east coast at 102 on 18z compared to 108 at 12z... right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, yoda said: Looks like more height rises along east coast at 102 on 18z compared to 108 at 12z... right? Northern stream is less suppressive and shortwave is stronger/deeper. A good combination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, yoda said: Looks like more height rises along east coast at 102 on 18z compared to 108 at 12z... right? Right. More precip north of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Look at the suppressive look in new England in the 6z run. Major differences 2 runs later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Less NS through 114, low further north. Similar totals to 12z. SS SW was a little more stretched early on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, BristowWx said: Right. More precip north of 12z And slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Dc flirts with the 850 line. Low gets to just off ORF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Less NS through 114, low further north. Similar totals to 12z. SS SW was a little more stretched early on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Not going to dissect too much. Looks great for our region. I'll bet SNE liked the NS better this run. I can easily see how this runs the coast if allowed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Not going to dissect too much. Looks great for our region. I'll bet SNE liked the NS better this run. I can easily see how this runs the coast if allowed... Exactly. As you said a day or two again when the northern stream gets out of the way, there's room for this to amplify and come up the coast. Result is a widespread warning-level event for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Big improvement in the 850mb wind field. You can now see a continuous stream of se winds extending from the coast to the Ohio Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Still snowing at 126...nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Nice improvement from 12z. Keep it going! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Not going to dissect too much. Looks great for our region. I'll bet SNE liked the NS better this run. I can easily see how this runs the coast if allowed... Yeah, this definitely looks better, but I'm not sure how it could climb as you say with a 500 flow in the northeast? looking a little deeper, i guess your point of SNE liking it is a fair one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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