moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah. 1-2” south of 90 before the dry slot. You’ll get 3-4” I'll file this in the "hope" drawer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 7 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'll file this in the "hope" drawer. Chest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Pretty putrid runs overnight. Glad I was distracted by the Cowboys game. The second storm is getting stronger but models are developing it too far NW...euro was non-snow on that well into CNE. We need to get that system south a bit but time is starting to tick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Chest? That too. 57 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty putrid runs overnight. Glad I was distracted by the Cowboys game. The second storm is getting stronger but models are developing it too far NW...euro was non-snow on that well into CNE. We need to get that system south a bit but time winter is starting to tick. fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty putrid runs overnight. Glad I was distracted by the Cowboys game. The second storm is getting stronger but models are developing it too far NW...euro was non-snow on that well into CNE. We need to get that system south a bit but time is starting to tick. I'm going to be the only one left posting by the time this rolls around. Its getting pretty crazy how a large part of this forum can't even just sneak in an advisory level snow...New England in mid-winter shouldn't be this hard. Just plain unlucky at some point. I mean send 6-10 upper level troughs through in mid-winter and you'd think at least one would produce something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 20 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I'm going to be the only one left posting by the time this rolls around. Its getting pretty crazy how a large part of this forum can't even just sneak in an advisory level snow...New England in mid-winter shouldn't be this hard. Just plain unlucky at some point. I mean send 6-10 upper level troughs through in mid-winter and you'd think at least one would produce something. I was only half-joking a few days ago when I said you'd be be the only one left posting by the time we got close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 If a moose falls off a cliff and no one is there to see it, does it make a sound? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 44 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty putrid runs overnight. Glad I was distracted by the Cowboys game. The second storm is getting stronger but models are developing it too far NW...euro was non-snow on that well into CNE. We need to get that system south a bit but time is starting to tick. This is entirely realistic assessment of the overnight guidance suite ... I mean, not that you're unrealistic just sayn' In fact, I was looking at this in a particularly nasty ironic perception of matters: we are going to get our second stronger wave to reinvigorate a band of action alright... it's gonna be rain! Wah wah waaaah The problem is... (or relates to, I suspect) is that the previous speculation and conjectures offered plausible neggie interference rippling out ahead of a stronger follow-up wave space. It should. That's how wave mechanics/interaction works. Anyway, failing to do so means no/less dampening out that lead S/W along with its concomitant WAA IB ... So the NWS personnel is entirely correct in their assessment (even for Maine but I suspect ultimately less of an issue for them) that the WAA does nothing but f-up the wintry profile. It "could" be an error point? Not sure... Thing is, the relay off the Pacific keeps pushing later in time.. The follow-up S/W was originally slated to come into the physical sounding array ~ 12z this morning... well, actually, start to nose in overnight last night. But no. Now that we are passing through that time it's since correct some 18 hours from now. Jesus...over the years, these flat flow amplitudes have always been a problem with guidance and this has gotta be incarnate of that. Get a load of the NAM's vorticity/wind at 500 mb for 21 hours on this 12z run... Compare it to the 06z at same position ...? Not sure how it pulls that off, but... it deepens the geopotential heights over Nebraska, albeit modestly ... still enough to compress the gaps between the isotachs. Yet, lowers the velocities on the attending wind barbs. That's like physically impossible! Sorry...that's side annoyance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Back to snow/ snow showers that night for white rest of week . Grab another inch and call it a day Ya...that ain’t happening James!!! Keep dreaming lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 This one is a done deal for more than C-1" for a lot of the area and will be gone a few hours later. Congrats NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Exactly! NEXT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 hHere’s a dose of reality. This system looks like dung for SNE. A sloppy coating for some, gone before you even know what happened. Another fourth and long punt in mid winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 heh, ...some of me wonders if all this was written on the wall when we tried to amplify anything at all over that warm levy of heights in the S/SE anyway... It's been dicey and low probability from the get-go so .. hopefully we were realistic about that. So yeah... get what we get I guess. Not much conciliatory offering by the operational suite for the extended, either. It's like... fascinating, but where ever there has been corrections, they have been specifically targeting any factors that could change the look of the landscape outside. ...Doing so at times, while not changing the complexion of the pattern in general. In other words, attacking snow. haha. Kidding but the thought arrives with a couple of impressive pinwheels on the EC by both the GFS and it's (supposedly) soon to be promoted paranormal versions, indicating white rain nor-easters entering the climo bell-curve of winter. Talk about trampling on the backs of the bruised... I wonder what EPS looked like over night. I wonder if we're still suffering hang-over and not entirely getting the new paradigm shift underway. Someone asked me the other day if we were seeing it (at last) all at once when we had that impressive cycle a couple days ago. I told them it was too soon to know. We needed more time to get a foundation of consistency - good thing I said that... holy shit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 Another fail. Let’s lock this thread and move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Another fail. Let’s lock this thread and move on. Well NNE is part of this forum.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Objectively... the final call on this can't be rendered until the runs tomorrow. I realize however that objectivity is a rarefied approach these days ... but, that is still true despite your inconsolability at this time. There is still still some probability > 0 that the S/W mechanics relaying off the Pacific 18 to 24 hours from now, modulate the end results downstream over NE. ...It could be for better, it could be for worse... The paranoia of the weather-model-codependent junky most certainly assumes the latter, but the reality is... that could go either way. As for NNE ... it's possible this f's them out much fan-fair, too. Although, return flow upglide/Mountain forcing would probably do a number on the N slope country up there ...but that's almost a different beast altogether. The 12z NAM (thankfully the most reversible of all guidance... heh) actually does something similar to this... by blossoming the new over-running/b-leaf shield over western NS ... even sparing much of Maine. It's incredible... I admit, how proficiently this this is making all of our Meteorological insights correct, while finding ways to get it down without rewarding anyone. It's easier if you just laugh about it ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 15 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s 1-3” south .. Prob a lot of 2” pike south and 3” north . Pretty easy one 56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This one is a done deal for more than C-1" for a lot of the area and will be gone a few hours later. Congrats NNE. One of these is not like the other Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 5 minutes ago, qg_omega said: One of these is not like the other One has hair. At least I can enjoy today's weenie flakes and pretend it's winter-like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 15 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We Yore AMOUT ya 1-3” lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 What a shellacking on the 12z GFS for VT, NNH, Mtns and Northern Maine as that low bombs to 980mb just south of Eastport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Ya...that ain’t happening James!!! Keep dreaming lol.. He has a back-end snowfall fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: AMOUT ya 1-3” lol That was the old map that had an earlier cutoff...the updated one is much more robust...well...maybe not... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Not sure this is the right thread but off to a good start here, heavier than I expected. Eyeing about an inch so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 1 minute ago, alex said: Not sure this is the right thread but off to a good start here, heavier than I expected. Eyeing about an inch so far. lol, Its not, Snow squalls in the mtns and foothills associated with the cold front coming thru today, Not this next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: That was the old map that had an earlier cutoff...the updated one is much more robust...well...maybe not... Looks dangerous around here, hope the town plows can keep up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 Just now, Sugarloaf1989 said: Looks dangerous around here, hope the town plows can keep up. They have probably dropped more inches of salt in many towns than they have had inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Ok gfs def trended south there with the second wave. That's a little more interesting...get another tick and there could be something shovelable for N MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Ok gfs def trended south there with the second wave. That's a little more interesting...get another tick and there could be something shovelable for N MA. I know its the GGEM, But that even appeared to be similar or a tic or so south of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: They have probably dropped more inches of salt in many towns than they have had inches of snow My car is still partially salt covered from my trip to Gore Mountain. Barely any snow OTG except past Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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